Result
1:2
24/04/2023 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 29
- Referee: Almeida N. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV |
Chances of winning
Covilhã
28.1% | Draw
29% | Mafra
42.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mafra's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mafra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Covilhã - Mafra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.27 ↑
(2.75) |
3.18 ↑
(2.9) |
2.15 ↓
(2.4) |
8.6%
(12.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Covilhã - Mafra?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Covilhã will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Mafra will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mafra: 21.5% – 71.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 2.
- Covilhã is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Mafra is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Mafra will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20-16.
- Including matches at home between the teams Covilhã won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.
How many head-to-head matches has Covilhã won against Mafra?
Covilhã has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mafra won against Covilhã?
Mafra has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Covilhã - Mafra were as follows:
04.11.2022
Mafra
-
Covilhã
3:2
Latest results of Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vizela | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Leixoes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Maritimo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Torreense | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Lusitania FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Oliveirense | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Feirense | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Leiria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | SC Farense | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Portimonense | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Chaves | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Benfica B | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Pacos Ferreira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | Academico Viseu | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Felgueiras | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 18 | FC Porto B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:6 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
