Reading vs Luton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Reading - Luton Town
Result
1:1
19/04/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 43
  • Referee: Robinson T. (Eng)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Reading
18.6%
Draw
27.6%
Luton Town
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.8% 26.9% 47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25% 26% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reading's form might have worsened.
  • Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luton Town's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reading, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Reading - Luton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.18
    (3.61)
    3.43
    (3.47)
    1.77
    (1.97)
    5.1%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Reading - Luton Town?
  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 6 - 14.6%). Luton will win (votes: 32 - 78%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 65.3%90.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Reading has the most likely position - 22 (27.85%), project points - 46, currently - 42, a chance of relegated (36%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • Luton has the most likely position - 3 (69.48%), project points - 81, currently - 74, not chance of relegated, a very good chance of prom. playoffs (99%), a chance of promoted (31%), not chance of win league.
    • This event has quality 40, importance 48, match rating 44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Reading won 0.
    • Recent matches Reading is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Luton is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Luton is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Reading: Baba A. (Leg Injury) Ejaria O. (Knee Injury) Hoilett J. (Muscle Injury) Hutchinson S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ince T. (Injury) Long S. (Injury) McIntyre T. (Injury) Moore L. (Injury) Tetek D. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Luton: Walton J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Luton: Clark J. (Injury) Osho G. (Injury) Potts D. (Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Reading won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-6.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Reading won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Reading - Luton Town were as follows:
    01.11.2022 Luton Town - Reading 0:0
    Latest results of Reading
    15.04.2023 Reading - Burnley 0:0
    07.04.2023 Reading - Birmingham City 1:1
    01.04.2023 Bristol City - Reading 1:1
    18.03.2023 Reading - Hull City 1:1
    Latest results of Luton Town
    10.04.2023 Luton Town - Blackpool 3:1
    07.04.2023 Millwall - Luton Town 0:0
    01.04.2023 Luton Town - Watford 2:0
    18.03.2023 Sunderland - Luton Town 1:1
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stoke33008:269
    2Middlesbrough33006:159
    3Coventry321012:487
    4West Brom32105:327
    5Birmingham32104:227
    6Preston32104:227
    7Leicester32014:316
    8Millwall32013:4-16
    9Bristol City31205:235
    10Southampton31114:404
    11Portsmouth31113:304
    12Watford31113:304
    13Swansea31112:204
    14Charlton31111:104
    15Hull31113:5-24
    16Blackburn31024:313
    17Norwich31024:5-13
    18Ipswich30212:3-12
    19Wrexham30125:7-21
    20Derby30125:9-41
    21Sheffield Wed30123:7-41
    22QPR30123:10-71
    23Oxford Utd30032:5-30
    24Sheffield Utd30031:6-50

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One