Result
1:2
04/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 7
- Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
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44% | 56% |
Total shots |
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8 | 7 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 0 |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 3 |
Total shots |
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8 | 7 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 5 |
Shots off target |
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4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
18 | 18 |
Throw-ins |
---|
31 | 23 |
Fouls |
---|
17 | 17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 7', 1 - 0, Tiago Dias ⚽, Arsenio (A),
- 14', 1 - 1, Matias M. ⚽,
- 38', 1 - 2, Derick Poloni (Pen),
- 42', Joao Vasco 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Joao Vasco ↓, Danny ↑,
- 55', Claudio Falcao 🟨,
- 58', Braga G. ↓, Fabinho ↑,
- 68', Dario Miranda ↓, Rivaldo ↑,
- 68', Jaiminho ↓, Semedo Y. ↑,
- 70', Collard D. 🟨,
- 73', Rivaldo 🟨,
- 74', Arsenio ↓, Do Marcolino F. ↑,
- 74', Teixeira M. ↓, Palacios A. ↑,
- 76', Teixeira R. ↓, Menino M. ↑,
- 83', Rocha L. ↓, Cerveira T. ↑,
- 84', Matias M. ↓, Dorregaray D. ↑,
- 84', Sangare B. ↓, Poveda D. ↑,
- 85', Araujo B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lusitânia 37% | Draw 29.9% | Farense 33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Lusitânia - Farense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.57 ↓ (2.66) |
3.24 ↑ (3.14) |
3 ↑ (2.7) |
3% (6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lusitânia - Farense?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Lusitânia will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lusitânia (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lusitânia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Lusitânia won against Farense?
Lusitânia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Farense won against Lusitânia?
Farense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lusitânia - Farense were as follows:
Latest results of Lusitânia
Latest results of Farense
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sporting CP B | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11:3 | 8 | 15 |
2 | Vizela | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 14 |
3 | Maritimo | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 14 |
4 | Chaves | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 13 |
5 | Leiria | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
6 | Portimonense | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
7 | Torreense | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 11 |
8 | Felgueiras | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
9 | SC Farense | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
10 | Lusitania FC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
11 | Feirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 8 |
12 | Penafiel | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
13 | Oliveirense | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
14 | Leixoes | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Academico Viseu | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 6 |
16 | Pacos Ferreira | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
17 | Benfica B | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 4 |
18 | FC Porto B | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3