Result
4:5
14/03/2025 at 04:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AUSTRALIA: A-League - Round 23
- Referee: Danaskos T. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 5 |
 Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4 |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.04 | 1.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 42 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (321/409) | 78% (292/373) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 66% (78/118) | 70% (64/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (3/26) | 19% (3/16) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 79% (11/14) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 20 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Ikonomidis C. ⚽, Jakolis M. (A),
- 10', 0 - 2, Adamson K. ⚽,
- 13', 1 - 2, Ayoubi A. ⚽, Clough Z. (A),
- 19', 2 - 2, Kitto R. ⚽, Mauk S. (A),
- 28', Mauk S. 🟨,
- 28', Brattan L. 🟨,
- 42', 3 - 2, Mauk S. ⚽, Ayoubi A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Hollman J. ↓, Makrillos P. ↑,
- 53', 3 - 3, Brattan L. ⚽,
- 57', 3 - 4, Jakolis M. ⚽, Makrillos P. (A),
- 59', Makrillos P. 🟨,
- 63', Rose L. ↓, Sawyer H. ↑,
- 63', Boli K. ↓, Jurman M. ↑,
- 67', Clough Z. ↓, Pierias D. ↑,
- 67', Ayoubi A. ↓, Dukuly Y. ↑,
- 71', Nicolaou Y. ↓, Bosnjak D. ↑,
- 73', 4 - 4, Goodwin A. ⚽, Mauk S. (A),
- 74', Goodwin A. ↓, Jovanovic L. ↑,
- 74', Crawford H. ↓, Yull J. ↑,
- 76', Ikonomidis C. ↓, Oliveira B. ↑,
- 81', Kikianis P. 🟨,
- 83', 4 - 5, Brattan L. ⚽,
- 87', Barnett J. ↓, White R. ↑,
- 90+4', Vriends B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Adelaide United
60.3% | Draw
20.7% | Macarthur FC
19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adelaide United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adelaide United's performance.Macarthur FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Macarthur FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adelaide United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Macarthur FC than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Macarthur FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Adelaide United - Macarthur FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↓
(1.82) |
4.6 ↑
(4.09) |
4.95 ↑
(3.76) |
5.4%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Adelaide United - Macarthur FC?
Users Predictions:
Adelaide United will win
(45 of 47 users predict this - 95.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.97% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Adelaide won 2.
- Recent matches Adelaide is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Macarthur has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Adelaide is a favorite.
- There will not play in Adelaide: Lopez J.
(Calf Injury)
Madanha P.
(Muscle Injury)
O'Neil B.
(Injury)
Vartuli M.
(Finger Injury)
- There will not play in Macarthur: Scott W.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Macarthur: Popovic K.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Adelaide won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:19 (average 1.3:1.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Adelaide won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United won against Macarthur FC?
Adelaide United has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Macarthur FC won against Adelaide United?
Macarthur FC has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide United - Macarthur FC were as follows:
06.01.2025
Macarthur FC
-
Adelaide United
1:2
12.04.2024
Adelaide United
-
Macarthur FC
1:2
08.01.2024
Adelaide United
-
Macarthur FC
1:1
04.12.2023
Macarthur FC
-
Adelaide United
4:3
20.01.2023
Adelaide United
-
Macarthur FC
1:0
Latest results of Adelaide United
Latest results of Macarthur FC
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Western United (3) | Adelaide United (6) | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Auckland FC (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | WS Wanderers (4) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Western United (3) | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Auckland FC (1) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 0 |
