Result
4:0
24/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Championship Group - Round 38
- Referee: San F. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Info, SRF Info, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (392/454) | 80% (269/337) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (392/454) | 80% (269/337) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (37/53) | 26% (11/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (115/144) | 67% (66/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 1.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | -2.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Ajeti Al. ⚽,
- 29', Rrudhani D. 🟨,
- 35', Xhaka T. ↓, Metinho ↑,
- 40', 2 - 0, Otele P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 49', Kade A. 🟨,
- 55', 3 - 0, Kade A. ⚽, Shaqiri X. (A),
- 63', Adjetey J. 🟨,
- 66', Ajeti Al. ↓, Kevin ↑,
- 66', Avdullahu L. ↓, Leroy L. ↑,
- 66', Spadanuda K. ↓, Ottiger S. ↑,
- 66', Rrudhani D. ↓, Kadak J. ↑,
- 66', Grbic A. ↓, Villiger L. ↑,
- 66', Klidje T. ↓, Karweina S. ↑,
- 69', Stankovic A. ↓, Walker M. ↑,
- 70', 4 - 0, Traore B. ⚽, Leroy L. (A),
- 82', Traore B. ↓, Soticek M. ↑,
- 82', Otele P. ↓, Sigua G. ↑,
- 84', Dorn P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Basel
51% | Draw
21.7% | Luzern
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Basel's form might have worsened.Luzern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luzern's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luzern, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Basel - Luzern Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↑
(1.62) |
4.34 ↑
(4.2) |
3.45 ↓
(4.1) |
6.2%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Basel - Luzern?
Users Predictions:
Basel will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Basel will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Basel is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basel won 1.
- Basel is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Luzern has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Basel is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Basel: Schmid D.
(Concussion)
van Breemen F.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Luzern: Chader S.
(Muscle Injury)
Knezevic S.
(Yellow Cards)
Lofgren J.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Basel will win today's game, with odds of 1.9.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Basel won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:20. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Basel won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Basel won against Luzern?
Basel has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luzern won against Basel?
Luzern has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Basel - Luzern were as follows:
09.03.2025
Luzern
-
Basel
1:1
06.02.2025
Basel
-
Luzern
2:1
29.09.2024
Luzern
-
Basel
1:0
05.05.2024
Basel
-
Luzern
1:1
21.04.2024
Luzern
-
Basel
1:1
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | St. Gallen | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 | 12 |
| 3 | Basel | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Young Boys | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 8 |
| 5 | Luzern | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | Sion | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Zurich | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 7 |
| 8 | Grasshoppers | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Lugano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 3 |
| 11 | Servette | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:10 | -5 | 2 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:14 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
