Result
2:0
13/12/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', Beni D. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 0, Iheanacho S. ⚽, Niang M. (A),
- 44', Ninte M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ribeiro P. ↓, Costa Branco Novais Oliveira T. ↑,
- 46', Gomes Silva E. ↓, Pimenta T. ↑,
- 59', Ninte M. ↓, Moreira R. ↑,
- 61', Costa Branco Novais Oliveira T. 🟨,
- 80', Tiago Caveira ↓, Liberal A. ↑,
- 84', Iheanacho S. ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,
- 84', Goncalves V. ↓, Pinto R. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 0, Niang M. ⚽, Raposo C. (A),
- 89', Raposo C. ↓, Precatado J. ↑,
- 89', Niang M. ↓, Goba Zakpa ↑,
- 90+4', Andrey 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mafra
52.4% | Draw
27.2% | Covilhã
20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mafra's form might have worsened.Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mafra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Mafra - Covilhã Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↑
(1.55) |
3.38 ↓
(3.75) |
4.52 ↓
(5.49) |
8.7%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mafra won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Covilhã has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Mafra is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Mafra won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mafra won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.7:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Mafra won against Covilhã?
Mafra has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Covilhã won against Mafra?
Covilhã has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mafra - Covilhã were as follows:
14.09.2025
Covilhã
-
Mafra
0:0
24.04.2023
Covilhã
-
Mafra
1:2
04.11.2022
Mafra
-
Covilhã
3:2
Latest results of Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Varzim | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Academica | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Amarante | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Santarem | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Mafra | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Trofense | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
