Tenerife vs Lugo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
07/03/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+, TVG 2

Match Stats

Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
86
Shots on target
35
Corner kicks
34
Yellow cards
15
Total shots
86
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
51
Corner kicks
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Enric ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 59', Gil N. , Chapela I. ,
  • 59', de Miguel J. , Valles G. ,
  • 60', Alba T. , Gonzalez J. ,
  • 60', Junior L. , Unzueta I. ,
  • 63', Reniero N. 🟨,
  • 68', Celorio N. , Sanchez B. ,
  • 68', Presa K. , Balboa A. ,
  • 70', Garriz I. 🟨,
  • 73', Enric , Mesa M. ,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Unzueta I. ,
  • 89', Lopez N. , Manjam A. ,
  • 90+1', Unzueta I. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Valles G. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tenerife
67.4%
Draw
24%
Lugo
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.1% 26.7% 14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 26% 13.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tenerife's performance.
  • Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lugo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tenerife that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tenerife - Lugo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.53)
    4.28
    (3.38)
    12.52
    (6.35)
    -0.6%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Tenerife is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tenerife won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tenerife - Lugo were as follows:
    07.12.2025 Lugo - Tenerife 2:2
    07.04.2023 Lugo - Tenerife 0:0
    Latest results of Tenerife
    27.02.2026 Tenerife - Real Avilés 2:2
    21.02.2026 Arenteiro - Tenerife 0:1
    14.02.2026 Tenerife - Ferrol 0:1
    31.01.2026 Tenerife - CD Guadalajara 4:0
    Latest results of Lugo
    27.02.2026 Lugo - Athletic Bilbao B 1:0
    21.02.2026 Pontevedra - Lugo 1:1
    15.02.2026 Lugo - CD Guadalajara 2:0
    07.02.2026 Ferrol - Lugo 1:1
    01.02.2026 Lugo - Ponferradina 0:2
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife352110457:203773
    2Celta Vigo B351710856:441261
    3Zamora351610949:381158
    4Real Madrid B351681155:431256
    5Pontevedra351315743:261754
    6Ponferradina351491238:32651
    7Barakaldo3513121044:36851
    8Unionistas3513101247:45249
    9AD Merida341391244:47-348
    10Racing Club Ferrol351381438:43-547
    11Arenas Getxo351451641:51-1047
    12Lugo3411131032:37-546
    13Ath Bilbao B341291334:38-445
    14Real Aviles3511101451:58-743
    15CF Talavera351091635:44-939
    16Ourense CF349111438:40-238
    17Guadalajara359101639:54-1537
    18Osasuna B35991725:39-1436
    19Cacereno347141331:45-1435
    20Arenteiro34691929:46-1727

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation