Madura United vs Bali United Pusam – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/05/2026 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
indonesiaIndonesiaIndosiar, Vidio

Chances of winning


Madura United
37%
Draw
26.8%
Bali United Pusam
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30% 26.6% 43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6% 26.2% 44%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Madura United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Madura United's performance.
  • Bali United Pusam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bali United Pusam might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madura United than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Madura United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bali United Pusam than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bali United Pusam could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Madura United - Bali United Pusam Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (3.1)
    3.41
    (3.49)
    2.53
    (2.14)
    9.2%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Madura United - Bali United Pusam?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Madura United (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Madura United won 3.
    • Madura United has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bali United is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Madura United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Madura United won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Madura United won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Madura United - Bali United Pusam were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Bali United Pusam - Madura United 1:0
    17.05.2025 Bali United Pusam - Madura United 0:2
    20.12.2024 Madura United - Bali United Pusam 2:1
    24.07.2024 Bali United Pusam - Madura United 2:3
    23.11.2023 Madura United - Bali United Pusam 1:2
    Latest results of Madura United
    Latest results of Bali United Pusam