Reading vs Luton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
18/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 21
  • Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Premium
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
japanJapanDAZN Japan
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
singaporeSingaporemio Sports 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
turkeyTurkeyExxen
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports UHD
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.99
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
05
Passes
65% (192/294)83% (450/543)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.99
xG on target (xGOT)
1.211.07
Total shots
811
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
38
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
05
Touches in opposition box
728
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
89
Passes
65% (192/294)83% (450/543)
Long passes
28% (24/85)37% (19/51)
Passes in final third
36% (30/84)66% (90/136)
Crosses
33% (1/3)17% (4/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.140.47
Throw-ins
1831
Fouls
98
Tackles
64% (16/25)60% (6/10)
Duels won
5338
Clearances
3612
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.071.21
Goals prevented
-0.93-1.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Wing L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45+1', Naismith K. , Morris S. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 52', 2 - 0, Marriott J. , Williams R. (A),
  • 59', 2 - 1, Clark J. ,
  • 64', Wells N. , Yates J. ,
  • 64', Clark J. , Brown J. ,
  • 65', Marriott J. , Ehibhatiomhan K. ,
  • 71', Dorsett A. J. R. , Abrefa K. ,
  • 72', Yiadom A. 🟨,
  • 76', 2 - 2, Lonwijk N. , Walsh L. (A),
  • 77', Brown J. 🟨,
  • 78', 3 - 2, Ehibhatiomhan K. , Williams D. (A),
  • 86', Kyerewaa D. , Fraser L. ,
  • 86', Yiadom A. , Burns F. ,
  • 86', Doyle K. , O'Mahony M. ,
  • 86', Fanne L. , Nelson Z. ,
  • 86', Walsh L. , Saville G. ,
  • 90', Ehibhatiomhan K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Reading
37%
Draw
30%
Luton Town
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.4% 28.4% 43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9% 27.9% 44.1%

Reading - Luton Town Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.55
(3.23)
3.1
(3.23)
2.84
(2.12)
6.7%
(9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Reading - Luton Town?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Luton will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 23.4%70.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Reading (votes: 2 - 40%). Luton (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Luton (1.97) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Luton (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Luton (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Reading (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Luton (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 18 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reading won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Reading may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Reading: Elliott B. (Inactive) Rinomhota A. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Al Hamadi A. (Inactive) Jones I. (Injury) Nakamba M. (International duty) Odoffin H. (Inactive) Richards J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Reading: Jacob M. (Injury) Lane P. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Luton: Baptiste S. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Reading won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Reading won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Reading - Luton Town were as follows:
    19.04.2023 Reading - Luton Town 1:1
    01.11.2022 Luton Town - Reading 0:0
    Latest results of Reading
    13.12.2025 Bradford City - Reading 2:0
    29.11.2025 Blackpool - Reading 0:3
    22.11.2025 Reading - Rotherham United 1:1
    Latest results of Luton Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff29186552:292360
    2Lincoln29177548:291958
    3Bolton301410638:271152
    4Stockport County29157742:35752
    5Bradford City28147736:31549
    6Huddersfield301461051:401148
    7Luton291261138:34442
    8Stevenage28119830:27342
    9Wycombe291010936:31540
    10Reading281010839:35440
    11Mansfield27108936:30638
    12Peterborough291221537:39-238
    13Exeter281141333:30337
    14Barnsley26107942:43-137
    15Plymouth291141436:42-637
    16AFC Wimbledon281051329:36-735
    17Doncaster29961433:46-1333
    18Blackpool29951535:42-732
    19Leyton Orient29951540:49-932
    20Wigan287101129:34-531
    21Rotherham28871331:40-931
    22Burton29871431:43-1231
    23Northampton29861526:38-1230
    24Port Vale27561620:38-1821

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