Gimnástic de Tarragona vs Lugo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Gimnástic de Tarragona - Lugo
Result
2:2
10/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 36
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpain3Cat, Esport3, FEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
55
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
46
Red Cards
01
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
55
Corner Kicks
53
Goalkeeper Saves
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 7', Perez G. 🟨,
  • 16', Mendoza B. 🟨,
  • 22', Narro V. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 0, Antonin ,
  • 35', Ruiz E. 🟨,
  • 42', 2 - 0, Oriol J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 62', Sanchez M. , Rubal P. ,
  • 62', Vidal D. , Ochoa M. ,
  • 65', Narro V. , Concha D. ,
  • 68', 2 - 1, Lizancos A. ,
  • 70', Miguel 🟨,
  • 79', Lizancos A. 🟨,
  • 80', Antonin , Fernandez M. ,
  • 80', Torres R. , Jimenez A. ,
  • 85', Mendoza B. , Padin H. ,
  • 87', Perez G. , Domingo Ciuraneta P. ,
  • 87', Miguel , Leal A. ,
  • 88', Gorostidi A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 2 - 2, Afriyie J. ,
  • 90+2', Afriyie J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Ruiz E. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gimnástic de Tarragona
56.6%
Draw
25.4%
Lugo
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.3% 27% 23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 22.4% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnástic de Tarragona's performance.
  • Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lugo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (-15.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnástic de Tarragona that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gimnástic de Tarragona - Lugo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.78)
    3.6
    (3.25)
    4.97
    (3.7)
    9.3%
    (14%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Gimnástic de Tarragona - Lugo?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gimnàstic (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnàstic won 2.
    • In recent matches, Gimnàstic has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Lugo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Gimnàstic is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Gimnàstic won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gimnàstic won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnástic de Tarragona - Lugo were as follows:
    06.10.2024 Lugo - Gimnástic de Tarragona 2:2
    21.01.2024 Gimnástic de Tarragona - Lugo 2:0
    30.09.2023 Lugo - Gimnástic de Tarragona 0:1
    Latest results of Lugo
    04.05.2025 Lugo - Barcelona B 0:4
    26.04.2025 Arenteiro - Lugo 2:1
    19.04.2025 Lugo - Real Sociedad B 1:0
    13.04.2025 Real Unión de Irun - Lugo 3:0
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife22005:056
    2Arenas Getxo21104:314
    3Pontevedra21102:114
    4Osasuna B21102:114
    5Ponferradina21013:123
    6Racing Club Ferrol11002:113
    7Real Madrid B11002:113
    8Arenteiro21012:203
    9Guadalajara21011:2-13
    10Merida AD21011:3-23
    11Cacereno20203:302
    12Ath Bilbao B20201:102
    13Zamora20201:102
    14Ourense CF20201:102
    15CF Talavera20112:3-11
    16Barakaldo20111:2-11
    17Lugo20111:2-11
    18Celta Vigo B20110:1-11
    19Real Aviles20110:3-31
    20Unionistas20020:2-20

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation