Luton Town vs Reading – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Kenilworth Road (Luton).

League One - Round 36
Referee: Mackey O. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.47	1.78
Ball possession
56%	44%
Total shots
19	10
Shots on target
2	6
Big chances
2	3
Corner kicks
10	4
Passes
81% (336/416)	78% (266/342)
Yellow cards
1	4
Expected goals (xG)
1.47	1.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.91	3.11
Total shots
19	10
Shots on target
2	6
Shots off target
7	1
Blocked shots
10	3
Shots inside the box
12	7
Shots outside the box
7	3
Hit the woodwork
2	0
Headed goals
1	1
Big chances
2	3
Corner kicks
10	4
Touches in opposition box
26	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free kicks
20	11
Passes
81% (336/416)	78% (266/342)
Long passes
36% (20/55)	40% (26/65)
Passes in final third
66% (105/160)	53% (42/80)
Crosses
17% (5/29)	29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.14	0.99
Throw ins
30	19
Fouls
11	20
Tackles
60% (9/15)	35% (6/17)
Duels won
54	57
Clearances
18	43
Interceptions
5	14
Errors leading to shot
1	2
Errors leading to goal
2	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	0
xGOT faced
3.11	0.91
Goals prevented
0.11	-1.09

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Ehibhatiomhan K. ⚽,
21', Fraser L. 🟨,
44', O'Connor P. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Lonwijk N. ⚽, Lawrence E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 2 - 1, Saville G. ⚽, Clark J. (A),
61', Fraser L. ↓, Patton S. ↑,
66', Richards J. ↓, Walsh L. ↑,
66', Cole D. ↓, Wells N. ↑,
70', Clark J. 🟨,
72', Doyle K. ↓, Lane P. ↑,
72', Yiadom A. ↓, Ritchie M. ↑,
78', Palmer K. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
78', Lawrence E. ↓, Bramall C. ↑,
80', Williams D. 🟨,
81', 2 - 2, Ehibhatiomhan K. ⚽, Ritchie M. (A),
84', 2 - 3, Ehibhatiomhan K. ⚽, Ritchie M. (A),
88', Jones I. ↓, Morris S. ↑,
90+1', Pereira J. 🟨,
90+4', Ehibhatiomhan K. ↓, Burns F. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Luton Town
53.2%

Draw
25.3%

Reading
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

25.5%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

27.6%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The chances for Reading have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Luton Town - Reading Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.75)	3.71 ↑ (3.64)	4.33 ↑ (4.3)	6.5% (8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Luton Town - Reading?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Reading will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 17% – 68.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Reading (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 and 8)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 2.
Recent performances by Luton have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Reading is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Reading may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Luton is the team to beat.
There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Baptiste S. (Knee Injury) Mengi T. (Injury) Sandal S. (Inactive)
There will not play in Reading: Elliott B. (Inactive) Kyerewaa D. (Inactive) O'Mahony M. (Inactive) Roberts H. (Injury)
There are questionable in Luton: Bramall C. (Inactive) Odoffin H. (Injury)
There are questionable in Reading: Rinomhota A. (Inactive)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Luton won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 0.4:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Reading?

Luton Town has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Reading won against Luton Town?

Reading has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Reading were as follows:

18.12.2025 Reading - Luton Town 3:2

19.04.2023 Reading - Luton Town 1:1

01.11.2022 Luton Town - Reading 0:0

Latest results of Luton Town

04.03.2026 Luton Town - Northampton Town 2:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Port Vale - Luton Town 1:1 ✺

24.02.2026 Luton Town - Plymouth Argyle 2:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Luton Town - Burton Albion 1:1 ✺

18.02.2026 Wigan Athletic - Luton Town 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Reading

28.02.2026 Reading - Bradford City 2:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Port Vale - Reading 1:1 ✺

17.02.2026 Reading - Bolton Wanderers 1:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Reading - Wycombe Wanderers 3:2 ✺

10.02.2026 Wigan Athletic - Reading 1:2 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln ✔	41	27	9	5	77:35	42	90
2	Cardiff	40	23	9	8	74:42	32	78
3	Bradford City	41	21	8	12	52:45	7	71
4	Bolton	41	18	16	7	59:42	17	70
5	Stockport County	40	19	10	11	59:50	9	67
6	Stevenage	40	18	10	12	42:38	4	64
7	Plymouth	41	19	5	17	64:56	8	62
8	Reading	42	16	14	12	62:54	8	62
9	Huddersfield	41	17	10	14	62:53	9	61
10	Luton	41	17	10	14	57:50	7	61
11	Wycombe	42	16	11	15	60:48	12	59
12	Mansfield	39	13	14	12	49:41	8	53
13	Peterborough	40	15	6	19	59:55	4	51
14	Barnsley	39	13	12	14	60:64	-4	51
15	Leyton Orient	41	14	8	19	56:64	-8	50
16	AFC Wimbledon	41	14	8	19	49:62	-13	50
17	Doncaster	41	14	8	19	42:64	-22	50
18	Wigan	41	12	13	16	44:55	-11	49
19	Burton	42	12	12	18	45:56	-11	48
20	Blackpool	42	13	9	20	48:64	-16	48
21	Exeter	42	12	10	20	45:53	-8	46
22	Rotherham	40	9	10	21	35:59	-24	37
23	Northampton	41	9	8	24	34:60	-26	35
24	Port Vale	39	8	10	21	30:54	-24	34

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two

Clinched Spots for Teams

Lincoln is Qualified for Championship