Result
1:1
31/08/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 2
- Referee: Storks S. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | Azam Sports 2, New World Sport 7, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP |
Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
Angola | Z Sports 1 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports 2 |
Hong-kong | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player |
Hungary | Arena 4 |
Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
Indonesia | beIN Connect |
Israel | Sport 4 |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255 |
Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 1 |
Mexico | Fox Sports, Sky Sport |
Mongolia | Premier Sports 4 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Poland | Eleven Sports 3, Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
Portugal | DAZN 3 |
Romania | Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Saudi-arabia | Shahid |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3, SportKlub 1 |
Singapore | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
South-america | ESPN 5 South |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Turkey | beIN Connect, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1 |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | TV 360 |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.65 | 1.67 |
Ball Possession |
---|
40% | 60% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 17 |
Shots on target |
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3 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 10 |
Passes |
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71% (223/316) | 83% (387/465) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 5 |
Red Cards |
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1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.65 | 1.67 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.36 | 1.08 |
Total shots |
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11 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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5 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
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3 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
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7 | 14 |
Shots outside the Box |
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4 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 10 |
Touches in opposition box |
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12 | 42 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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14 | 13 |
Passes |
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71% (223/316) | 83% (387/465) |
Long passes |
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38% (28/73) | 52% (32/61) |
Passes in final third |
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57% (42/74) | 74% (133/180) |
Crosses |
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20% (2/10) | 24% (10/42) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.40 | 1.37 |
Throw-ins |
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27 | 25 |
Fouls |
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15 | 14 |
Tackles |
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54% (7/13) | 69% (9/13) |
Duels won |
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52 | 54 |
Clearances |
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47 | 15 |
Interceptions |
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12 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
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1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.08 | 0.36 |
Goals prevented |
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0.08 | -0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Zehnter A. ⚽, Majer L. (A),
- 40', da Costa D. 🟨,
- 42', Zentner R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Bell S. ↓, Hanche-Olsen A. ↑,
- 46', Skov Olsen A. ↓, Cerny V. ↑,
- 49', Hanche-Olsen A. 🟨,
- 60', Wimmer P. 🟨,
- 69', Weiper N. ↓, Sieb A. ↑,
- 69', Mwene P. ↓, Veratschnig N. ↑,
- 70', Pejcinovic D. ↓, Amoura M. ↑,
- 70', Majer L. ↓, Svanberg M. ↑,
- 82', Nordin A. ↓, Bobzien B. ↑,
- 86', Caci A. 🟨,
- 89', 1 - 1, Amiri N. (Pen),
- 90+6', Zehnter A. ↓, Maehle J. ↑,
- 90+6', Vini Souza ↓, Wind J. ↑,
- 90+9', Svanberg M. 🟨,
- 90+10', Svanberg M. 🟨,
- 90+11', Sieb A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Wolfsburg 48.2% | Draw 26.4% | Mainz 25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wolfsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wolfsburg's performance.Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mainz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Wolfsburg - Mainz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.01 ↓ (2.28) |
3.69 ↑ (3.61) |
3.9 ↑ (3.04) |
2.6% (4.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Wolfsburg - Mainz?
Users Predictions:
43 users predict this event. Wolfsburg will win (votes: 32 - 74.4%). Mainz will win (votes: 7 - 16.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wolfsburg: 61.4% – 87.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Wolfsburg (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Mainz (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Wolfsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Wolfsburg has had a series of away games.
- Wolfsburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Wolfsburg: Lindstrom J.
(Groin Injury)
Paredes K.
(Foot Injury)
Rogerio
(Knee Injury)
Vavro D.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Mainz: Dal M.
(Knee Injury)
Gleiber D.
(Thigh Injury)
Hollerbach B.
(Thigh Injury)
Nebel P.
(Red Card)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:21. (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:11. (average 2.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Wolfsburg won against Mainz?
Wolfsburg has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against Wolfsburg?
Mainz has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg - Mainz were as follows:
19.04.2025
Mainz
-
Wolfsburg
2:2
08.12.2024
Wolfsburg
-
Mainz
4:3
18.05.2024
Wolfsburg
-
Mainz
1:3
13.01.2024
Mainz
-
Wolfsburg
1:1
05.11.2022
Mainz
-
Wolfsburg
0:3
Latest results of Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Bayern Munich | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:2 | 12 | 9 |
2 | Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 7 |
3 | FC Koln | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
4 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 6 |
5 | Hoffenheim | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 6 |
6 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 6 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 5 |
8 | St. Pauli | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
9 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
10 | Augsburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 3 |
11 | Stuttgart | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
12 | Freiburg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
13 | Union Berlin | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
14 | B. Monchengladbach | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
15 | Mainz | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
16 | Werder Bremen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
17 | Hamburger SV | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:7 | -7 | 1 |
18 | Heidenheim | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga