Result
2:0
02/09/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 4
- Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.85 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (291/382) | 86% (534/624) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (291/382) | 86% (534/624) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 24% (18/74) | 38% (26/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (36/73) | 69% (92/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 25% (6/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.84 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 47% (9/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 2.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.43 |
| Goal kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Benagr B. ↓, Jones I. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 0, Wells N. ⚽,
- 56', Gore D. 🟨,
- 64', Dacres-Cogley J. ↓, Glover R. ↑,
- 65', Edun T. ↓, Osborn B. ↑,
- 65', Wells N. ↓, Marshall C. ↑,
- 65', Gore D. ↓, Richards J. ↑,
- 68', Norwood O. 🟨,
- 74', Bate L. ↓, Mandron M. ↑,
- 75', Wood H. ↓, Andresson B. ↑,
- 75', Palmer K. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 0, Marshall C. ⚽, Donley J. (A),
- 77', Diamond J. ↓, Adigun J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Luton Town
36.3% | Draw
25.7% | Stockport County
38% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luton Town's form might have worsened.Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stockport County's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stockport County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Luton Town - Stockport County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61 ↑
(2.11) |
3.67 ↓
(3.68) |
2.48 ↓
(3.09) |
5.9%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Luton Town - Stockport County?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Stockport will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 16.1% – 74.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Stockport (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Luton (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Luton (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Stockport (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Stockport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Luton has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Stockport has had a series of home games.
- Luton might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Luton: Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
Clark J.
(Injury)
Luker J.
(Injury)
Morris S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Stockport County?
Luton Town has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stockport County won against Luton Town?
Stockport County has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Stockport County were as follows:
12.04.2026
Luton Town
-
Stockport County
3:1
21.03.2026
Luton Town
-
Stockport County
1:1
08.11.2025
Stockport County
-
Luton Town
0:3
Latest results of Luton Town
Latest results of Stockport County
English League One Table
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sheffield Wed | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Huddersfield | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13:6 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Burton | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Cambridge Utd | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Luton | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Reading | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | Leyton Orient | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 7 |
| 10 | Oxford Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | Blackpool | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 7 |
| 12 | Notts County | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
| 13 | Plymouth | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Barnsley | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | AFC Wimbledon | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Stevenage | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 6 |
| 17 | Mansfield | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 18 | Leicester | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 |
| 19 | MK Dons | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7:9 | -2 | 4 |
| 20 | Peterborough | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 4 |
| 21 | Bromley | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:15 | -11 | 4 |
| 22 | Doncaster | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 23 | Wycombe | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7:12 | -5 | 3 |
| 24 | Wigan | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
