Luka Pavlovic vs Adrian Mannarino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Mexico City Challenger Men Luka Pavlovic - Adrian Mannarino
Result
2:0
12/04/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
101
Double Faults
84
1st Serve Percentage
43%69%
1st Serve Points Won
83% (30/36)72% (38/53)
2nd Serve Points Won
51% (24/47)42% (10/24)
Break Points Saved
90% (9/10)50% (2/4)
1st Return Points Won
30% (16/53)17% (6/36)
2nd Return Points Won
58% (14/24)49% (23/47)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)10% (1/10)
Service Points Won
65% (54/83)62% (48/77)
Return Points Won
38% (29/77)35% (29/83)
Total Points Won
52% (83/160)48% (77/160)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
91% (10/11)82% (9/11)
Return Games Won
18% (2/11)9% (1/11)
Total Games Won
55% (12/22)45% (10/22)

Chances of winning


Luka Pavlovic
57.4%
Adrian Mannarino
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.5% 42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6% 40.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luka Pavlovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Adrian Mannarino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Luka Pavlovic - Adrian Mannarino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.61)

    2.21
    (2.18)
    7.2%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Luka Pavlovic - Adrian Mannarino?
  • Users Predictions: Luka Pavlovic will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.83%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Luka Pavlovic will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 295. Mannarino is ranked ATP: 134.
    • Pavlovic is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Mannarino is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Mannarino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Adrian Mannarino
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Alves M.2 : 0
    2Rodriguez Taverna S.Varillas J. P.0 : 2
    3Pavlovic L. (Alt)Napolitano S.2 : 0
    4Pacheco Mendez R.Galarneau A. (6)2 : 0
    5Mannarino A. (3)Mayo A.2 : 0
    6Mejia N.Cressy M. (Alt)2 : 0
    7Hernandez A. (WC)Sakamoto P. (Q)2 : 0
    8Tomic B.Paris T. (Alt)2 : 0
    9Ficovich J. P. (5)Perez A. (Q)0 : 2
    10Aguilar J. C. M. (Q)Martin A. (Q)0 : 2
    11Alujas R. (WC)Blanch Dar. (WC)1 : 2
    12Zhukayev B.Meligeni Alves F. (4)1 : 2
    13Huesler M. (7)Zahraj P.2 : 0
    14Janvier M.Oberleitner N. (Q)1 : 2
    15Soto M.Neuchrist M. (Q)2 : 0
    16Dougaz A.Tirante T. A. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Varillas J. P.1 : 2
    2Pavlovic L.Pacheco Mendez R.2 : 0
    3Mannarino A. (3)Mejia N.2 : 1
    4Hernandez A.Tomic B.0 : 2
    5Perez A.Martin A.2 : 0
    6Blanch Dar.Meligeni Alves F. (4)0 : 2
    7Huesler M. (7)Oberleitner N.2 : 0
    8Soto M.Dougaz A.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Varillas J. P.Pavlovic L.1 : 2
    2Mannarino A. (3)Tomic B.2 : 1
    3Perez A.Meligeni Alves F. (4)0 : 2
    4Huesler M. (7)Dougaz A.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Pavlovic L.Mannarino A. (3)2 : 0
    2Meligeni Alves F. (4)Huesler M. (7)2 : 1

    Final
    1Pavlovic L.Meligeni Alves F. (4)0 : 2