Granada vs Lugo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
13/05/2023 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 40
  • Referee: De La Fuente Ramos O. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Sports Max
portugalPortugalEleven Sports

Chances of winning


Granada
74.6%
Draw
16.9%
Lugo
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.3% 20.7% 10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 13.1% 15.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Granada's performance.
  • Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-30.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Granada that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Granada - Lugo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.26
    (1.35)
    5.65
    (4.5)
    10.99
    (9.35)
    6%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Granada - Lugo?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Granada will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Lugo will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Granada: 47.7%95.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Granada has the most likely position - 3 (22.1%), project points - 72, currently - 66, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (57%), a good chance of promoted (58%), a chance of win league (21%).
    • Lugo has the most likely position - 22 (70.18%), project points - 30, currently - 28, already of relegated.
    • This event has small quality 27, importance 50, match rating 38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Recent matches Granada is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Lugo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Lugo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Granada is absolute favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Granada won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Granada won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Granada - Lugo were as follows:
    17.12.2022 Lugo - Granada 1:0
    Latest results of Granada
    23.04.2023 Racing Santander - Granada 1:0
    15.04.2023 Granada - Las Palmas 2:1
    08.04.2023 Zaragoza - Granada 1:0
    Latest results of Lugo
    07.05.2023 Lugo - FC Andorra 2:2
    01.05.2023 Sporting de Gijón - Lugo 3:1
    23.04.2023 Lugo - Málaga 0:2
    15.04.2023 Real Oviedo - Lugo 2:1
    07.04.2023 Lugo - Tenerife 0:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander31185862:441859
    2Dep. La Coruna31167848:351355
    3Almeria31167859:431655
    4Malaga31166952:371554
    5Las Palmas311312640:241651
    6Castellon31148950:381250
    7Burgos CF31148936:261050
    8Eibar311291033:30345
    9Gijon311361242:39345
    10Ceuta311351339:50-1144
    11Albacete311191139:40-142
    12Cordoba311181241:47-641
    13Real Sociedad B311171344:43140
    14Granada CF319121037:34339
    15Andorra311091237:42-539
    16Cadiz CF311081331:39-838
    17Leganes319101236:34237
    18Valladolid31991336:45-936
    19Huesca31871630:45-1531
    20Zaragoza31791527:43-1630
    21Cultural Leonesa31771729:50-2128
    22Mirandes31761830:50-2027

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation