Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
12/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.591.12
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
100
Passes
82% (420/515)57% (137/241)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.591.12
xG on target (xGOT)
1.631.46
Total shots
167
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
112
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
100
Touches in opposition box
2712
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
119
Passes
82% (420/515)57% (137/241)
Long passes
45% (29/65)28% (23/83)
Passes in final third
70% (102/145)46% (43/93)
Crosses
28% (11/40)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.140.41
Throw-ins
3114
Fouls
911
Tackles
71% (5/7)44% (7/16)
Duels won
5553
Clearances
1941
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.461.63
Goals prevented
0.460.63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', Ogura H. 🟨,
  • 56', 0 - 1, Ito M. , Hosoi K. (A),
  • 64', Adailton , Maeda K. ,
  • 67', Nishimura T. , Na Sang-Ho ,
  • 67', Masuyama A. , Mochizuki H. ,
  • 72', Ogura H. , Kumakura K. ,
  • 74', Fujio S. , Duke M. ,
  • 79', Yamane T. , Kubota R. ,
  • 80', Joao Paulo , Ito S. ,
  • 80', Iwatake K. , Yamazaki K. ,
  • 83', Mae H. , Sento K. ,
  • 83', Hayashi K. , Kuwayama K. ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Duke M. , Soma Y. (A),
  • 90+5', Slowik J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Machida Zelvia
62.3%
Draw
23.2%
Yokohama FC
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.2% 24.3% 17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 23.4% 16.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Yokohama FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama FC than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Machida Zelvia - Yokohama FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.62)
    4.01
    (3.89)
    6.52
    (5.39)
    6%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Yokohama FC?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Yokohama FC (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Machida Zelvia (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Machida Zelvia will win (28 of 33 users predict this - 84.85%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.62%97.08%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Yokohama FC (votes: 3 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 1.
    • Machida Zelvia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Yokohama FC's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Yokohama FC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Machida Zelvia is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Dresevic I. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Yokohama FC: Leo Bahia (Knee Injury) Miyata I. (Muscle Injury) Murata T. (Calf Injury) Sakuragawa S. (Red Card)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Machida Zelvia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.6:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Machida Zelvia - Yokohama FC were as follows:
    21.05.2025 Yokohama FC - Machida Zelvia 2:1
    08.03.2025 Yokohama FC - Machida Zelvia 0:2
    27.08.2022 Machida Zelvia - Yokohama FC 0:1
    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    Latest results of Yokohama FC
    07.09.2025 Vissel Kobe - Yokohama FC 1:0
    03.09.2025 Yokohama FC - Vissel Kobe 2:0
    30.08.2025 Yokohama FC - Tokyo Verdy 0:0
    23.08.2025 Gamba Osaka - Yokohama FC 3:2
    16.08.2025 Vissel Kobe - Yokohama FC 0:1
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kashima Antlers9702016:723
    2FC Tokyo10432116:920
    3Machida10431216:1619
    4Kawasaki Frontale9321316:1714
    5Verdy9320414:1413
    6Kashiwa Reysol9310515:1311
    7Urawa Reds9302413:1311
    8Mito9123311:1810
    9Yokohama F. Marinos9300612:159
    10Chiba920259:168


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Vissel Kobe10612120:1022
    2Gamba Osaka9332116:1317
    3Nagoya Grampus9412215:1216
    4Shimizu S-Pulse10323214:1216
    5Kyoto9321312:1114
    6V-Varen Nagasaki9400510:1412
    7Sanfrecce Hiroshima9310513:1311
    8Cerezo Osaka922149:1111
    9Okayama9213310:1511
    10Avispa Fukuoka912159:178

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)