Result
1:2
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Alves K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 55', Alves K. ↓, Pinto R. ↑,
- 56', Andrey ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,
- 56', Precatado J. ↓, Xico ↑,
- 67', Herrera J. ↓, Okoli F. ↑,
- 70', 0 - 1, Sambu B. ⚽,
- 71', Raposo C. 🟨,
- 73', 0 - 2, Sambu B. ⚽,
- 78', Henriques D. ↓, Marques R. ↑,
- 78', Dias R. ↓, Sousa C. ↑,
- 79', Raposo C. ↓, Moreira R. ↑,
- 81', Paulinho ↓, Silva D. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 2, Suker H. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Atlético CP 48.7% | Draw 27.3% | Mafra 23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético CP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético CP's performance.Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mafra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético CP than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético CP that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Atlético CP - Mafra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.89 ↓ (2.25) |
3.36 ↑ (3) |
3.84 ↑ (3.09) |
8.8% (10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).
- Mafra is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
- Recent performances by Atlético CP have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mafra is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Atlético CP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Atlético CP will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atlético CP won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Atlético CP won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético CP won against Mafra?
Atlético CP has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mafra won against Atlético CP?
Mafra has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético CP - Mafra were as follows:
02.11.2025
Mafra
-
Atlético CP
1:0
Latest results of Atlético CP
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Varzim | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Academica | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Amarante | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Santarem | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Mafra | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Trofense | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )