Result
1:2
11/12/2025 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League 2 - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 3 |
 China | iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 2 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football, TDM TV |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 2 |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 2.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (492/575) | 68% (168/248) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 2.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 2.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (492/575) | 68% (168/248) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (19/53) | 38% (17/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (75/111) | 60% (53/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.85 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 29 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.19 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Ngadeu M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Zhang Yuning ↓, Feng Boxuan ↑,
- 56', 0 - 1, Popovic K. ⚽, Caceres A. (A),
- 57', Popovic K. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 1, Serginho ⚽, Feng Boxuan (A),
- 62', Caceres A. ↓, Sawyer H. ↑,
- 62', Oliveira B. ↓, Helweh Z. ↑,
- 68', Ngadeu M. ↓, Wu Shaocong ↑,
- 68', Muhmet N. ↓, Abreu F. ↑,
- 68', Zhang Xizhe ↓, Lin Liangming ↑,
- 70', Randazzo O. ↓, Bosnjak D. ↑,
- 70', Ji Dong-Won ↓, Deli F. ↑,
- 70', Bai Yang 🟨,
- 71', 1 - 2, Sawyer H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 74', Robinson A. 🟨,
- 82', Vickery L. ↓, Talbot C. ↑,
- 83', Chi Zhongguo ↓, Li Ruiyue ↑,
- 84', Fang Hao 🟨,
- 84', Scott W. 🟨,
- 90+8', Sawyer H. 🟨,
- 90+9', Bai Yang 🟨,
- 90+9', Zhang Jianzhi 🟨,
Chances of winning
Beijing Guoan
38.8% | Draw
26.5% | Macarthur FC
34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Beijing Guoan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Beijing Guoan's form might have worsened.Macarthur FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Macarthur FC's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+15.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beijing Guoan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macarthur FC than the current prediction. (-10.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Macarthur FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Beijing Guoan - Macarthur FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↑
(1.78) |
3.47 ↓
(4.06) |
2.65 ↓
(3.72) |
8.8%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan - Macarthur FC?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Macarthur will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beijing Guoan: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Beijing Guoan (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Macarthur (1.77) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.75 - Macarthur (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Macarthur (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Beijing Guoan (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Macarthur (votes: 5 - 71.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Macarthur is Qualified for AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs )
- Beijing Guoan is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Macarthur's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Beijing Guoan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Beijing Guoan might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Beijing Guoan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Beijing Guoan won against Macarthur FC?
Beijing Guoan has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Macarthur FC won against Beijing Guoan?
Macarthur FC has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Beijing Guoan - Macarthur FC were as follows:
02.10.2025
Macarthur FC
-
Beijing Guoan
3:0
Latest results of Beijing Guoan
Latest results of Macarthur FC
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Zawraa | Al Wasl | 2 : 4, 3 : 2 |
| 2 | Arkadag | Al Nassr | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Sepahan | Al Ahli Doha | 0 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Esteghlal F.C. | Al Hussein | 2 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Pohang | Gamba Osaka | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Ratchaburi | Persib Bandung | 0 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Bangkok Utd | Macarthur FC | 2 : 2, 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Cong An Ha Noi | Tampines | 1 : 3, 0 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Al Wasl | Al Nassr | |
| 2 | Al Ahli Doha | Al Hussein | |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | Ratchaburi | |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | Tampines | |
Semi-finalsFinal
