Amorebieta vs Lugo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
24/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 38
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV, TVG 2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
212
Shots on target
24
Corner Kicks
27
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
212
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
08
Corner Kicks
27
Goalkeeper Saves
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Marin A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Sola J. , Intxausti A. ,
  • 59', Vicandi A. , Coulibaly A. ,
  • 59', Marin A. , Selma D. ,
  • 59', Gonzalez J. , Ochoa M. ,
  • 62', Gonzalez Y. , Ceberio J. ,
  • 74', Hervias P. , Ben Hamed N. ,
  • 87', 🟨,
  • 88', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Amorebieta
22%
Draw
23.3%
Lugo
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.5% 26.8% 54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8% 26.4% 53.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • The chances for Lugo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Amorebieta - Lugo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.29
    (4.96)
    4.09
    (3.42)
    1.67
    (1.68)
    7.8%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 13).
    • Amorebieta is Relegated to
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Lugo is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Amorebieta won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Amorebieta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Amorebieta - Lugo were as follows:
    01.09.2024 Lugo - Amorebieta 0:0
    Latest results of Amorebieta
    17.05.2025 Ourense CF - Amorebieta 0:3
    03.05.2025 Barakaldo - Amorebieta 2:0
    26.04.2025 Barcelona B - Amorebieta 0:2
    20.04.2025 Amorebieta - Zamora 0:2
    Latest results of Lugo
    17.05.2025 Lugo - Zamora 2:0
    04.05.2025 Lugo - Barcelona B 0:4
    26.04.2025 Arenteiro - Lugo 2:1
    19.04.2025 Lugo - Real Sociedad B 1:0
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife25183445:133257
    2Celta Vigo B25146541:301148
    3Pontevedra251010532:201240
    4Ath Bilbao B25116828:28039
    5AD Merida25115935:33238
    6Real Madrid B25115932:33-138
    7Barakaldo25910633:27637
    8Lugo25910625:22337
    9Racing Club Ferrol251141029:28137
    10Ponferradina25106927:22536
    11Unionistas25106934:30436
    12Zamora2598832:30235
    13Real Aviles25941237:43-631
    14Arenas Getxo25931328:36-830
    15Ourense CF25771128:31-328
    16Cacereno25691022:31-927
    17CF Talavera25741425:36-1125
    18Arenteiro25661323:31-824
    19Guadalajara25661322:39-1724
    20Osasuna B25481317:32-1520

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