Machida Zelvia vs Chengdu Rongcheng – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
17/02/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
australiaAustraliaParamount+
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
chinaChinaiQIYI
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
israelIsraelSport 3
japanJapanDAZN Japan
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
pakistanPakistanTapmad
russiaRussiaTV Start
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 2
ukraineUkraineSport 1
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball, Sport 1 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.270.71
Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
197
Shots on target
64
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
63
Passes
85% (438/513)83% (388/467)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
2.270.71
xG on target (xGOT)
1.561.11
Total shots
197
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
93
Blocked shots
40
Shots inside the box
113
Shots outside the box
84
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
21
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
245
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free kicks
910
Passes
85% (438/513)83% (388/467)
Long passes
49% (27/55)41% (25/61)
Passes in final third
78% (120/154)62% (43/69)
Crosses
38% (8/21)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.770.35
Throw ins
2510
Fouls
109
Tackles
58% (7/12)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4948
Clearances
1430
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper saves
23
xGOT faced
1.111.56
Goals prevented
-0.89-1.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Yengi T. , Hayashi K. (A),
  • 10', Yang Ming-Yang 🟨,
  • 25', 2 - 0, Shirasaki R. , Tokumura F. (A),
  • 32', 2 - 1, Wei Shihao ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', 3 - 1, Yengi T. , Kuwayama K. (A),
  • 61', Hu H. , Gan Chao ,
  • 62', Mochizuki H. , Nakayama Y. ,
  • 67', Okamura D. 🟨,
  • 72', Yengi T. , Fujio S. ,
  • 72', Kuwayama K. , Nishimura T. ,
  • 81', Liao Lisheng , Liao Rongxiang ,
  • 81', Yang Ming-Yang , Yimingkari M. ,
  • 87', Shimoda H. , Mae H. ,
  • 87', Hayashi K. , Soma Y. ,
  • 90', 3 - 2, Felipe Silva , Liao Rongxiang (A),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Machida Zelvia
60.9%
Draw
22.7%
Chengdu Rongcheng
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.9% 23.3% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Chengdu Rongcheng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Machida Zelvia - Chengdu Rongcheng Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.64)
    4.13
    (4.01)
    5.72
    (4.71)
    6.7%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Chengdu Rongcheng?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Chengdu Rongcheng will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Chengdu Rongcheng (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 50%). Chengdu Rongcheng (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
    • Machida Zelvia is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Chengdu Rongcheng may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Machida Zelvia is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Machida Zelvia will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    Latest results of Chengdu Rongcheng
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Machida ✔ 852115:7817
    2Vissel Kobe ✔ 851214:7716
    3Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✔ 843110:6415
    4Buriram842210:8214
    5Melbourne City ✔ 74129:7213
    6Johor DT83238:7111
    7Seoul824210:9110
    8Gangwon72239:11-28
    9Ulsan HD72236:8-28
    10Chengdu Rongcheng81347:11-46
    11Shanghai Shenhua81165:13-84
    12Shanghai Port70342:11-93


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal ✔ 871017:61122
    2Al Ahli SC ✔ 852121:91217
    3Tractor ✔ 852112:4817
    4Al Ittihad ✔ 850322:91315
    5Al Wahda ✔ 842211:7414
    6Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai832314:14011
    7Al-Duhail822416:1608
    8Al-Sadd822412:16-48
    9Al Sharjah82248:16-88
    10Al-Gharafa82067:21-146
    11Al Shorta81256:20-145
    12Nasaf Qarshi81169:17-84

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Machida is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vissel Kobe is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Melbourne City is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Hilal is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Ahli SC is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Tractor is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Ittihad is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Wahda is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)