Result
28/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Basel
61.7% | Draw
20.1% | Luzern
18.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Luzern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Basel - Luzern Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↑
(1.52) |
4.7 ↓
(4.82) |
5.12 ↓
(5.28) |
6.3%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basel won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Basel has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Basel is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Basel won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 39:20. (average 2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Basel won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 2.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Basel won against Luzern?
Basel has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luzern won against Basel?
Luzern has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Basel - Luzern were as follows:
24.05.2025
Basel
-
Luzern
4:0
09.03.2025
Luzern
-
Basel
1:1
06.02.2025
Basel
-
Luzern
2:1
29.09.2024
Luzern
-
Basel
1:0
05.05.2024
Basel
-
Luzern
1:1
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | St. Gallen | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | Thun | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Basel | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Young Boys | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Sion | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Zurich | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | Luzern | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Grasshoppers | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Servette | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 5 |
| 10 | Lausanne | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 4 |
| 11 | Lugano | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8:17 | -9 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
