Granada vs Lugo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2 Granada - Lugo
Result
2:0
13/05/2023 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 40
  • Referee: De La Fuente Ramos O. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Sports Max
portugalPortugalEleven Sports

Chances of winning


Granada
74.6%
Draw
16.9%
Lugo
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.3% 20.7% 10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 13.1% 15.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Granada's performance.
  • Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-30.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Granada that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Granada - Lugo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.26
    (1.35)
    5.65
    (4.5)
    10.99
    (9.35)
    6%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Granada - Lugo?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Granada will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Lugo will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Granada: 47.7%95.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Granada has the most likely position - 3 (22.1%), project points - 72, currently - 66, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (57%), a good chance of promoted (58%), a chance of win league (21%).
    • Lugo has the most likely position - 22 (70.18%), project points - 30, currently - 28, already of relegated.
    • This event has small quality 27, importance 50, match rating 38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Recent matches Granada is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Lugo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Lugo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Granada is absolute favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Granada won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Granada won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Granada - Lugo were as follows:
    17.12.2022 Lugo - Granada 1:0
    Latest results of Granada
    23.04.2023 Racing Santander - Granada 1:0
    15.04.2023 Granada - Las Palmas 2:1
    08.04.2023 Zaragoza - Granada 1:0
    Latest results of Lugo
    07.05.2023 Lugo - FC Andorra 2:2
    01.05.2023 Sporting de Gijón - Lugo 3:1
    23.04.2023 Lugo - Málaga 0:2
    15.04.2023 Real Oviedo - Lugo 2:1
    07.04.2023 Lugo - Tenerife 0:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gijon00000:000
    2Cordoba00000:000
    3Las Palmas00000:000
    4Castellon00000:000
    5Albacete00000:000
    6Eibar00000:000
    7Malaga00000:000
    8Cadiz CF00000:000
    9Burgos CF00000:000
    10Huesca00000:000
    11Racing Santander00000:000
    12Almeria00000:000
    13Dep. La Coruna00000:000
    14Valladolid00000:000
    15Zaragoza00000:000
    16Real Sociedad B00000:000
    17Cultural Leonesa00000:000
    18Leganes00000:000
    19Ceuta00000:000
    20Granada CF00000:000
    21Mirandes00000:000
    22Andorra00000:000

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation