Result
3:2
02/04/2026 at 04:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
 Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 4 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 3 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.95 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (282/352) | 82% (343/417) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (282/352) | 82% (343/417) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (39/61) | 26% (7/27) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (100/143) | 76% (97/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (8/37) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.87 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 54% (14/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.32 | -1.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 10', 1 - 0, Duke M. ⚽, Duran R. (A),
- 13', 1 - 1, Bertoncello X. ⚽, Grozos K. (A),
- 23', 2 - 1, Duran R. ⚽, Duke M. (A),
- 45+5', 2 - 2, Bertoncello X. ⚽, Wilmering D. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Shaughnessy J. ↓, Dobson W. ↑,
- 46', Mizunuma K. ↓, Adams E. ↑,
- 64', Bertoncello X. ↓, Clough Z. ↑,
- 66', Ikonomidis C. ↓, Bosnjak D. ↑,
- 66', Duran R. ↓, Vickery L. ↑,
- 68', 3 - 2, Duke M. ⚽, Talbot C. (A),
- 74', Duke M. ↓, Sawyer H. ↑,
- 77', Gibson B. ↓, Rose L. ↑,
- 80', Aquilina T. ↓, Nunes A. ↑,
- 90', Rose L. 🟨,
- 90+3', Caceres A. ↓, Oliveira B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Macarthur FC
43.7% | Draw
23.3% | Newcastle Jets
33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Macarthur FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Newcastle Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newcastle Jets might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macarthur FC than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Macarthur FC - Newcastle Jets Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↓
(2.44) |
4.04 ↓
(4.17) |
2.86 ↑
(2.49) |
5.5%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Macarthur FC - Newcastle Jets?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Macarthur will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Newcastle will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Macarthur: 21.4% – 67.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Newcastle (2.21) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Macarthur (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Macarthur (votes: 1 - 25%). Newcastle (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macarthur won 2.
- Macarthur has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Newcastle is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Macarthur won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:32. (average 1.8:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Macarthur won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Macarthur FC won against Newcastle Jets?
Macarthur FC has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle Jets won against Macarthur FC?
Newcastle Jets has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Macarthur FC - Newcastle Jets were as follows:
22.02.2026
Newcastle Jets
-
Macarthur FC
1:0
26.12.2025
Newcastle Jets
-
Macarthur FC
4:5
24.08.2025
Newcastle Jets
-
Macarthur FC
3:0
28.03.2025
Macarthur FC
-
Newcastle Jets
3:3
12.01.2025
Newcastle Jets
-
Macarthur FC
1:3
Latest results of Macarthur FC
Latest results of Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets ✔ | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 49:37 | 12 | 44 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 40:26 | 14 | 41 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:23 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 37 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 36 |
| 6 | Melbourne City | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 29:29 | 0 | 35 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32:41 | -9 | 31 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 34:38 | -4 | 29 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 30:38 | -8 | 27 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 26 |
| 12 | WS Wanderers | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Newcastle Jets is Qualified for A~League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
