Result
0:1
20/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (562/659) | 71% (203/286) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (562/659) | 71% (203/286) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (15/50) | 43% (24/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (143/185) | 53% (48/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.55 | 1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Nishimura T. ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
- 63', 0 - 1, Kikuchi R. ⚽,
- 69', Matsuhashi Y. ↓, Fukuda Y. ↑,
- 69', Someno I. ↓, Shirai R. ↑,
- 77', Mochizuki H. ↓, Nakayama Y. ↑,
- 77', Fujio S. ↓, Oh Se-Hun ↑,
- 79', Hirakawa R. ↓, Meshino S. ↑,
- 90', Arai Y. ↓, Kumatoriya I. ↑,
- 90', Saito K. ↓, Kawasaki S. ↑,
- 90+3', Shimoda H. ↓, Sento K. ↑,
- 90+3', Soma Y. ↓, Numata T. ↑,
- 90+6', Onaga H. ↓, Hayashi N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tokyo Verdy
22.5% | Draw
30.4% | Machida Zelvia
47.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.14 ↑
(4.03) |
3.09 ↓
(3.13) |
2.01 ↓
(2.05) |
6.3%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 58.6% – 97%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 1.
- Recent performances by Tokyo Verdy have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Machida Zelvia is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, Machida Zelvia is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Yamada G.
(Knee Injury)
Yamami H.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Narasaka T.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.9:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo Verdy won against Machida Zelvia?
Tokyo Verdy has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Tokyo Verdy?
Machida Zelvia has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
26.02.2025
Machida Zelvia
-
Tokyo Verdy
0:1
14.07.2024
Tokyo Verdy
-
Machida Zelvia
0:1
19.05.2024
Machida Zelvia
-
Tokyo Verdy
5:0
09.07.2023
Machida Zelvia
-
Tokyo Verdy
2:2
13.05.2023
Tokyo Verdy
-
Machida Zelvia
0:1
Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kawasaki Frontale | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 2 | Verdy | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Urawa Reds | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Machida | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 2 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | 0 |
| 9 | Mito | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 10 | Chiba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Nagoya Grampus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Avispa Fukuoka | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 2 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 2 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 2 |
| 6 | Kyoto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 7 | Okayama | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 1 |
| 9 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
