Gimnástic de Tarragona vs Lugo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
10/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 36
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpain3Cat, Esport3, FEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
55
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
46
Red Cards
01
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
55
Corner Kicks
53
Goalkeeper Saves
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 7', Perez G. 🟨,
  • 16', Mendoza B. 🟨,
  • 22', Narro V. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 0, Antonin ,
  • 35', Ruiz E. 🟨,
  • 42', 2 - 0, Oriol J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 62', Sanchez M. , Rubal P. ,
  • 62', Vidal D. , Ochoa M. ,
  • 65', Narro V. , Concha D. ,
  • 68', 2 - 1, Lizancos A. ,
  • 70', Miguel 🟨,
  • 79', Lizancos A. 🟨,
  • 80', Antonin , Fernandez M. ,
  • 80', Torres R. , Jimenez A. ,
  • 85', Mendoza B. , Padin H. ,
  • 87', Perez G. , Domingo Ciuraneta P. ,
  • 87', Miguel , Leal A. ,
  • 88', Gorostidi A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 2 - 2, Afriyie J. ,
  • 90+2', Afriyie J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Ruiz E. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gimnástic de Tarragona
56.6%
Draw
25.4%
Lugo
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.3% 27% 23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 22.4% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnástic de Tarragona's performance.
  • Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lugo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (-15.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnástic de Tarragona that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gimnástic de Tarragona - Lugo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.78)
    3.6
    (3.25)
    4.97
    (3.7)
    9.3%
    (14%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Gimnástic de Tarragona - Lugo?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gimnástic de Tarragona will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnàstic won 2.
    • In recent matches, Gimnàstic has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Lugo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Gimnàstic is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Gimnàstic won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gimnàstic won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnástic de Tarragona - Lugo were as follows:
    06.10.2024 Lugo - Gimnástic de Tarragona 2:2
    21.01.2024 Gimnástic de Tarragona - Lugo 2:0
    30.09.2023 Lugo - Gimnástic de Tarragona 0:1
    Latest results of Lugo
    04.05.2025 Lugo - Barcelona B 0:4
    26.04.2025 Arenteiro - Lugo 2:1
    19.04.2025 Lugo - Real Sociedad B 1:0
    13.04.2025 Real Unión de Irun - Lugo 3:0
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife26184447:153258
    2Celta Vigo B26147542:311149
    3Pontevedra261011532:201241
    4Lugo261010626:22440
    5Ponferradina26116928:22639
    6AD Merida26116936:34239
    7Ath Bilbao B26116928:29-139
    8Real Madrid B261151032:34-238
    9Barakaldo26910734:29537
    10Unionistas26107937:33437
    11Racing Club Ferrol261141130:31-137
    12Zamora2699833:31236
    13Arenas Getxo261031330:37-733
    14Real Aviles26951239:45-632
    15Ourense CF26871130:31-131
    16CF Talavera26841428:37-928
    17Cacereno266101025:34-928
    18Guadalajara26671323:40-1725
    19Arenteiro26661423:33-1024
    20Osasuna B26491317:32-1521

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