Result
2:3
07/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 36
- Referee: Mackey O. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.78 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (336/416) | 78% (266/342) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 3.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (336/416) | 78% (266/342) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (20/55) | 40% (26/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (105/160) | 53% (42/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (5/29) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.99 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 35% (6/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.11 | 0.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | -1.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Ehibhatiomhan K. ⚽,
- 21', Fraser L. 🟨,
- 44', O'Connor P. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 1, Lonwijk N. ⚽, Lawrence E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 53', 2 - 1, Saville G. ⚽, Clark J. (A),
- 61', Fraser L. ↓, Patton S. ↑,
- 66', Richards J. ↓, Walsh L. ↑,
- 66', Cole D. ↓, Wells N. ↑,
- 70', Clark J. 🟨,
- 72', Doyle K. ↓, Lane P. ↑,
- 72', Yiadom A. ↓, Ritchie M. ↑,
- 78', Palmer K. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
- 78', Lawrence E. ↓, Bramall C. ↑,
- 80', Williams D. 🟨,
- 81', 2 - 2, Ehibhatiomhan K. ⚽, Ritchie M. (A),
- 84', 2 - 3, Ehibhatiomhan K. ⚽, Ritchie M. (A),
- 88', Jones I. ↓, Morris S. ↑,
- 90+1', Pereira J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Ehibhatiomhan K. ↓, Burns F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Luton Town
53.2% | Draw
25.3% | Reading
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)The chances for Reading have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Luton Town - Reading Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.75) |
3.71 ↑
(3.64) |
4.33 ↑
(4.3) |
6.5%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Luton Town - Reading?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Reading will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 17% – 68.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Reading (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 and 8)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 2.
- Recent performances by Luton have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Reading is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Reading may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Luton is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Knee Injury)
Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
Mengi T.
(Injury)
Sandal S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Reading: Elliott B.
(Inactive)
Kyerewaa D.
(Inactive)
O'Mahony M.
(Inactive)
Roberts H.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Luton: Bramall C.
(Inactive)
Odoffin H.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Reading: Rinomhota A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Luton won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 0.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Reading?
Luton Town has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reading won against Luton Town?
Reading has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Reading were as follows:
18.12.2025
Reading
-
Luton Town
3:2
19.04.2023
Reading
-
Luton Town
1:1
01.11.2022
Luton Town
-
Reading
0:0
Latest results of Luton Town
Latest results of Reading
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 71:34 | 37 | 81 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 76 |
| 3 | Bolton | 38 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 55:38 | 17 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 48:42 | 6 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 50:47 | 3 | 59 |
| 6 | Reading | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 57:50 | 7 | 58 |
| 7 | Huddersfield | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 58:48 | 10 | 57 |
| 8 | Stevenage | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 40:38 | 2 | 57 |
| 9 | Wycombe | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 55:41 | 14 | 56 |
| 10 | Plymouth | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 57:53 | 4 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 51:48 | 3 | 54 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 59:59 | 0 | 50 |
| 13 | Peterborough | 37 | 15 | 4 | 18 | 56:51 | 5 | 49 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 37 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 48:54 | -6 | 49 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43:40 | 3 | 46 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 37 | 13 | 6 | 18 | 53:62 | -9 | 45 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 40:59 | -19 | 44 |
| 18 | Burton | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 42:53 | -11 | 43 |
| 19 | Exeter | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42:50 | -8 | 42 |
| 20 | Wigan | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 39:51 | -12 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 41 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 35:55 | -20 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 32:52 | -20 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28:49 | -21 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
