Result
1:2
28/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 7
- Referee: Dudic A. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Switzerland | Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1 |
Ukraine | Sport 1, Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.97 | 0.63 |
Ball Possession |
---|
60% | 40% |
Total shots |
---|
26 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
83% (406/488) | 71% (236/334) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.97 | 0.63 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.61 | 0.73 |
Total shots |
---|
26 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
13 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
8 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
16 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
11 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
37 | 10 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
19 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
83% (406/488) | 71% (236/334) |
Long passes |
---|
68% (34/50) | 27% (20/74) |
Passes in final third |
---|
78% (140/179) | 64% (37/58) |
Crosses |
---|
13% (4/30) | 33% (2/6) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.28 | 0.31 |
Throw-ins |
---|
24 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
6 | 19 |
Tackles |
---|
56% (9/16) | 69% (11/16) |
Duels won |
---|
67 | 42 |
Clearances |
---|
5 | 33 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 14 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.73 | 0.61 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.27 | -0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Owusu T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 1, Schmid D. ⚽, Otele P. (A),
- 55', 1 - 2, Silva Ferreira L. M. ⚽,
- 56', Broschinski M. ↓, Ajeti Al. ↑,
- 56', Agbonifo J. ↓, Soticek M. ↑,
- 57', Silva Ferreira L. M. ↓, Ottiger S. ↑,
- 59', Dorn P. 🟨,
- 62', Ruegg K. ↓, Vouilloz N. ↑,
- 62', Shaqiri X. ↓, Salah I. ↑,
- 69', Abe T. ↓, Winkler L. ↑,
- 69', Dorn P. ↓, Spadanuda K. ↑,
- 74', Freimann B. ↓, Ciganiks A. ↑,
- 87', Daniliuc F. ↓, Junior Ze ↑,
Chances of winning
Basel 53.8% | Draw 24.1% | Luzern 22.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Basel's form might have worsened.Luzern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Basel - Luzern Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.96 ↑ (1.52) |
4.14 ↓ (4.82) |
4.43 ↓ (5.28) |
-2.1% (5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Basel - Luzern?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Basel will win (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basel won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Basel has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Basel is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Basel: Hitz M.
(Muscle Injury)
Traore B.
(Leg Injury)
van Breemen F.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Luzern: Lofgren J.
(Hernia)
Zimmermann M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Basel: Koindredi K.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Basel won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 39:20. (average 2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Basel won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 2.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Basel won against Luzern?
Basel has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luzern won against Basel?
Luzern has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Basel - Luzern were as follows:
24.05.2025
Basel
-
Luzern
4:0
09.03.2025
Luzern
-
Basel
1:1
06.02.2025
Basel
-
Luzern
2:1
29.09.2024
Luzern
-
Basel
1:0
05.05.2024
Basel
-
Luzern
1:1
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Thun | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 19 |
2 | Basel | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 18 |
3 | St. Gallen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16:9 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Young Boys | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:15 | -1 | 14 |
5 | Lugano | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 13 |
6 | Zurich | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 13 |
7 | Sion | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 12 |
8 | Luzern | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:13 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Grasshoppers | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Lausanne | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 8 |
11 | Servette | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 8 |
12 | Winterthur | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10:28 | -18 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )