Amorebieta vs Lugo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
24/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 38
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV, TVG 2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
212
Shots on target
24
Corner Kicks
27
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
212
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
08
Corner Kicks
27
Goalkeeper Saves
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Marin A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Sola J. , Intxausti A. ,
  • 59', Vicandi A. , Coulibaly A. ,
  • 59', Marin A. , Selma D. ,
  • 59', Gonzalez J. , Ochoa M. ,
  • 62', Gonzalez Y. , Ceberio J. ,
  • 74', Hervias P. , Ben Hamed N. ,
  • 87', 🟨,
  • 88', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Amorebieta
22%
Draw
23.3%
Lugo
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.5% 26.8% 54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8% 26.4% 53.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • The chances for Lugo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Amorebieta - Lugo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.29
    (4.96)
    4.09
    (3.42)
    1.67
    (1.68)
    7.8%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 13).
    • Amorebieta is Relegated to
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Lugo is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Amorebieta won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Amorebieta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Amorebieta - Lugo were as follows:
    01.09.2024 Lugo - Amorebieta 0:0
    Latest results of Amorebieta
    17.05.2025 Ourense CF - Amorebieta 0:3
    03.05.2025 Barakaldo - Amorebieta 2:0
    26.04.2025 Barcelona B - Amorebieta 0:2
    20.04.2025 Amorebieta - Zamora 0:2
    Latest results of Lugo
    17.05.2025 Lugo - Zamora 2:0
    04.05.2025 Lugo - Barcelona B 0:4
    26.04.2025 Arenteiro - Lugo 2:1
    19.04.2025 Lugo - Real Sociedad B 1:0
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife28186449:173260
    2Celta Vigo B28148643:35850
    3Ath Bilbao B28127930:30043
    4Barakaldo281110738:29943
    5Pontevedra271012532:201242
    6Zamora28119836:31542
    7Real Madrid B281261038:36242
    8Lugo281011727:27041
    9Racing Club Ferrol281251134:33141
    10Ponferradina281171028:23540
    11AD Merida281171037:38-140
    12Unionistas281081037:36138
    13Arenas Getxo271041331:38-734
    14Real Aviles28961340:48-833
    15Ourense CF28881231:33-232
    16Guadalajara28871330:41-1131
    17CF Talavera28861429:38-930
    18Cacereno286111126:37-1129
    19Arenteiro28671525:36-1125
    20Osasuna B28591418:33-1524

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