Amorebieta vs Lugo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
24/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 38
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV, TVG 2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
212
Shots on target
24
Corner Kicks
27
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
212
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
08
Corner Kicks
27
Goalkeeper Saves
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Marin A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Sola J. , Intxausti A. ,
  • 59', Vicandi A. , Coulibaly A. ,
  • 59', Marin A. , Selma D. ,
  • 59', Gonzalez J. , Ochoa M. ,
  • 62', Gonzalez Y. , Ceberio J. ,
  • 74', Hervias P. , Ben Hamed N. ,
  • 87', 🟨,
  • 88', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Amorebieta
22%
Draw
23.3%
Lugo
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.5% 26.8% 54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8% 26.4% 53.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • The chances for Lugo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Amorebieta - Lugo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.29
    (4.96)
    4.09
    (3.42)
    1.67
    (1.68)
    7.8%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 13).
    • Amorebieta is Relegated to
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Lugo is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Amorebieta won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Amorebieta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Amorebieta - Lugo were as follows:
    01.09.2024 Lugo - Amorebieta 0:0
    Latest results of Amorebieta
    17.05.2025 Ourense CF - Amorebieta 0:3
    03.05.2025 Barakaldo - Amorebieta 2:0
    26.04.2025 Barcelona B - Amorebieta 0:2
    20.04.2025 Amorebieta - Zamora 0:2
    Latest results of Lugo
    17.05.2025 Lugo - Zamora 2:0
    04.05.2025 Lugo - Barcelona B 0:4
    26.04.2025 Arenteiro - Lugo 2:1
    19.04.2025 Lugo - Real Sociedad B 1:0
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife342010455:203570
    2Celta Vigo B341710756:431361
    3Zamora341510946:38855
    4Real Madrid B341581154:431153
    5Pontevedra341314743:261753
    6Ponferradina341491138:29951
    7Barakaldo341312944:341051
    8Unionistas3413101147:44349
    9AD Merida341391244:47-348
    10Arenas Getxo341451540:49-947
    11Lugo3411131032:37-546
    12Racing Club Ferrol341371438:43-546
    13Ath Bilbao B341291334:38-445
    14Real Aviles341191449:56-742
    15Ourense CF349111438:40-238
    16CF Talavera34991633:43-1036
    17Guadalajara34991637:52-1536
    18Cacereno347141331:45-1435
    19Osasuna B34891724:39-1533
    20Arenteiro34691929:46-1727

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