Port Vale vs Luton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Vale Park (Stoke on Trent).

League One - Round 35
Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.75	1.63
Ball possession
40%	60%
Total shots
12	12
Shots on target
5	5
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
6	6
Passes
67% (181/272)	76% (325/429)
Yellow cards
3	3
Expected goals (xG)
0.75	1.63
xG on target (xGOT)
0.81	1.47
Total shots
12	12
Shots on target
5	5
Shots off target
2	3
Blocked shots
5	4
Shots inside the box
7	8
Shots outside the box
5	4
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
6	6
Touches in opposition box
16	29
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	2
Free kicks
15	21
Passes
67% (181/272)	76% (325/429)
Long passes
30% (20/67)	26% (14/53)
Passes in final third
53% (49/92)	63% (97/154)
Crosses
27% (6/22)	24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.96	1.51
Throw ins
16	18
Fouls
21	15
Tackles
74% (17/23)	74% (14/19)
Duels won
66	63
Clearances
41	32
Interceptions
6	2
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	4
xGOT faced
1.47	0.81
Goals prevented
0.47	-0.19

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Wells N. ⚽, Lawrence E. (A),
6', Hall G. 🟨,
22', Johnson J. 🟨,
25', Humphreys C. 🟨,
29', 1 - 1, Waine B. ⚽, Hall G. (A),
40', Clark J. 🟨,
43', Naismith K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Wells N. ↓, Al Hamadi A. ↑,
61', Richards J. ↓, Palmer K. ↑,
66', Stockley J. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
71', Walsh L. ↓, van den Berg D. ↑,
77', Walters R. ↓, Shipley J. ↑,
78', Hall G. ↓, Sherif M. ↑,
80', Jones I. ↓, Morris S. ↑,
81', Lonwijk N. ↓, Odoffin H. ↑,
87', Waine B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Port Vale
30.1%

Draw
28.5%

Luton Town
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

29.4%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

28.5%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Port Vale - Luton Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↓ (3.34)	3.27 ↑ (3.17)	2.26 ↑ (2.19)	7% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Port Vale - Luton Town?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Luton will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Luton (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 10).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Luton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Luton might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Baptiste S. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Port Vale: Byers G. (Injury) Croasdale R. (Inactive) Garrity B. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Luton: Bramall C. (Inactive) Mengi T. (Injury) Odoffin H. (Inactive) Sandal S. (Inactive) Walsh L. (Inactive)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Port Vale won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Luton Town?

Port Vale has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Port Vale?

Luton Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Luton Town were as follows:

13.12.2025 Luton Town - Port Vale 2:2

Latest results of Port Vale

24.02.2026 Northampton Town - Port Vale 0:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Port Vale - Reading 1:1 ✺

17.02.2026 Stevenage Borough - Port Vale 2:1 ✺

10.02.2026 Port Vale - Stockport County 0:4 ✺

07.02.2026 Port Vale - Burton Albion 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Luton Town

24.02.2026 Luton Town - Plymouth Argyle 2:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Luton Town - Burton Albion 1:1 ✺

18.02.2026 Wigan Athletic - Luton Town 1:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Cardiff City - Luton Town 3:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Luton Town - Bradford City 2:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln ✔	45	30	10	5	87:41	46	100
2	Cardiff ✔	45	27	10	8	86:45	41	91
3	Bolton ✔	45	19	18	8	68:49	19	75
4	Stockport County	45	21	11	13	68:57	11	74
5	Bradford City	45	21	11	13	56:50	6	74
6	Stevenage	45	20	12	13	48:46	2	72
7	Luton	45	20	11	14	65:54	11	71
8	Plymouth	45	21	7	17	72:61	11	70
9	Huddersfield	45	17	13	15	70:64	6	64
10	Reading	45	16	15	14	64:59	5	63
11	Mansfield	45	15	17	13	57:46	11	62
12	Wycombe	45	16	12	17	66:56	10	60
13	Barnsley	45	15	14	16	67:70	-3	59
14	Blackpool	45	16	9	20	53:65	-12	57
15	Doncaster	45	16	9	20	47:68	-21	57
16	Wigan	45	14	14	17	49:57	-8	56
17	Peterborough	45	15	8	22	63:65	-2	53
18	Burton	45	13	14	18	48:58	-10	53
19	AFC Wimbledon	45	15	8	22	51:68	-17	53
20	Leyton Orient	45	14	9	22	57:69	-12	51
21	Exeter	45	12	13	20	51:59	-8	49
22	Port Vale ✔	45	10	12	23	36:59	-23	42
23	Rotherham ✔	45	10	11	24	39:68	-29	41
24	Northampton ✔	45	9	8	28	37:71	-34	35

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two

Clinched Spots for Teams

Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two