Tokyo Verdy vs Machida Zelvia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia
Result
0:1
20/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.570.40
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
156
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
85% (562/659)71% (203/286)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.570.40
xG on target (xGOT)
1.040.45
Total shots
156
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
2312
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
137
Passes
85% (562/659)71% (203/286)
Long passes
30% (15/50)43% (24/56)
Passes in final third
77% (143/185)53% (48/90)
Crosses
36% (5/14)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.890.41
Throw-ins
2315
Fouls
713
Tackles
55% (6/11)62% (8/13)
Duels won
4543
Clearances
929
Interceptions
913
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.451.04
Goals prevented
-0.551.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', Nishimura T. , Na Sang-Ho ,
  • 63', 0 - 1, Kikuchi R. ,
  • 69', Matsuhashi Y. , Fukuda Y. ,
  • 69', Someno I. , Shirai R. ,
  • 77', Mochizuki H. , Nakayama Y. ,
  • 77', Fujio S. , Oh Se-Hun ,
  • 79', Hirakawa R. , Meshino S. ,
  • 90', Arai Y. , Kumatoriya I. ,
  • 90', Saito K. , Kawasaki S. ,
  • 90+3', Shimoda H. , Sento K. ,
  • 90+3', Soma Y. , Numata T. ,
  • 90+6', Onaga H. , Hayashi N. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tokyo Verdy
22.5%
Draw
30.4%
Machida Zelvia
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.5% 30.3% 46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7% 29.3% 47.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.14
    (4.03)
    3.09
    (3.13)
    2.01
    (2.05)
    6.3%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 58.6%97%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 1.
    • Recent performances by Tokyo Verdy have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Machida Zelvia is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In this match, Machida Zelvia is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Yamada G. (Knee Injury) Yamami H. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Narasaka T. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.9:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
    26.02.2025 Machida Zelvia - Tokyo Verdy 0:1
    14.07.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia 0:1
    19.05.2024 Machida Zelvia - Tokyo Verdy 5:0
    09.07.2023 Machida Zelvia - Tokyo Verdy 2:2
    13.05.2023 Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia 0:1
    Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds24108632:24838
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2488821:23-232
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare24661220:37-1724
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

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