Result
2:1
01/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 24
- Referee: Rodrigues J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 35 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Claudio Falcao ⚽,
- 20', Sangare B. 🟨,
- 38', Claudio Falcao 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', Martins R. ↓, Tiago Dias ↑,
- 64', Poveda D. ↓, Dorregaray D. ↑,
- 70', Cerveira T. ↓, Joao Vasco ↑,
- 70', Teixeira M. ↓, Fabinho ↑,
- 70', Josue Sa ↓, Faria B. ↑,
- 78', Almeida B. ↓, Matias M. ↑,
- 78', Sangare B. ↓, Menino M. ↑,
- 78', Semedo Y. ↓, Carter A. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 1, Silva J. ⚽, Tiago Dias (A),
- 81', Carter A. 🟨,
- 84', Matias M. 🟨,
- 86', Jaiminho ↓, Candeias A. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 1, Candeias A. ⚽,
- 90+8', Araujo B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Farense
44% | Draw
28.5% | Lusitânia
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Farense's form might have worsened.Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Farense - Lusitânia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(1.9) |
3.25 ↓
(3.4) |
3.35 ↓
(3.98) |
8.4%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Farense - Lusitânia?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Farense will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Lusitânia will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Farense: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Farense (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Lusitânia (3.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Lusitânia (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Farense (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Lusitânia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 5).
- Farense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lusitânia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Farense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Farense is the team to beat.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Farense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Farense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Farense won against Lusitânia?
Farense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lusitânia won against Farense?
Lusitânia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Farense - Lusitânia were as follows:
04.10.2025
Lusitânia
-
Farense
1:2
Latest results of Farense
Latest results of Lusitânia
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38:19 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 37:23 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Porto B | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 5 | Torreense | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 6 | Leiria | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Vizela | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Feirense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Chaves | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | Oliveirense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
