Köln vs Mainz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
2:1
17/01/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 18
  • Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStartimes Sports Focus
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 5
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 2
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.511.22
Ball possession
62%38%
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
67
Big chances
34
Corner kicks
95
Passes
79% (375/475)67% (196/294)
Yellow cards
44
Expected goals (xG)
2.511.22
xG on target (xGOT)
2.521.56
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
82
Blocked shots
61
Shots inside the box
155
Shots outside the box
54
Hit the woodwork
02
Headed goals
20
Big chances
34
Corner kicks
95
Touches in opposition box
3614
Accurate through passes
13
Offsides
04
Free kicks
106
Passes
79% (375/475)67% (196/294)
Long passes
44% (29/66)40% (27/67)
Passes in final third
68% (112/164)56% (61/108)
Crosses
16% (5/32)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.360.64
Throw ins
3215
Fouls
610
Tackles
42% (5/12)73% (16/22)
Duels won
5663
Clearances
2242
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
54
xGOT faced
1.562.52
Goals prevented
0.560.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', Martel E. 🟨,
  • 29', 0 - 1, Bell S. ⚽, da Costa D. (A),
  • 43', Lee Jae-Sung 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Martel E. ↓, Krauss T. ↑,
  • 46', Johannesson I. ↓, Ache R. ↑,
  • 46', Ozkacar C. ↓, Lund K. ↑,
  • 57', 1 - 1, Ache R. ⚽, Castro-Montes A. (A),
  • 61', Silas ↓, Sieb A. ↑,
  • 61', Widmer S. 🟨,
  • 72', Bulter M. 🟨,
  • 72', Tietz P. 🟨,
  • 72', El Mala S. 🟨,
  • 72', Batz D. 🟨,
  • 73', Maina L. ↓, Waldschmidt L. ↑,
  • 74', Lee Jae-Sung ↓, Boving W. ↑,
  • 74', Bell S. ↓, Maloney L. ↑,
  • 83', Castro-Montes A. ↓, Thielmann J. ↑,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Ache R. ⚽,
  • 87', Krauss T. 🟨,
  • 90', Sano K. ↓, Nordin A. ↑,
  • 90', Nebel P. ↓, Moreno Fell F. ↑,

Chances of winning


Köln
44.7%		Draw
27.7%		Mainz
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.1% 26% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 27% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
    •

    Köln - Mainz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.13 ↑
    (2.06)    		 3.43 ↓
    (3.66)    		 3.43 ↑
    (3.41)    		 5.2%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Köln - Mainz?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 18 - 52.9%). Mainz will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 26.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Köln: 36.1% – 69.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Köln (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Köln (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Köln will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Köln (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Mainz (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 1.
    • Köln is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Mainz is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Mainz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Köln might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Köln: Hubers T. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Mainz: Caci A. (Thigh Injury) Dal M. (Knee Injury) Hanche-Olsen A. (Injury) Hollerbach B. (Illness) Leitsch M. (Muscle Injury) Mwene P. (Muscle Injury) Veratschnig N. (Injury) Weiper N. (Illness) Zentner R. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Köln: Schmied J. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Köln won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 1.4:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Köln won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Köln - Mainz were as follows:
    24.08.2025 Mainz - Köln 0:1
    28.04.2024 Mainz - Köln 1:1
    10.12.2023 Köln - Mainz 0:0
    15.04.2023 Köln - Mainz 1:1
    21.10.2022 Mainz - Köln 5:0
    Latest results of Köln
    14.01.2026 Köln - Bayern Munich 1:3 ✺
    10.01.2026 Heidenheim - Köln 2:2 ✺
    05.01.2026 Lugano - Köln 1:2 ✺
    20.12.2025 Köln - Union Berlin 0:1 ✺
    13.12.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Köln 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Mainz
    13.01.2026 Mainz - Heidenheim 2:1 ✺
    10.01.2026 Union Berlin - Mainz 2:2 ✺
    21.12.2025 Mainz - St. Pauli 0:0 ✺
    18.12.2025 Mainz - Samsunspor 2:0 ✺
    14.12.2025 Bayern Munich - Mainz 2:2 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich23193185:216460
    2Dortmund23157149:222752
    3Hoffenheim23144549:301946
    4Stuttgart23134644:321243
    5RB Leipzig23125644:321241
    6Bayer Leverkusen22123743:281539
    7Freiburg2396834:37-333
    8Eintracht Frankfurt2387846:49-331
    9Union Berlin2377929:37-828
    10Augsburg23841128:41-1328
    11Hamburger SV2268825:32-726
    12FC Koln23661133:39-624
    13Mainz23571126:38-1222
    14B. Monchengladbach23571126:39-1322
    15Wolfsburg23551333:49-1620
    16St. Pauli23551322:40-1820
    17Werder Bremen23471223:44-2119
    18Heidenheim23351522:51-2914

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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