Luka Pavlovic vs Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Mexico City Challenger Men Luka Pavlovic - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Result
0:2
13/04/2025 at 16:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City, clay - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2

Match Stats

Aces
101
Double Faults
70
1st Serve Percentage
53%73%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (19/30)86% (32/37)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (13/27)64% (9/14)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/3)0% (0/0)
1st Return Points Won
14% (5/37)37% (11/30)
2nd Return Points Won
36% (5/14)52% (14/27)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/0)100% (3/3)
Service Points Won
56% (30/54)79% (37/47)
Return Points Won
21% (10/47)44% (24/54)
Total Points Won
40% (40/101)60% (61/101)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
67% (6/9)100% (9/9)
Return Games Won
0% (0/9)33% (3/9)
Total Games Won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Luka Pavlovic
38.8%
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.7% 53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8% 54.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luka Pavlovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luka Pavlovic's form might have worsened.
  • Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luka Pavlovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Luka Pavlovic - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (1.97)

    1.53
    (1.73)
    7%
    (8.5%)
    What is the prediction for Luka Pavlovic - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pavlovic will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Meligeni will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 295. Meligeni is ranked ATP: 153.
    • Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.
    • Pavlovic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
    • Our prediction for today's Meligeni to win the game is with odds 1.73.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Alves M.2 : 0
    2Rodriguez Taverna S.Varillas J. P.0 : 2
    3Pavlovic L. (Alt)Napolitano S.2 : 0
    4Pacheco Mendez R.Galarneau A. (6)2 : 0
    5Mannarino A. (3)Mayo A.2 : 0
    6Mejia N.Cressy M. (Alt)2 : 0
    7Hernandez A. (WC)Sakamoto P. (Q)2 : 0
    8Tomic B.Paris T. (Alt)2 : 0
    9Ficovich J. P. (5)Perez A. (Q)0 : 2
    10Aguilar J. C. M. (Q)Martin A. (Q)0 : 2
    11Alujas R. (WC)Blanch Dar. (WC)1 : 2
    12Zhukayev B.Meligeni Alves F. (4)1 : 2
    13Huesler M. (7)Zahraj P.2 : 0
    14Janvier M.Oberleitner N. (Q)1 : 2
    15Soto M.Neuchrist M. (Q)2 : 0
    16Dougaz A.Tirante T. A. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Varillas J. P.1 : 2
    2Pavlovic L.Pacheco Mendez R.2 : 0
    3Mannarino A. (3)Mejia N.2 : 1
    4Hernandez A.Tomic B.0 : 2
    5Perez A.Martin A.2 : 0
    6Blanch Dar.Meligeni Alves F. (4)0 : 2
    7Huesler M. (7)Oberleitner N.2 : 0
    8Soto M.Dougaz A.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Varillas J. P.Pavlovic L.1 : 2
    2Mannarino A. (3)Tomic B.2 : 1
    3Perez A.Meligeni Alves F. (4)0 : 2
    4Huesler M. (7)Dougaz A.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Pavlovic L.Mannarino A. (3)2 : 0
    2Meligeni Alves F. (4)Huesler M. (7)2 : 1

    Final
    1Pavlovic L.Meligeni Alves F. (4)0 : 2