Marítimo vs Mafra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Marítimo - Mafra
Result
2:0
20/04/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 30
  • Referee: Brazao M. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
145
Shots on target
42
Corner Kicks
84
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Total shots
145
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
103
Corner Kicks
84
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1416
Fouls
1415
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 35', Lucas Gabriel 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Lucas Gabriel , Chriso ,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Madsen N. ,
  • 67', Franca F. , Benchi D. ,
  • 67', Fabio China , Freitas A. ,
  • 67', Guedes A. , Danilovic V. ,
  • 70', Ibrahima 🟨,
  • 71', Capitao D. , Iheanacho S. ,
  • 74', Ibrahima , Carlos Daniel ,
  • 78', Goncalves V. , Matos R. ,
  • 82', Patrick , Tavares M. ,
  • 85', Chriso 🟥,
  • 90+1', Rochez B. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 0, Madsen N. , Carlos Daniel (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Marítimo
48.4%
Draw
27.9%
Mafra
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.4% 25.5% 19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6% 24.5% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marítimo's form might have worsened.
  • Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marítimo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mafra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Marítimo - Mafra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.68)
    3.33
    (3.65)
    3.94
    (4.88)
    7.5%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Marítimo - Mafra?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Marítimo will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Mafra will win (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
    • Marítimo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recent matches Mafra is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Mafra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Marítimo is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.8:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Marítimo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marítimo - Mafra were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Mafra - Marítimo 2:3
    25.02.2024 Mafra - Marítimo 0:0
    30.09.2023 Marítimo - Mafra 1:2
    15.10.2022 Mafra - Marítimo 4:2
    Latest results of Marítimo
    13.04.2025 Benfica B - Marítimo 1:2
    05.04.2025 Marítimo - Leixões 1:1
    29.03.2025 Penafiel - Marítimo 0:1
    15.03.2025 Marítimo - Felgueiras 0:0
    Latest results of Mafra
    14.04.2025 Mafra - Penafiel 4:2
    31.03.2025 Mafra - Felgueiras 1:0
    09.03.2025 Mafra - Porto B 0:0
    01.03.2025 Alverca - Mafra 2:0
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vizela43108:2610
    2Sporting CP B43015:149
    3Maritimo43014:139
    4Feirense42116:247
    5Leiria42114:317
    6Leixoes42117:527
    7Portimonense42116:7-17
    8Torreense42025:326
    9Chaves41306:426
    10Oliveirense41212:205
    11Lusitania FC41215:6-15
    12Academico Viseu41125:504
    13Felgueiras41124:6-24
    14SC Farense41123:6-34
    15Benfica B40314:5-13
    16Pacos Ferreira40221:5-42
    17Penafiel40133:7-41
    18FC Porto B40130:8-81

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