Result
1:0
22/02/2026 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 18
- Referee: Abraham B. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | SPOTV Asia |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | SPOTV, Vidio |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 Mongolia | SPOTV |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 9 |
 Philippines | SPOTV |
 South-korea | SPOTV |
 Thailand | SPOTV, True ID, True Premier Football 4 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Vietnam | SPOTV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 2.18 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (286/358) | 81% (301/371) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 2.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 14 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 47 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (286/358) | 81% (301/371) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 18% (6/33) | 60% (37/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (84/117) | 73% (94/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 28% (11/39) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 2.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 72% (18/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Burgess M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Caceres A. 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 0, Bayliss L. ⚽,
- 56', Grzan S. ↓, Duke M. ↑,
- 56', Vickery L. ↓, Ikonomidis C. ↑,
- 65', Adams E. 🟨,
- 66', Rose L. ↓, Gibson B. ↑,
- 67', Caceres A. ↓, Duran R. ↑,
- 68', Bosnjak D. ↓, Brattan L. ↑,
- 77', Dobson W. ↓, Scicluna L. ↑,
- 78', Taylor C. ↓, Bertoncello X. ↑,
- 90+1', Adams E. ↓, Mizunuma K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Newcastle Jets
50.4% | Draw
22.5% | Macarthur FC
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Macarthur FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macarthur FC than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Newcastle Jets - Macarthur FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↓
(1.9) |
4.2 ↑
(3.92) |
3.48 ↑
(3.3) |
5.6%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Newcastle Jets - Macarthur FC?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Macarthur will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 46.4% – 99%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Macarthur (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Macarthur (2.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Newcastle Jets will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 3 - 60%). Macarthur (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 2.
- Newcastle is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Macarthur has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Newcastle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Newcastle might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Newcastle: Badolato A.
(Knee Injury)
Baylis J.
(Inactive)
Bracco C.
(Knee Injury)
Clough Z.
(Groin Injury)
Fryer O.
(Knee Injury)
Grozos K.
(Calf Injury)
James N.
(Inactive)
Nkomo R.
(Inactive)
Van Dorssen B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Macarthur: Ji Dong-Won
(Ankle Injury)
Oliveira B.
(Injury)
Oliveira H.
(Inactive)
Politidis H.
(Inactive)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:30. (average 1.9:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 2.3:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle Jets won against Macarthur FC?
Newcastle Jets has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Macarthur FC won against Newcastle Jets?
Macarthur FC has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Jets - Macarthur FC were as follows:
26.12.2025
Newcastle Jets
-
Macarthur FC
4:5
24.08.2025
Newcastle Jets
-
Macarthur FC
3:0
28.03.2025
Macarthur FC
-
Newcastle Jets
3:3
12.01.2025
Newcastle Jets
-
Macarthur FC
1:3
25.10.2024
Macarthur FC
-
Newcastle Jets
1:2
Latest results of Newcastle Jets
Latest results of Macarthur FC
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 41:29 | 12 | 37 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 32:18 | 14 | 35 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 26:18 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 | Macarthur FC | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24:26 | -2 | 23 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 9 | Melbourne City | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22:30 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 20 |
| 12 | Wellington Phoenix | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 28:39 | -11 | 20 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
