Barakaldo vs Lugo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Barakaldo - Lugo
Result
3:2
09/03/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
108
Shots on Goal
97
Shots off Goal
11
Corner Kicks
62
Goalkeeper Saves
56
Yellow Cards
17
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Valino A. ,
  • 8', 1 - 1, Afriyie J. ,
  • 14', 1 - 2, Afriyie J. ,
  • 25', Cabo J. 🟨,
  • 40', Martinez R. 🟨,
  • 45', Gonzalez Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 48', de Jesus B. 🟨,
  • 59', Garcia B. , Jelbat A. ,
  • 59', Huidobro J. , Martinez J. ,
  • 59', Afriyie J. , Hernandez R. ,
  • 70', 2 - 2, Isuskiza V. ,
  • 72', Cabo J. , Sanchez M. ,
  • 73', Perero G. , Rubal P. ,
  • 73', Gonzalez Y. 🟨,
  • 74', Hernandez R. 🟨,
  • 77', 🟨,
  • 78', Bilbao L. , Bujan U. ,
  • 78', de Jesus B. , Pedernales I. ,
  • 85', 3 - 2, Santiago P. ,
  • 86', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barakaldo
47.5%
Draw
29.3%
Lugo
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 29.4% 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2% 29.1% 25.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Barakaldo - Lugo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (2.04)
    3.16
    (3.1)
    3.93
    (3.53)
    8.4%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Barakaldo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Barakaldo is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Barakaldo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barakaldo - Lugo were as follows:
    15.09.2024 Lugo - Barakaldo 0:0
    Latest results of Barakaldo
    02.03.2025 Zamora - Barakaldo 2:1
    19.02.2025 Arenteiro - Barakaldo 1:1
    15.02.2025 Barakaldo - FC Andorra 2:3
    07.02.2025 Ponferradina - Barakaldo 0:1
    Latest results of Lugo
    01.03.2025 Lugo - Tarazona 1:2
    21.02.2025 Athletic Bilbao B - Lugo 2:2
    16.02.2025 Lugo - Sestao 2:1
    09.02.2025 FC Andorra - Lugo 2:0
    02.02.2025 Lugo - Osasuna B 3:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1AntequeraPonferradina1 : 2, 1 : 0
    2AndorraUD Ibiza1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3GimnasticMurcia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    4Merida ADReal Sociedad B1 : 0, 0 : 1

    Final
    1PonferradinaAndorra0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2GimnasticReal Sociedad B2 : 1, 1 : 3