Result
1:2
01/03/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 24
- Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena |
Albania | SuperSport 4 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Austria | Sky Go Austria |
Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Zapping |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports 6 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, Now Player |
Hungary | Net4+ |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+ |
Indonesia | RCTI+ |
Kosovo | ART Motion Sport 1, SuperSport 4 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Mongolia | Premier Sports 4 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
Norway | Viaplay |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect |
Poland | Eleven Sports 4, Viaplay |
Portugal | DAZN 2 |
Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
Thailand | beIN Connect |
Turkey | beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | ON Plus |
World | Disney+, Onefootball |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.45 | 1.13 |
Ball Possession |
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49% | 51% |
Goal Attempts |
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13 | 15 |
Shots on Goal |
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4 | 3 |
Shots off Goal |
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8 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
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1 | 5 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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7 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
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10 | 13 |
Shots outside the Box |
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3 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 2 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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15 | 8 |
Offsides |
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1 | 4 |
Fouls |
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8 | 15 |
Throw-ins |
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24 | 19 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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28 | 26 |
Passes |
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78% (403/519) | 78% (422/539) |
Passes in the final third |
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56% (80/144) | 68% (102/151) |
Crosses |
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24% (4/17) | 40% (6/15) |
Tackles |
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45% (5/11) | 63% (17/27) |
Clearances Total |
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31 | 41 |
Interceptions |
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10 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Simons X. ⚽, Haidara A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 52', 1 - 1, Amiri N. ⚽, Nebel P. (A),
- 52', Haidara A. 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 2, Burkardt J. ⚽, Amiri N. (A),
- 59', Haidara A. ↓, Kampl K. ↑,
- 59', Geertruida L. ↓, Seiwald N. ↑,
- 72', Bitshiabu E. ↓, Lukeba C. ↑,
- 72', Openda L. ↓, Nedeljkovic K. ↑,
- 76', Burkardt J. ↓, Weiper N. ↑,
Chances of winning
RB Leipzig 49.3% | Draw 25.8% | Mainz 24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
RB Leipzig - Mainz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.94 ↑ (1.88) |
3.7 ↓ (3.86) |
3.82 ↓ (4.01) |
4.8% (4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Mainz?
Users Predictions:
40 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 26 - 65%). Mainz will win (votes: 9 - 22.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 50.2% – 79.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 1.
- Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
- Mainz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- RB Leipzig will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in RB Leipzig: Baumgartner C.
(Yellow Cards)
Henrichs B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Nusa A.
(Knee Injury)
Ouedraogo A.
(Knee Injury)
Poulsen Y.
(Injury)
Schlager X.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Mainz: Bell S.
(Thigh Injury)
Kohr D.
(Yellow Cards)
Mwene P.
(Ankle Injury)
- Last 17 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 40:24 (average 2.4:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams RB Leipzig won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 24:9 (average 3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Mainz?
RB Leipzig has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against RB Leipzig?
Mainz has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Mainz were as follows:
19.10.2024
Mainz
-
RB Leipzig
0:2
30.03.2024
RB Leipzig
-
Mainz
0:0
04.11.2023
Mainz
-
RB Leipzig
2:0
01.04.2023
RB Leipzig
-
Mainz
0:3
08.10.2022
Mainz
-
RB Leipzig
1:1
Latest results of RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | B. Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Mainz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga