Lugo vs Barakaldo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
31/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
96
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
63
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
96
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 21', Lopez I. 🟨,
  • 26', 0 - 1, San Bartolome V. ,
  • 34', 1 - 1, Celorio N. ,
  • 37', 1 - 2, Huidobro J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Presa K. 🟨,
  • 64', Junior L. , Gonzalez J. ,
  • 64', Unzueta I. , Samanes S. ,
  • 64', Pastrana V. , Reniero N. ,
  • 67', San Bartolome V. , Galarza A. ,
  • 70', 🟨,
  • 73', Presa K. , Carbonell A. ,
  • 73', Celorio N. , Balboa A. ,
  • 76', Dufur U. 🟨,
  • 78', de Leon J. , Arana M. ,
  • 78', Ropero I. , Albizua U. ,
  • 86', 2 - 2, Reniero N. (Pen),
  • 90+3', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lugo
42%
Draw
30.9%
Barakaldo
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 32.8% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 33.5% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Lugo - Barakaldo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.44)
    2.98
    (2.83)
    3.37
    (3.17)
    8.7%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Lugo - Barakaldo?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
    • In recent matches, Lugo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Barakaldo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Lugo could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Lugo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Barakaldo were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Barakaldo - Lugo 3:2
    15.09.2024 Lugo - Barakaldo 0:0
    Latest results of Lugo
    18.10.2025 Lugo - Celta de Vigo B 2:0
    04.10.2025 Lugo - Cacereño 1:0
    Latest results of Barakaldo
    24.10.2025 Barakaldo - Tenerife 2:0
    18.10.2025 CD Guadalajara - Barakaldo 1:1
    05.10.2025 Arenteiro - Barakaldo 1:1
    27.09.2025 Barakaldo - Cacereño 1:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife31198451:183365
    2Celta Vigo B31159747:42554
    3Ponferradina311381035:251047
    4Barakaldo311211840:32847
    5Real Madrid B311371146:41546
    6Zamora311210942:37546
    7Pontevedra311113735:231246
    8Lugo311112830:30045
    9Unionistas311281144:42244
    10Ath Bilbao B311281133:35-244
    11AD Merida311281141:44-344
    12Arenas Getxo311351338:42-444
    13Racing Club Ferrol311261335:36-142
    14Real Aviles311071445:53-837
    15CF Talavera31981432:40-835
    16Guadalajara31981435:46-1135
    17Ourense CF318101332:35-334
    18Cacereno316131229:41-1231
    19Osasuna B31791523:37-1430
    20Arenteiro31681728:42-1426

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