Luton Town vs Port Vale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
13/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 20
  • Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.031.62
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
73% (299/409)58% (167/286)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.031.62
xG on target (xGOT)
1.721.83
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
1615
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
911
Passes
73% (299/409)58% (167/286)
Long passes
25% (20/80)24% (18/76)
Passes in final third
58% (84/146)48% (58/120)
Crosses
15% (4/26)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.830.33
Throw-ins
2131
Fouls
119
Tackles
35% (6/17)50% (7/14)
Duels won
5569
Clearances
4827
Interceptions
37
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.831.72
Goals prevented
-0.17-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', Heneghan B. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 0, Bramall C. ,
  • 34', Ojo F. , Walters R. ,
  • 42', 1 - 1, Waine B. , Paton R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Alli M. , Morris S. ,
  • 54', 1 - 2, Cole D. ,
  • 62', Saville G. , Clark J. ,
  • 62', Brown J. , Wells N. ,
  • 65', Clark J. 🟨,
  • 70', 2 - 2, Andersen M. , Walsh L. (A),
  • 71', Lonwijk N. , Fanne L. ,
  • 76', Hall G. , Brown D. ,
  • 76', Paton R. , Faal M. ,
  • 77', Byers G. 🟨,
  • 85', Waine B. , Stockley J. ,
  • 85', Kyle John , Debrah J. ,
  • 86', Walsh L. , Nordas L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Luton Town
52.2%
Draw
27.2%
Port Vale
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.2% 27.1% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2% 26.6% 19.3%

Luton Town - Port Vale Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.8
(1.76)
3.45
(3.45)
4.54
(4.74)
6.6%
(6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Luton Town - Port Vale?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 57.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Luton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Port Vale has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Luton is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Al Hamadi A. (Inactive) Jones I. (Injury) Wells N. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Clark M. (Neck Injury) Garrity B. (Inactive) Gordon L. (Injury) Lawrence-Gabriel J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Luton: Baptiste S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Port Vale: Johnson M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Luton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Luton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of Luton Town
    Latest results of Port Vale
    09.12.2025 Port Vale - Bradford City Postponed
    06.12.2025 Port Vale - Bristol Rovers 1:0
    02.12.2025 Port Vale - Barnsley 5:0
    29.11.2025 Lincoln City - Port Vale 1:0
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff25164543:251852
    2Lincoln25146540:261448
    3Bradford City24137434:25946
    4Stockport County25126734:30442
    5Huddersfield26116945:351039
    6Bolton25109632:25739
    7Luton25115935:30538
    8Stevenage23107627:20737
    9Reading2498732:28435
    10Peterborough251121233:34-135
    11Wycombe2589832:28433
    12Mansfield2395931:28332
    13AFC Wimbledon24941127:33-631
    14Exeter24931225:23230
    15Wigan2479826:27-130
    16Plymouth25931332:39-730
    17Barnsley2185833:33029
    18Leyton Orient25851236:42-629
    19Blackpool25851231:37-629
    20Northampton24851122:28-629
    21Burton24761123:34-1127
    22Rotherham24661222:35-1324
    23Doncaster24651324:41-1723
    24Port Vale23461318:31-1318

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two