Atlético CP vs Mafra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
65
Corner kicks
1110
Yellow cards
02
Total shots
811
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
26
Corner kicks
1110

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 37', Alves K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 55', Alves K. , Pinto R. ,
  • 56', Andrey , Ferreira J. ,
  • 56', Precatado J. , Xico ,
  • 67', Herrera J. , Okoli F. ,
  • 70', 0 - 1, Sambu B. ,
  • 71', Raposo C. 🟨,
  • 73', 0 - 2, Sambu B. ,
  • 78', Henriques D. , Marques R. ,
  • 78', Dias R. , Sousa C. ,
  • 79', Raposo C. , Moreira R. ,
  • 81', Paulinho , Silva D. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 2, Suker H. ,

Chances of winning


Atlético CP
48.7%
Draw
27.3%
Mafra
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.4% 30.3% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 31.6% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético CP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético CP's performance.
  • Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mafra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético CP than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético CP that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • Atlético CP - Mafra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (2.25)
    3.36
    (3)
    3.84
    (3.09)
    8.8%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).
    • Mafra is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
    • Recent performances by Atlético CP have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Mafra is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Atlético CP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Atlético CP will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atlético CP won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Atlético CP won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético CP - Mafra were as follows:
    02.11.2025 Mafra - Atlético CP 1:0
    Latest results of Atlético CP
    Latest results of Mafra
    10.01.2026 1 Dezembro - Mafra 1:1
    03.01.2026 Mafra - Caldas 4:2
    20.12.2025 Amora - Mafra 1:2
    13.12.2025 Mafra - Covilhã 2:0
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Varzim32014:226
    2Os Belenenses31205:415
    3Vitoria Guimaraes B31113:304
    4Academica21013:303
    5Amarante21012:203
    6Santarem21012:203
    7Mafra21011:103
    8Trofense30121:4-31

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )