Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Machida GION Stadium (Machida).

J1 League - Round 29
Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.59	1.12
Ball Possession
69%	31%
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
10	0
Passes
82% (420/515)	57% (137/241)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59	1.12
xG on target (xGOT)
1.63	1.46
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
7	2
Blocked Shots
6	2
Shots inside the Box
11	2
Shots outside the Box
5	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
10	0
Touches in opposition box
27	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
11	9
Passes
82% (420/515)	57% (137/241)
Long passes
45% (29/65)	28% (23/83)
Passes in final third
70% (102/145)	46% (43/93)
Crosses
28% (11/40)	43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.14	0.41
Throw-ins
31	14
Fouls
9	11
Tackles
71% (5/7)	44% (7/16)
Duels won
55	53
Clearances
19	41
Interceptions
5	7
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.46	1.63
Goals prevented
0.46	0.63

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Ogura H. 🟨,
56', 0 - 1, Ito M. ⚽, Hosoi K. (A),
64', Adailton ↓, Maeda K. ↑,
67', Nishimura T. ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
67', Masuyama A. ↓, Mochizuki H. ↑,
72', Ogura H. ↓, Kumakura K. ↑,
74', Fujio S. ↓, Duke M. ↑,
79', Yamane T. ↓, Kubota R. ↑,
80', Joao Paulo ↓, Ito S. ↑,
80', Iwatake K. ↓, Yamazaki K. ↑,
83', Mae H. ↓, Sento K. ↑,
83', Hayashi K. ↓, Kuwayama K. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Duke M. ⚽, Soma Y. (A),
90+5', Slowik J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Machida Zelvia
62.3%

Draw
23.2%

Yokohama FC
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

24.3%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

23.4%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Yokohama FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama FC than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Machida Zelvia - Yokohama FC Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.62)	4.01 ↑ (3.89)	6.52 ↑ (5.39)	6% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Yokohama FC?

Users Predictions: Machida Zelvia will win (28 of 33 users predict this - 84.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.62% – 97.08%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Machida Zelvia will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 1.
Machida Zelvia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Yokohama FC's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Yokohama FC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Machida Zelvia is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Dresevic I. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Yokohama FC: Leo Bahia (Knee Injury) Miyata I. (Muscle Injury) Murata T. (Calf Injury) Sakuragawa S. (Red Card)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Machida Zelvia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.6:0.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Yokohama FC?

Machida Zelvia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama FC won against Machida Zelvia?

Yokohama FC has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Machida Zelvia - Yokohama FC were as follows:

21.05.2025 Yokohama FC - Machida Zelvia 2:1

08.03.2025 Yokohama FC - Machida Zelvia 0:2

27.08.2022 Machida Zelvia - Yokohama FC 0:1

Latest results of Machida Zelvia

31.08.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Machida Zelvia 5:3 ✺

27.08.2025 Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers 3:0 ✺

23.08.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Machida Zelvia 0:0 ✺

20.08.2025 Machida Zelvia - Gamba Osaka 3:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Machida Zelvia - Cerezo Osaka 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Yokohama FC

07.09.2025 Vissel Kobe - Yokohama FC 1:0 ✺

03.09.2025 Yokohama FC - Vissel Kobe 2:0 ✺

30.08.2025 Yokohama FC - Tokyo Verdy 0:0 ✺

23.08.2025 Gamba Osaka - Yokohama FC 3:2 ✺

16.08.2025 Vissel Kobe - Yokohama FC 0:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	32	20	4	8	52:28	24	64
2	Vissel Kobe	32	18	6	8	43:27	16	60
3	Kyoto	32	17	8	7	56:34	22	59
4	Kashiwa Reysol	32	15	12	5	47:33	14	57
5	Machida	32	16	7	9	48:33	15	55
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	32	16	7	9	37:22	15	55
7	Kawasaki Frontale	32	14	10	8	59:44	15	52
8	Urawa Reds	32	13	10	9	39:32	7	49
9	Gamba Osaka	32	15	4	13	46:47	-1	49
10	Cerezo Osaka	32	11	10	11	49:47	2	43
11	Shimizu S-Pulse	32	10	10	12	34:38	-4	40
12	Okayama	32	11	7	14	28:34	-6	40
13	FC Tokyo	32	11	7	14	35:45	-10	40
14	Avispa Fukuoka	32	9	10	13	31:37	-6	37
15	Nagoya Grampus	32	9	9	14	38:47	-9	36
16	Verdy	32	9	9	14	20:35	-15	36
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	32	8	7	17	32:43	-11	31
18	Yokohama FC	32	8	7	17	21:36	-15	31
19	Shonan Bellmare	32	6	7	19	28:56	-28	25
20	Albirex Niigata	32	4	9	19	29:54	-25	21

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League