Reading vs Luton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Select Car Leasing Stadium (Reading).

League One - Round 21
Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Iceland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	NOW
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Singapore	mio Sports 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Turkey	Exxen
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.24	0.99
Ball Possession
34%	66%
Total shots
8	11
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
0	5
Passes
65% (192/294)	83% (450/543)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24	0.99
xG on target (xGOT)
1.21	1.07
Total shots
8	11
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked Shots
1	4
Shots inside the Box
3	8
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
0	5
Touches in opposition box
7	28
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
8	9
Passes
65% (192/294)	83% (450/543)
Long passes
28% (24/85)	37% (19/51)
Passes in final third
36% (30/84)	66% (90/136)
Crosses
33% (1/3)	17% (4/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.14	0.47
Throw-ins
18	31
Fouls
9	8
Tackles
64% (16/25)	60% (6/10)
Duels won
53	38
Clearances
36	12
Interceptions
10	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
1.07	1.21
Goals prevented
-0.93	-1.79

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Wing L. (Penalty Awarded),
45+1', Naismith K. ↓, Morris S. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', 2 - 0, Marriott J. ⚽, Williams R. (A),
59', 2 - 1, Clark J. ⚽,
64', Wells N. ↓, Yates J. ↑,
64', Clark J. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
65', Marriott J. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan K. ↑,
71', Dorsett A. J. R. ↓, Abrefa K. ↑,
72', Yiadom A. 🟨,
76', 2 - 2, Lonwijk N. ⚽, Walsh L. (A),
77', Brown J. 🟨,
78', 3 - 2, Ehibhatiomhan K. ⚽, Williams D. (A),
86', Kyerewaa D. ↓, Fraser L. ↑,
86', Yiadom A. ↓, Burns F. ↑,
86', Doyle K. ↓, O'Mahony M. ↑,
86', Fanne L. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
86', Walsh L. ↓, Saville G. ↑,
90', Ehibhatiomhan K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Reading
37%

Draw
30%

Luton Town
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Reading's performance.

Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Reading that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Reading - Luton Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (3.23)	3.1 ↓ (3.23)	2.84 ↑ (2.12)	6.7% (9.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Reading - Luton Town?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Luton will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 23.4% – 70.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Reading (votes: 2 - 40%). Luton (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Luton (1.97) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Luton (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Luton (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Reading (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Luton (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 18 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reading won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Reading may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Reading: Elliott B. (Inactive) Rinomhota A. (International duty)
There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Al Hamadi A. (Inactive) Jones I. (Injury) Nakamba M. (International duty) Odoffin H. (Inactive) Richards J. (Injury)
There are questionable in Reading: Jacob M. (Injury) Lane P. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Luton: Baptiste S. (Knee Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Reading won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.1:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Reading won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Reading won against Luton Town?

Reading has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Reading?

Luton Town has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Reading - Luton Town were as follows:

19.04.2023 Reading - Luton Town 1:1

01.11.2022 Luton Town - Reading 0:0

Latest results of Reading

13.12.2025 Bradford City - Reading 2:0 ✺

09.12.2025 Reading - Peterborough United 1:2 ✺

29.11.2025 Blackpool - Reading 0:3 ✺

22.11.2025 Reading - Rotherham United 1:1 ✺

06.11.2025 Reading - Stevenage Borough 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Luton Town

13.12.2025 Luton Town - Port Vale 2:2 ✺

09.12.2025 Leyton Orient - Luton Town 1:1 ✺

06.12.2025 Fleetwood Town - Luton Town 3:2 ✺

02.12.2025 Luton Town - Exeter City 4:0 ✺

29.11.2025 Luton Town - Bolton Wanderers 1:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	33	21	6	6	64:36	28	69
2	Lincoln	33	20	8	5	59:31	28	68
3	Bolton	34	15	13	6	45:33	12	58
4	Bradford City	33	17	7	9	42:36	6	58
5	Stockport County	33	16	8	9	46:41	5	56
6	Huddersfield	34	15	7	12	55:45	10	52
7	Reading	33	12	12	9	48:43	5	48
8	Stevenage	32	13	9	10	35:34	1	48
9	Wycombe	33	12	11	10	46:36	10	47
10	Luton	33	13	7	13	42:40	2	46
11	Plymouth	33	14	4	15	49:49	0	46
12	Peterborough	34	14	3	17	49:48	1	45
13	AFC Wimbledon	32	12	6	14	39:46	-7	42
14	Exeter	32	11	8	13	37:34	3	41
15	Barnsley	30	11	8	11	50:52	-2	41
16	Mansfield	31	10	9	12	37:35	2	39
17	Burton	33	10	9	14	38:46	-8	39
18	Doncaster	32	11	6	15	36:51	-15	39
19	Blackpool	33	10	7	16	40:50	-10	37
20	Leyton Orient	32	10	6	16	43:53	-10	36
21	Wigan	32	8	10	14	34:46	-12	34
22	Northampton	34	9	7	18	30:46	-16	34
23	Rotherham	32	8	7	17	32:47	-15	31
24	Port Vale	31	6	8	17	25:43	-18	26

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two