Result
3:2
17/02/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 China | iQIYI |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 35 Sports |
 Malaysia | Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka |
 North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Russia | TV Start |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 2 |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 0.71 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (438/513) | 83% (388/467) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (438/513) | 83% (388/467) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (27/55) | 41% (25/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (120/154) | 62% (43/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (8/21) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.35 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.89 | -1.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Yengi T. ⚽, Hayashi K. (A),
- 10', Yang Ming-Yang 🟨,
- 25', 2 - 0, Shirasaki R. ⚽, Tokumura F. (A),
- 32', 2 - 1, Wei Shihao ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', 3 - 1, Yengi T. ⚽, Kuwayama K. (A),
- 61', Hu H. ↓, Gan Chao ↑,
- 62', Mochizuki H. ↓, Nakayama Y. ↑,
- 67', Okamura D. 🟨,
- 72', Yengi T. ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
- 72', Kuwayama K. ↓, Nishimura T. ↑,
- 81', Liao Lisheng ↓, Liao Rongxiang ↑,
- 81', Yang Ming-Yang ↓, Yimingkari M. ↑,
- 87', Shimoda H. ↓, Mae H. ↑,
- 87', Hayashi K. ↓, Soma Y. ↑,
- 90', 3 - 2, Felipe Silva ⚽, Liao Rongxiang (A),
Chances of winning
Machida Zelvia
60.9% | Draw
22.7% | Chengdu Rongcheng
16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Chengdu Rongcheng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Machida Zelvia - Chengdu Rongcheng Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.64) |
4.13 ↑
(4.01) |
5.72 ↑
(4.71) |
6.7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Chengdu Rongcheng?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Chengdu Rongcheng will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Chengdu Rongcheng (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 50%). Chengdu Rongcheng (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
- Machida Zelvia is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Chengdu Rongcheng may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Machida Zelvia is the team to beat.
- We predict that Machida Zelvia will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Chengdu Rongcheng?
Machida Zelvia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chengdu Rongcheng won against Machida Zelvia?
Chengdu Rongcheng has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Machida Zelvia - Chengdu Rongcheng were as follows:
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Latest results of Chengdu Rongcheng
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al-Sadd (8) | |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al-Duhail (7) | |
| 3 | Tractor (3) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | |
| 4 | Al Ittihad (4) | Al Wahda (5) | |
| 5 | Machida (1) | Gangwon (8) | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe (2) | Seoul (7) | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3) | Johor DT (6) | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 8 | Buriram (4) | Melbourne City (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
