Result
2:1
15/04/2023 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 36
- Referee: De La Fuente Ramos O. (Esp)
Chances of winning
Real Oviedo
58.2% | Draw
27.9% | Lugo
13.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Oviedo's performance.Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Oviedo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Real Oviedo - Lugo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.81) |
3.36 ↑
(3.03) |
6.72 ↑
(5.15) |
6.3%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Real Oviedo - Lugo?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Lugo will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oviedo: 32% – 80.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 15 and 22 in the zone Relegation).
- Oviedo has the most likely position - 13 (11.86%), project points - 54, currently - 43, a very small chance of relegated (1%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
- Lugo has the most likely position - 22 (76.84%), project points - 33, currently - 27, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- This event has small quality 26, very small importance 4, small match rating 15. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 1.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Lugo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Oviedo is the unquestionable favorite.
- Last 18 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 4 matches, drawn 11 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23-20.
- Including matches at home between the teams Oviedo won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-10.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Oviedo won against Lugo?
Real Oviedo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Real Oviedo?
Lugo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Oviedo - Lugo were as follows:
25.09.2022
Lugo
-
Real Oviedo
0:0
Latest results of Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 79:57 | 22 | 72 |
| 2 | Almeria | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 78:58 | 20 | 70 |
| 3 | Dep. La Coruna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 59:41 | 18 | 68 |
| 4 | Las Palmas | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 51:32 | 19 | 66 |
| 5 | Castellon | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 65:48 | 17 | 64 |
| 6 | Malaga | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 66:49 | 17 | 63 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 44:33 | 11 | 62 |
| 8 | Eibar | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:36 | 11 | 61 |
| 9 | Cordoba | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 54:56 | -2 | 57 |
| 10 | Andorra | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 56:48 | 8 | 55 |
| 11 | Ceuta | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 46:58 | -12 | 54 |
| 12 | Gijon | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 51:49 | 2 | 52 |
| 13 | Albacete | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 49:51 | -2 | 50 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 48:49 | -1 | 48 |
| 15 | Valladolid | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 41:50 | -9 | 43 |
| 16 | Leganes | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 41:46 | -5 | 42 |
| 17 | Real Sociedad B | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 46:54 | -8 | 42 |
| 18 | Cadiz CF | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Huesca | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 39:59 | -20 | 36 |
| 20 | Mirandes | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 42:64 | -22 | 36 |
| 21 | Zaragoza | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 33:51 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Cultural Leonesa | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 35:62 | -27 | 33 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
