Result
1:1
07/02/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Celorio N. 🟨,
- 33', Caballo D. ↓, Haro P. ↑,
- 45+6', Dacosta R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 0, Dacosta R. ⚽,
- 63', Dacosta R. ↓, Tavares M. ↑,
- 63', Escobar A. ↓, Concha D. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 1, Balboa A. ⚽,
- 73', Celorio N. ↓, Junior L. ↑,
- 73', Pastrana V. ↓, Samanes S. ↑,
- 73', Alvaro J. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 88', Unzueta I. ↓, Teofilovic O. ↑,
- 88', Gallar A. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
- 88', Pascu ↓, Azkune E. ↑,
- 88', Gonzalez F. ↓, Noriega J. ↑,
- 90+1', Gorostidi A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ferrol
42.3% | Draw
32.6% | Lugo
25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Ferrol - Lugo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↑
(1.99) |
2.79 ↓
(2.97) |
3.68 ↓
(3.81) |
8.8%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 and 10).
- Ferrol is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Lugo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ferrol could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Ferrol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferrol won against Lugo?
Ferrol has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Ferrol?
Lugo has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferrol - Lugo were as follows:
21.09.2025
Lugo
-
Ferrol
2:1
30.12.2022
Ferrol
-
Lugo
1:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 52:19 | 33 | 66 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 52:42 | 10 | 57 |
| 3 | Real Madrid B | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 51:41 | 10 | 49 |
| 4 | Zamora | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 43:37 | 6 | 49 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 32 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 38:24 | 14 | 49 |
| 6 | Barakaldo | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 41:33 | 8 | 48 |
| 7 | Ponferradina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 36:28 | 8 | 47 |
| 8 | Unionistas | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 47 |
| 9 | Lugo | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 45 |
| 10 | AD Merida | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 42:45 | -3 | 45 |
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 38:47 | -9 | 44 |
| 12 | Ath Bilbao B | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 33:36 | -3 | 44 |
| 13 | Racing Club Ferrol | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | -6 | 42 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 46:53 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 36:37 | -1 | 37 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 32:41 | -9 | 35 |
| 17 | Guadalajara | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 35 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 30:41 | -11 | 34 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 23:38 | -15 | 30 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 29:43 | -14 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
