Lugo vs Athletic Bilbao B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Anxo Carro (Lugo).

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 26
Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats


Ball possession
41%	59%
Total shots
4	12
Shots on target
2	4
Corner kicks
0	12
Yellow cards
1	1
Total shots
4	12
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
2	8
Corner kicks
0	12

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', Gift E. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Reniero N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lete E. ↓, Garcia B. ↑,
67', Sanz I. ↓, Hierro A. ↑,
77', Reniero N. ↓, Junior L. ↑,
77', Haro P. ↓, Unzueta I. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Lugo
52%

Draw
33.6%

Athletic Bilbao B
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

31.3%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

30.8%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugo's performance.

Athletic Bilbao B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletic Bilbao B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletic Bilbao B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lugo - Athletic Bilbao B Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.27)	3.4 ↑ (2.91)	8.6 ↑ (3.19)	-11.3% (9.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Lugo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Athletic Bilbao B?

Lugo has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao B won against Lugo?

Athletic Bilbao B has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Athletic Bilbao B were as follows:

29.11.2025 Athletic Bilbao B - Lugo 2:0

21.02.2025 Athletic Bilbao B - Lugo 2:2

02.11.2024 Lugo - Athletic Bilbao B 1:0

Latest results of Lugo

21.02.2026 Pontevedra - Lugo 1:1 ✺

15.02.2026 Lugo - CD Guadalajara 2:0 ✺

07.02.2026 Ferrol - Lugo 1:1 ✺

01.02.2026 Lugo - Ponferradina 0:2 ✺

25.01.2026 Real Avilés - Lugo 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Athletic Bilbao B

21.02.2026 Athletic Bilbao B - Zamora 1:0 ✺

13.02.2026 Real Madrid Castilla - Athletic Bilbao B 2:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Athletic Bilbao B - Tenerife 0:0 ✺

30.01.2026 Arenteiro - Athletic Bilbao B 1:1 ✺

25.01.2026 Athletic Bilbao B - Barakaldo 2:0 ✺

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tenerife	28	18	6	4	49:17	32	60
2	Celta Vigo B	28	14	8	6	43:35	8	50
3	Ath Bilbao B	28	12	7	9	30:30	0	43
4	Barakaldo	28	11	10	7	38:29	9	43
5	Pontevedra	27	10	12	5	32:20	12	42
6	Zamora	28	11	9	8	36:31	5	42
7	Real Madrid B	28	12	6	10	38:36	2	42
8	Lugo	28	10	11	7	27:27	0	41
9	Racing Club Ferrol	28	12	5	11	34:33	1	41
10	Ponferradina	28	11	7	10	28:23	5	40
11	AD Merida	28	11	7	10	37:38	-1	40
12	Unionistas	28	10	8	10	37:36	1	38
13	Arenas Getxo	27	10	4	13	31:38	-7	34
14	Real Aviles	28	9	6	13	40:48	-8	33
15	Ourense CF	28	8	8	12	31:33	-2	32
16	Guadalajara	28	8	7	13	30:41	-11	31
17	CF Talavera	28	8	6	14	29:38	-9	30
18	Cacereno	28	6	11	11	26:37	-11	29
19	Arenteiro	28	6	7	15	25:36	-11	25
20	Osasuna B	28	5	9	14	18:33	-15	24

      Promotion ~ LaLiga2
      Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
      Relegation