RB Leipzig vs Mainz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Football German Bundesliga RB Leipzig - Mainz
Result
1:2
01/03/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 24
  • Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Zapping
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 6
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaRCTI+
kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1, SuperSport 4
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandEleven Sports 4, Viaplay
portugalPortugalDAZN 2
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.451.13
Ball Possession
49%51%
Goal Attempts
1315
Shots on Goal
43
Shots off Goal
87
Blocked Shots
15
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
71
Shots inside the Box
1013
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
02
Goalkeeper Saves
13
Free Kicks
158
Offsides
14
Fouls
815
Throw-ins
2419
Touches in the Opposition Box
2826
Passes
78% (403/519)78% (422/539)
Passes in the final third
56% (80/144)68% (102/151)
Crosses
24% (4/17)40% (6/15)
Tackles
45% (5/11)63% (17/27)
Clearances Total
3141
Interceptions
1010

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Simons X. ⚽, Haidara A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 52', 1 - 1, Amiri N. ⚽, Nebel P. (A),
  • 52', Haidara A. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 2, Burkardt J. ⚽, Amiri N. (A),
  • 59', Haidara A. ↓, Kampl K. ↑,
  • 59', Geertruida L. ↓, Seiwald N. ↑,
  • 72', Bitshiabu E. ↓, Lukeba C. ↑,
  • 72', Openda L. ↓, Nedeljkovic K. ↑,
  • 76', Burkardt J. ↓, Weiper N. ↑,

Chances of winning


RB Leipzig
49.3%		Draw
25.8%		Mainz
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.1% 24.9% 24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3% 24.3% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
    •

    RB Leipzig - Mainz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.94 ↑
    (1.88)    		 3.7 ↓
    (3.86)    		 3.82 ↓
    (4.01)    		 4.8%
    (4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Mainz?
  • Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 26 - 65%). Mainz will win (votes: 9 - 22.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 50.2% – 79.8%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 1.
    • Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
    • Mainz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • RB Leipzig will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Baumgartner C. (Yellow Cards) Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nusa A. (Knee Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury) Poulsen Y. (Injury) Schlager X. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Mainz: Bell S. (Thigh Injury) Kohr D. (Yellow Cards) Mwene P. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 40:24 (average 2.4:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams RB Leipzig won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 24:9 (average 3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Mainz were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Mainz - RB Leipzig 0:2
    30.03.2024 RB Leipzig - Mainz 0:0
    04.11.2023 Mainz - RB Leipzig 2:0
    01.04.2023 RB Leipzig - Mainz 0:3
    08.10.2022 Mainz - RB Leipzig 1:1
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    26.02.2025 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 1:0 ✺
    23.02.2025 RB Leipzig - Heidenheim 2:2 ✺
    14.02.2025 Augsburg - RB Leipzig 0:0 ✺
    09.02.2025 RB Leipzig - St. Pauli 2:0 ✺
    01.02.2025 Union Berlin - RB Leipzig 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Mainz
    22.02.2025 Mainz - St. Pauli 2:0 ✺
    16.02.2025 Heidenheim - Mainz 0:2 ✺
    08.02.2025 Mainz - Augsburg 0:0 ✺
    31.01.2025 Werder Bremen - Mainz 1:0 ✺
    25.01.2025 Mainz - Stuttgart 2:0 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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