Lugo vs Athletic Bilbao B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Anxo Carro (Lugo).

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 26
Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats


Ball possession
41%	59%
Total shots
4	12
Shots on target
2	4
Corner kicks
0	12
Yellow cards
1	1
Total shots
4	12
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
2	8
Corner kicks
0	12

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', Gift E. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Reniero N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lete E. ↓, Garcia B. ↑,
67', Sanz I. ↓, Hierro A. ↑,
77', Reniero N. ↓, Junior L. ↑,
77', Haro P. ↓, Unzueta I. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Lugo
52%

Draw
33.6%

Athletic Bilbao B
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

31.3%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

30.8%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugo's performance.

Athletic Bilbao B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletic Bilbao B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletic Bilbao B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lugo - Athletic Bilbao B Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.27)	3.4 ↑ (2.91)	8.6 ↑ (3.19)	-11.3% (9.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Lugo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Athletic Bilbao B?

Lugo has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao B won against Lugo?

Athletic Bilbao B has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Athletic Bilbao B were as follows:

29.11.2025 Athletic Bilbao B - Lugo 2:0

21.02.2025 Athletic Bilbao B - Lugo 2:2

02.11.2024 Lugo - Athletic Bilbao B 1:0

Latest results of Lugo

21.02.2026 Pontevedra - Lugo 1:1 ✺

15.02.2026 Lugo - CD Guadalajara 2:0 ✺

07.02.2026 Ferrol - Lugo 1:1 ✺

01.02.2026 Lugo - Ponferradina 0:2 ✺

25.01.2026 Real Avilés - Lugo 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Athletic Bilbao B

21.02.2026 Athletic Bilbao B - Zamora 1:0 ✺

13.02.2026 Real Madrid Castilla - Athletic Bilbao B 2:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Athletic Bilbao B - Tenerife 0:0 ✺

30.01.2026 Arenteiro - Athletic Bilbao B 1:1 ✺

25.01.2026 Athletic Bilbao B - Barakaldo 2:0 ✺

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tenerife	31	19	8	4	51:18	33	65
2	Celta Vigo B	31	15	9	7	47:42	5	54
3	Ponferradina	31	13	8	10	35:25	10	47
4	Barakaldo	31	12	11	8	40:32	8	47
5	Real Madrid B	31	13	7	11	46:41	5	46
6	Zamora	31	12	10	9	42:37	5	46
7	Pontevedra	31	11	13	7	35:23	12	46
8	Lugo	31	11	12	8	30:30	0	45
9	Unionistas	31	12	8	11	44:42	2	44
10	Ath Bilbao B	31	12	8	11	33:35	-2	44
11	AD Merida	31	12	8	11	41:44	-3	44
12	Arenas Getxo	31	13	5	13	38:42	-4	44
13	Racing Club Ferrol	31	12	6	13	35:36	-1	42
14	Real Aviles	31	10	7	14	45:53	-8	37
15	CF Talavera	31	9	8	14	32:40	-8	35
16	Guadalajara	31	9	8	14	35:46	-11	35
17	Ourense CF	31	8	10	13	32:35	-3	34
18	Cacereno	31	6	13	12	29:41	-12	31
19	Osasuna B	31	7	9	15	23:37	-14	30
20	Arenteiro	31	6	8	17	28:42	-14	26

      Promotion ~ LaLiga2
      Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
      Relegation