Covilhã vs Mafra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Covilhã - Mafra
Result
1:2
24/04/2023 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 29
  • Referee: Almeida N. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV

Highlights

Chances of winning


Covilhã
28.1%
Draw
29%
Mafra
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.3% 30.6% 37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5% 30.8% 36.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mafra's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mafra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Covilhã - Mafra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.27
    (2.75)
    3.18
    (2.9)
    2.15
    (2.4)
    8.6%
    (12.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Covilhã - Mafra?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Covilhã will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Mafra will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mafra: 21.5%71.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 2.
    • Covilhã is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Mafra is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Mafra will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20-16.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Covilhã won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Covilhã - Mafra were as follows:
    04.11.2022 Mafra - Covilhã 3:2
    Latest results of Covilhã
    15.04.2023 Leixões - Covilhã 3:2
    08.04.2023 Torreense - Covilhã 3:1
    12.03.2023 Covilhã - Benfica B 2:1
    Latest results of Mafra
    15.04.2023 Mafra - Torreense 1:0
    07.04.2023 Estrela da Amadora - Mafra 2:2
    01.04.2023 Mafra - Benfica B 1:1
    19.03.2023 Tondela - Mafra 1:2
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Leixoes00000:000
    2Feirense00000:000
    3Penafiel00000:000
    4Portimonense00000:000
    5Vizela00000:000
    6Chaves00000:000
    7Oliveirense00000:000
    8Torreense00000:000
    9Maritimo00000:000
    10Pacos Ferreira00000:000
    11Leiria00000:000
    12Academico Viseu00000:000
    13Lusitania FC00000:000
    14SC Farense00000:000
    15Felgueiras00000:000
    16FC Porto B00000:000
    17Sporting CP B00000:000
    18Benfica B00000:000

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