Mainz vs RB Leipzig – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Mewa Arena (Mainz).

Bundesliga - Round 3
Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
Albania	Tring Sport 2, Tring Sport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 2
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Maldives	Medianet
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Sport TV2
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.84	1.53
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
13	19
Shots on target
2	4
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
3	5
Passes
74% (335/455)	73% (265/362)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84	1.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.49	0.25
Total shots
13	19
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
7	9
Blocked Shots
4	6
Shots inside the Box
10	11
Shots outside the Box
3	8
Hit the Woodwork
1	2
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
3	5
Touches in opposition box
38	23
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
4	1
Free Kicks
10	12
Passes
74% (335/455)	73% (265/362)
Long passes
43% (34/80)	38% (21/55)
Passes in final third
59% (105/179)	67% (56/84)
Crosses
4% (1/24)	20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.85	0.84
Throw-ins
23	20
Fouls
12	11
Tackles
50% (8/16)	32% (6/19)
Duels won
56	68
Clearances
16	57
Interceptions
13	16
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
0.25	0.49
Goals prevented
-0.75	0.49

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Bell S. 🟨,
15', Bell S. ↓, Hanche-Olsen A. ↑,
32', Schlager X. ↓, Banzuzi E. ↑,
40', 0 - 1, Bakayoko J. ⚽, Banzuzi E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Boving W. ↓, Sieb A. ↑,
66', Bakayoko J. ↓, Harder C. ↑,
66', Nusa A. ↓, Diomande Y. ↑,
75', Mwene P. ↓, Veratschnig N. ↑,
75', Nordin A. ↓, Kawasaki S. ↑,
75', Caci A. ↓, Widmer S. ↑,
90+3', Baumgartner C. ↓, Kampl K. ↑,
90+3', Romulo Cardoso ↓, Ouedraogo A. ↑,

Chances of winning

Mainz
39.5%

Draw
26%

RB Leipzig
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

26.1%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

25.7%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-2%)

Mainz - RB Leipzig Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.34)	3.65 ↓ (3.67)	2.76 ↓ (2.9)	4.8% (4.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Mainz - RB Leipzig?

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 12 - 36.4%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 15 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 28.5% – 62.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Mainz (votes: 3 - 50%). RB Leipzig (votes: 3 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Mainz: Dal M. (Knee Injury) Hollerbach B. (Hamstring Injury) Lee Jae-Sung (Thigh Injury) Nebel P. (Red Card)
There will not play in RB Leipzig: Haidara A. (Knee Injury) Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Mainz: Gleiber D. (Thigh Injury)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:41. (average 1.4:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Mainz won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.7:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against RB Leipzig?

Mainz has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Mainz?

RB Leipzig has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - RB Leipzig were as follows:

01.03.2025 RB Leipzig - Mainz 1:2

19.10.2024 Mainz - RB Leipzig 0:2

30.03.2024 RB Leipzig - Mainz 0:0

04.11.2023 Mainz - RB Leipzig 2:0

01.04.2023 RB Leipzig - Mainz 0:3

Latest results of Mainz

31.08.2025 Wolfsburg - Mainz 1:1 ✺

28.08.2025 Mainz - Rosenborg 4:1 ✺

24.08.2025 Mainz - Köln 0:1 ✺

21.08.2025 Rosenborg - Mainz 2:1 ✺

18.08.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Mainz 0:1 ✺

Latest results of RB Leipzig

30.08.2025 RB Leipzig - Heidenheim 2:0 ✺

22.08.2025 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 6:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Sandhausen - RB Leipzig 2:4 ✺

09.08.2025 Lens - RB Leipzig 2:1 ✺

02.08.2025 RB Leipzig - Atalanta 1:2 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	5	5	0	0	22:3	19	15
2	Dortmund	5	4	1	0	11:3	8	13
3	RB Leipzig	5	4	0	1	7:7	0	12
4	Eintracht Frankfurt	5	3	0	2	17:13	4	9
5	Bayer Leverkusen	5	2	2	1	10:8	2	8
6	FC Koln	4	2	1	1	9:7	2	7
7	St. Pauli	5	2	1	2	8:8	0	7
8	Freiburg	4	2	0	2	8:8	0	6
9	Stuttgart	4	2	0	2	5:5	0	6
10	Hoffenheim	4	2	0	2	8:10	-2	6
11	Union Berlin	4	2	0	2	8:11	-3	6
12	Wolfsburg	5	1	2	2	7:7	0	5
13	Mainz	5	1	1	3	5:6	-1	4
14	Werder Bremen	5	1	1	3	8:14	-6	4
15	Hamburger SV	4	1	1	2	2:8	-6	4
16	Augsburg	5	1	0	4	8:12	-4	3
17	Heidenheim	5	1	0	4	4:10	-6	3
18	B. Monchengladbach	5	0	2	3	5:12	-7	2

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