Result
21/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Lugo
24% | Draw
29% | Ferrol
46.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferrol might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferrol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lugo - Ferrol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.81 ↓
(4.58) |
3.18 ↓
(3.23) |
1.97 ↑
(1.74) |
8.5%
(10.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Lugo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ferrol is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lugo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Lugo has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Ferrol has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Ferrol is considered a favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Lugo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Ferrol?
Lugo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferrol won against Lugo?
Ferrol has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Ferrol were as follows:
30.12.2022
Ferrol
-
Lugo
1:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Racing Club Ferrol | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Arenteiro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Guadalajara | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Ath Bilbao B | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Zamora | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Celta Vigo B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Arenas Getxo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | CF Talavera | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Barakaldo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Pontevedra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Osasuna B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Real Aviles | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Ponferradina | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Real Madrid B | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | Merida AD | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 17 | Ourense CF | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 2 |
| 19 | Lugo | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 20 | Unionistas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
