Result
2:1
21/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Zalaya A. ⚽,
- 15', Escobar A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 84', 1 - 1, Reniero N. ⚽,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Gaya J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lugo
29.7% | Draw
31.7% | Ferrol
38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugo's performance.Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferrol might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-10.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+14.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferrol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lugo - Ferrol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.17 ↓
(4.58) |
2.93 ↓
(3.23) |
2.42 ↑
(1.74) |
7%
(10.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Lugo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ferrol is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lugo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Lugo has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Ferrol has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Lugo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Ferrol?
Lugo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferrol won against Lugo?
Ferrol has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Ferrol were as follows:
30.12.2022
Ferrol
-
Lugo
1:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16:2 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Racing Club Ferrol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Guadalajara | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Real Aviles | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | Pontevedra | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Zamora | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Ath Bilbao B | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Osasuna B | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Arenteiro | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 | CF Talavera | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Barakaldo | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 13 | Lugo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Arenas Getxo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | Cacereno | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Real Madrid B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Merida AD | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 | Ponferradina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 | Ourense CF | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
| 20 | Unionistas | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
