Wolfsburg vs Mainz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Wolfsburg - Mainz
Result
1:1
31/08/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 2
  • Referee: Storks S. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, New World Sport 7, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255
japanJapanAbemaTV, DAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mexicoMexicoFox Sports, Sky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 3, Polsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 3
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3, SportKlub 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.651.67
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
310
Passes
71% (223/316)83% (387/465)
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.651.67
xG on target (xGOT)
0.361.08
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
58
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
714
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
310
Touches in opposition box
1242
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
71% (223/316)83% (387/465)
Long passes
38% (28/73)52% (32/61)
Passes in final third
57% (42/74)74% (133/180)
Crosses
20% (2/10)24% (10/42)
Expected assists (xA)
0.401.37
Throw-ins
2725
Fouls
1514
Tackles
54% (7/13)69% (9/13)
Duels won
5254
Clearances
4715
Interceptions
1213
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.080.36
Goals prevented
0.08-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Zehnter A. , Majer L. (A),
  • 40', da Costa D. 🟨,
  • 42', Zentner R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Bell S. , Hanche-Olsen A. ,
  • 46', Skov Olsen A. , Cerny V. ,
  • 49', Hanche-Olsen A. 🟨,
  • 60', Wimmer P. 🟨,
  • 69', Weiper N. , Sieb A. ,
  • 69', Mwene P. , Veratschnig N. ,
  • 70', Pejcinovic D. , Amoura M. ,
  • 70', Majer L. , Svanberg M. ,
  • 82', Nordin A. , Bobzien B. ,
  • 86', Caci A. 🟨,
  • 89', 1 - 1, Amiri N. (Pen),
  • 90+6', Zehnter A. , Maehle J. ,
  • 90+6', Vini Souza , Wind J. ,
  • 90+9', Svanberg M. 🟨,
  • 90+10', Svanberg M. 🟨,
  • 90+11', Sieb A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Wolfsburg
48.2%
Draw
26.4%
Mainz
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 26.5% 31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 27.6% 30.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wolfsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wolfsburg's performance.
  • Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mainz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Wolfsburg - Mainz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (2.28)
    3.69
    (3.61)
    3.9
    (3.04)
    2.6%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Wolfsburg - Mainz?
  • Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Wolfsburg will win (votes: 32 - 74.4%). Mainz will win (votes: 7 - 16.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wolfsburg: 61.4%87.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Wolfsburg (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Mainz (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Wolfsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Wolfsburg has had a series of away games.
    • Wolfsburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Wolfsburg: Lindstrom J. (Groin Injury) Paredes K. (Foot Injury) Rogerio (Knee Injury) Vavro D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Mainz: Dal M. (Knee Injury) Gleiber D. (Thigh Injury) Hollerbach B. (Thigh Injury) Nebel P. (Red Card)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:21. (average 1.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:11. (average 2.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg - Mainz were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Mainz - Wolfsburg 2:2
    08.12.2024 Wolfsburg - Mainz 4:3
    18.05.2024 Wolfsburg - Mainz 1:3
    13.01.2024 Mainz - Wolfsburg 1:1
    05.11.2022 Mainz - Wolfsburg 0:3
    Latest results of Wolfsburg
    23.08.2025 Heidenheim - Wolfsburg 1:3
    16.08.2025 Hemelingen - Wolfsburg 0:9
    02.08.2025 Feyenoord - Wolfsburg Abandoned
    Latest results of Mainz
    28.08.2025 Mainz - Rosenborg 4:1
    24.08.2025 Mainz - Köln 0:1
    21.08.2025 Rosenborg - Mainz 2:1
    18.08.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Mainz 0:1
    09.08.2025 Mainz - Strasbourg 0:0
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich330014:2129
    2Dortmund32108:357
    3FC Koln32108:447
    4Eintracht Frankfurt32018:536
    5Hoffenheim32017:616
    6RB Leipzig32013:6-36
    7Wolfsburg31207:525
    8St. Pauli21105:324
    9Bayer Leverkusen31117:614
    10Augsburg21015:413
    11Stuttgart31023:5-23
    12Freiburg31025:8-33
    13Union Berlin31024:8-43
    14B. Monchengladbach20110:1-11
    15Mainz30121:3-21
    16Werder Bremen20114:7-31
    17Hamburger SV30120:7-71
    18Heidenheim30031:7-60

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Bundesliga (Relegation)
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