Lugo vs Barakaldo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
31/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
96
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
63
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
96
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 21', Lopez I. 🟨,
  • 26', 0 - 1, San Bartolome V. ,
  • 34', 1 - 1, Celorio N. ,
  • 37', 1 - 2, Huidobro J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Presa K. 🟨,
  • 64', Junior L. , Gonzalez J. ,
  • 64', Unzueta I. , Samanes S. ,
  • 64', Pastrana V. , Reniero N. ,
  • 67', San Bartolome V. , Galarza A. ,
  • 70', 🟨,
  • 73', Presa K. , Carbonell A. ,
  • 73', Celorio N. , Balboa A. ,
  • 76', Dufur U. 🟨,
  • 78', de Leon J. , Arana M. ,
  • 78', Ropero I. , Albizua U. ,
  • 86', 2 - 2, Reniero N. (Pen),
  • 90+3', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lugo
42%
Draw
30.9%
Barakaldo
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 32.8% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 33.5% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Lugo - Barakaldo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.44)
    2.98
    (2.83)
    3.37
    (3.17)
    8.7%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Lugo - Barakaldo?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
    • In recent matches, Lugo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Barakaldo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Lugo could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Lugo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Barakaldo were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Barakaldo - Lugo 3:2
    15.09.2024 Lugo - Barakaldo 0:0
    Latest results of Lugo
    18.10.2025 Lugo - Celta de Vigo B 2:0
    04.10.2025 Lugo - Cacereño 1:0
    Latest results of Barakaldo
    24.10.2025 Barakaldo - Tenerife 2:0
    18.10.2025 CD Guadalajara - Barakaldo 1:1
    05.10.2025 Arenteiro - Barakaldo 1:1
    27.09.2025 Barakaldo - Cacereño 1:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife25183445:133257
    2Celta Vigo B25146541:301148
    3Pontevedra251010532:201240
    4Ath Bilbao B25116828:28039
    5AD Merida25115935:33238
    6Real Madrid B25115932:33-138
    7Barakaldo25910633:27637
    8Lugo25910625:22337
    9Racing Club Ferrol251141029:28137
    10Ponferradina25106927:22536
    11Unionistas25106934:30436
    12Zamora2598832:30235
    13Real Aviles25941237:43-631
    14Arenas Getxo25931328:36-830
    15Ourense CF25771128:31-328
    16Cacereno25691022:31-927
    17CF Talavera25741425:36-1125
    18Arenteiro25661323:31-824
    19Guadalajara25661322:39-1724
    20Osasuna B25481317:32-1520

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