Tokyo Verdy vs Machida Zelvia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia
Result
0:1
20/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.570.40
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
156
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
85% (562/659)71% (203/286)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.570.40
xG on target (xGOT)
1.040.45
Total shots
156
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
2312
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
137
Passes
85% (562/659)71% (203/286)
Long passes
30% (15/50)43% (24/56)
Passes in final third
77% (143/185)53% (48/90)
Crosses
36% (5/14)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.890.41
Throw-ins
2315
Fouls
713
Tackles
55% (6/11)62% (8/13)
Duels won
4543
Clearances
929
Interceptions
913
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.451.04
Goals prevented
-0.551.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', Nishimura T. , Na Sang-Ho ,
  • 63', 0 - 1, Kikuchi R. ,
  • 69', Matsuhashi Y. , Fukuda Y. ,
  • 69', Someno I. , Shirai R. ,
  • 77', Mochizuki H. , Nakayama Y. ,
  • 77', Fujio S. , Oh Se-Hun ,
  • 79', Hirakawa R. , Meshino S. ,
  • 90', Arai Y. , Kumatoriya I. ,
  • 90', Saito K. , Kawasaki S. ,
  • 90+3', Shimoda H. , Sento K. ,
  • 90+3', Soma Y. , Numata T. ,
  • 90+6', Onaga H. , Hayashi N. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tokyo Verdy
22.5%
Draw
30.4%
Machida Zelvia
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.5% 30.3% 46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7% 29.3% 47.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.14
    (4.03)
    3.09
    (3.13)
    2.01
    (2.05)
    6.3%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 58.6%97%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 1.
    • Recent performances by Tokyo Verdy have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Machida Zelvia is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In this match, Machida Zelvia is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Yamada G. (Knee Injury) Yamami H. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Narasaka T. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.9:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
    26.02.2025 Machida Zelvia - Tokyo Verdy 0:1
    14.07.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia 0:1
    19.05.2024 Machida Zelvia - Tokyo Verdy 5:0
    09.07.2023 Machida Zelvia - Tokyo Verdy 2:2
    13.05.2023 Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia 0:1
    Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers27163840:261451
    2Machida28155842:261650
    3Kashiwa Reysol27148540:271350
    4Vissel Kobe28155836:261050
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima28154933:191449
    6Kyoto26146643:301348
    7Urawa Reds27128738:30844
    8Kawasaki Frontale27119745:351042
    9Okayama271161026:23339
    10Cerezo Osaka27108941:38338
    11Avispa Fukuoka27910827:26137
    12Gamba Osaka281141333:40-737
    13Shimizu S-Pulse27881130:35-532
    14Verdy27871216:28-1231
    15FC Tokyo26861229:37-830
    16Nagoya Grampus27771333:41-828
    17Yokohama F. Marinos27671426:34-825
    18Shonan Bellmare27671422:42-2025
    19Yokohama FC27641718:35-1722
    20Albirex Niigata27481527:47-2020

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