Real Oviedo vs Lugo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2 Real Oviedo - Lugo
Result
2:1
15/04/2023 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 36
  • Referee: De La Fuente Ramos O. (Esp)

Chances of winning


Real Oviedo
58.2%
Draw
27.9%
Lugo
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.4% 30.6% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1% 30.2% 17.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Oviedo's performance.
  • Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Oviedo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Real Oviedo - Lugo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.81)
    3.36
    (3.03)
    6.72
    (5.15)
    6.3%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Real Oviedo - Lugo?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Lugo will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Oviedo: 32%80.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 15 and 22 in the zone Relegation).
    • Oviedo has the most likely position - 13 (11.86%), project points - 54, currently - 43, a very small chance of relegated (1%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • Lugo has the most likely position - 22 (76.84%), project points - 33, currently - 27, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • This event has small quality 26, very small importance 4, small match rating 15. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 1.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Lugo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Oviedo is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 4 matches, drawn 11 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23-20.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Oviedo won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-10.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Oviedo - Lugo were as follows:
    25.09.2022 Lugo - Real Oviedo 0:0
    Latest results of Real Oviedo
    09.04.2023 Las Palmas - Real Oviedo 0:1
    01.04.2023 Real Oviedo - Eibar 1:1
    26.03.2023 Granada - Real Oviedo 1:0
    18.03.2023 Leganés - Real Oviedo 0:1
    10.03.2023 Real Oviedo - Tenerife 0:0
    Latest results of Lugo
    07.04.2023 Lugo - Tenerife 0:0
    02.04.2023 Lugo - Ponferradina 0:0
    24.03.2023 Cartagena - Lugo 2:0
    19.03.2023 Lugo - Racing Santander 1:1
    11.03.2023 Deportivo Alavés - Lugo 0:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Valladolid22004:046
    2Racing Santander22006:336
    3Gijon22003:126
    4Burgos CF21105:144
    5Eibar21104:134
    6Las Palmas21104:224
    7Andorra21104:224
    8Dep. La Coruna21103:124
    9Almeria21105:414
    10Malaga21102:114
    11Cadiz CF21102:114
    12Huesca21102:114
    13Real Sociedad B21011:103
    14Leganes20202:202
    15Albacete20116:7-11
    16Mirandes20020:2-20
    17Cordoba20022:5-30
    18Castellon20021:4-30
    19Zaragoza20021:4-30
    20Ceuta20020:4-40
    21Cultural Leonesa20021:6-50
    22Granada CF20021:6-50

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation