Result
1:1
07/03/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, TVG 2 |
Match Stats
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| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
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| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
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| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
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| 1 | 5 |
| Total shots |
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| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
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| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
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| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Enric ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', Gil N. ↓, Chapela I. ↑,
- 59', de Miguel J. ↓, Valles G. ↑,
- 60', Alba T. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 60', Junior L. ↓, Unzueta I. ↑,
- 63', Reniero N. 🟨,
- 68', Celorio N. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
- 68', Presa K. ↓, Balboa A. ↑,
- 70', Garriz I. 🟨,
- 73', Enric ↓, Mesa M. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 1, Unzueta I. ⚽,
- 89', Lopez N. ↓, Manjam A. ↑,
- 90+1', Unzueta I. 🟨,
- 90+4', Valles G. 🟨,
- 90+7', 🟨,
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tenerife 67.4% | Draw 24% | Lugo 8.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tenerife's performance.Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lugo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tenerife that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tenerife - Lugo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.47 ↓ (1.53) |
4.28 ↑ (3.38) |
12.52 ↑ (6.35) |
-0.6% (10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Tenerife is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tenerife won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Tenerife won against Lugo?
Tenerife has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Tenerife?
Lugo has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tenerife - Lugo were as follows:
07.12.2025
Lugo
-
Tenerife
2:2
07.04.2023
Lugo
-
Tenerife
0:0
Latest results of Tenerife
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 35 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 73 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 56:44 | 12 | 61 |
| 3 | Zamora | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 58 |
| 4 | Real Madrid B | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 35 | 13 | 15 | 7 | 43:26 | 17 | 54 |
| 6 | Ponferradina | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 38:32 | 6 | 51 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 44:36 | 8 | 51 |
| 8 | Unionistas | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 47:45 | 2 | 49 |
| 9 | AD Merida | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:47 | -3 | 48 |
| 10 | Racing Club Ferrol | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 47 |
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 35 | 14 | 5 | 16 | 41:51 | -10 | 47 |
| 12 | Lugo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 46 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 45 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 51:58 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | CF Talavera | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 35:44 | -9 | 39 |
| 16 | Ourense CF | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:40 | -2 | 38 |
| 17 | Guadalajara | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 39:54 | -15 | 37 |
| 18 | Osasuna B | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 25:39 | -14 | 36 |
| 19 | Cacereno | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 31:45 | -14 | 35 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 29:46 | -17 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation