Result
22:17
03/01/2026 at 10:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Top 14 - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 2, Canal+ Live 3 |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (12 - 10)
- 14', Cretin D. (Try),
- 15', Meliande M. (Conversion Goal),
- 24', Arfeuil G. (Try),
- 24', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
- 30', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
- 33', Ioane M. (Try),
- 2nd Half (10 - 7)
- 54', Simmonds S. (Try),
- 54', Meliande M. (Conversion Goal),
- 73', Maximin J. (Try),
- 73', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
- 80+1', Meliande M. (Penalty Goal),
Chances of winning
Lyon
66.7% | Draw
4.2% | Section Paloise
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Section Paloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lyon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Section Paloise than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Lyon - Section Paloise Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↓
(1.44) |
22.25 ↓
(25.44) |
3.15 ↑
(3) |
8.2%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 57.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
What is the prediction for Lyon - Section Paloise?
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 32:26.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 1.
- Lyon is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Section Paloise has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Lyon is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Section Paloise will win today's game, with odds of 2.98.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 491:456. (average 24.6:22.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 306:174. (average 30.6:17.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Section Paloise?
Lyon has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Section Paloise won against Lyon?
Section Paloise has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lyon - Section Paloise were as follows:
27.09.2025
Section Paloise
-
Lyon
40:15
10.05.2025
Lyon
-
Section Paloise
27:29
30.11.2024
Section Paloise
-
Lyon
29:15
27.04.2024
Lyon
-
Section Paloise
38:20
02.09.2023
Section Paloise
-
Lyon
40:10
Latest results of Section Paloise
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stade Toulousain | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 730:365 | 67 |
| 2 | Section Paloise | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 558:477 | 55 |
| 3 | Montpellier | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 561:390 | 53 |
| 4 | Clermont | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 596:467 | 51 |
| 5 | Bordeaux Begles | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 591:483 | 50 |
| 6 | Stade Francais Paris | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 513:448 | 49 |
| 7 | RC Toulonnais | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 465:536 | 45 |
| 8 | Racing 92 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 514:558 | 45 |
| 9 | Castres Olympique | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 431:501 | 42 |
| 10 | Stade Rochelais | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 551:487 | 41 |
| 11 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 521:502 | 39 |
| 12 | Aviron Bayonnais | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 467:595 | 36 |
| 13 | USA Perpignan | 18 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 344:511 | 18 |
| 14 | Montauban | 18 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 338:860 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2
