Luton Town vs Rotherham United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Kenilworth Road (Luton).

League One - Round 16
Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	LTFC+, Sky Go, Sky Sports+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.57	0.04
Ball Possession
69%	31%
Total shots
12	2
Shots on target
3	1
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
3	4
Passes
86% (460/535)	61% (144/236)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57	0.04
xG on target (xGOT)
0.37	0.03
Total shots
12	2
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
5	1
Blocked Shots
4	0
Shots inside the Box
6	2
Shots outside the Box
6	0
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
3	4
Touches in opposition box
19	8
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	3
Free Kicks
9	8
Passes
86% (460/535)	61% (144/236)
Long passes
38% (15/40)	29% (18/63)
Passes in final third
70% (105/151)	40% (35/87)
Crosses
19% (4/21)	14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.59	0.13
Throw-ins
33	25
Fouls
8	9
Tackles
60% (12/20)	60% (18/30)
Duels won
51	45
Clearances
28	28
Interceptions
7	8
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.03	0.37
Goals prevented
0.03	0.37

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Andersen M. 🟨,
45+3', Hugill J. ↓, Benson J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Richards J. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
46', Sherif M. ↓, Ayres J. ↑,
61', Wells N. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
78', Fanne L. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
78', Bramall C. ↓, Alli M. ↑,
83', Douglas H. 🟨,
84', McWilliams S. ↓, Yearwood D. ↑,
90', Ayres J. ↓, Kelly L. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Luton Town
61.8%

Draw
22.3%

Rotherham United
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

22.6%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

21.9%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Luton Town - Rotherham United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.52)	4.23 ↑ (4.08)	5.85 ↑ (5.54)	6.1% (8.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Luton Town - Rotherham United?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Rotherham will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 47.7% – 95.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 3 - 60%). Rotherham (votes: 2 - 40%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 9 and 12).
Now, both teams are in good form.
Luton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Rotherham has had a series of home games.
In this match, Luton is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Brown J. (Ankle Injury) Clark J. (Inactive) Morris S. (Inactive) Nakamba M. (Inactive) Saville G. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Rotherham: Etete K. (Injury) Hatton B. (Hamstring Injury) Holmes T. (Knee Injury) Kayode J. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Luton: Baptiste S. (Knee Injury) Bramall C. (Injury) Walters R. (Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Rotherham: Baptiste J. (Inactive) Jules Z. (Inactive) Kelly L. (Inactive) Raggett S. (Inactive)
We predict that Luton will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Luton won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Rotherham United?

Luton Town has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Rotherham United won against Luton Town?

Rotherham United has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Rotherham United were as follows:

15.04.2023 Rotherham United - Luton Town 0:2

12.11.2022 Luton Town - Rotherham United 1:1

Latest results of Luton Town

08.11.2025 Stockport County - Luton Town 0:3 ✺

31.10.2025 Luton Town - Forest Green Rovers 4:3 ✺

28.10.2025 Luton Town - Brighton & Hove Albion U21 3:1 ✺

25.10.2025 Northampton Town - Luton Town 0:1 ✺

18.10.2025 Luton Town - Mansfield Town 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Rotherham United

08.11.2025 Rotherham United - Lincoln City 3:0 ✺

04.11.2025 Rotherham United - Burton Albion 2:2 ✺

01.11.2025 Rotherham United - Swindon Town 1:2 ✺

28.10.2025 Rotherham United - Manchester City U21 4:2 ✺

25.10.2025 Barnsley - Rotherham United 0:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	33	21	6	6	64:36	28	69
2	Lincoln	33	20	8	5	59:31	28	68
3	Bolton	34	15	13	6	45:33	12	58
4	Bradford City	33	17	7	9	42:36	6	58
5	Stockport County	33	16	8	9	46:41	5	56
6	Huddersfield	34	15	7	12	55:45	10	52
7	Reading	33	12	12	9	48:43	5	48
8	Stevenage	32	13	9	10	35:34	1	48
9	Wycombe	33	12	11	10	46:36	10	47
10	Luton	33	13	7	13	42:40	2	46
11	Plymouth	33	14	4	15	49:49	0	46
12	Peterborough	34	14	3	17	49:48	1	45
13	AFC Wimbledon	32	12	6	14	39:46	-7	42
14	Exeter	32	11	8	13	37:34	3	41
15	Barnsley	30	11	8	11	50:52	-2	41
16	Mansfield	31	10	9	12	37:35	2	39
17	Burton	33	10	9	14	38:46	-8	39
18	Doncaster	32	11	6	15	36:51	-15	39
19	Blackpool	33	10	7	16	40:50	-10	37
20	Leyton Orient	32	10	6	16	43:53	-10	36
21	Wigan	32	8	10	14	34:46	-12	34
22	Northampton	34	9	7	18	30:46	-16	34
23	Rotherham	32	8	7	17	32:47	-15	31
24	Port Vale	31	6	8	17	25:43	-18	26

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two