Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2 Deportivo Alavés - Málaga
Result
2:1
20/05/2023 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 41
  • Referee: Trujillo Suarez D. (Esp)

Chances of winning


Deportivo Alavés
56.5%
Draw
26.9%
Málaga
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.3% 25.3% 11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.4% 29.7% 9.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Alavés's form might have worsened.
  • Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Málaga's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+17.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Alavés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Málaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Deportivo Alavés - Málaga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.44)
    3.51
    (3.6)
    5.6
    (8)
    6.4%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo Alavés - Málaga?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Alavés will win (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Málaga will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 69.5%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19 in the zone Relegation).
    • Alavés has the most likely position - 2 (21.87%), project points - 70, currently - 67, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (67%), a chance of promoted (50%), a small chance of win league (11%).
    • Málaga has the most likely position - 19 (86.79%), project points - 45, currently - 43, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • This event has quality 34, importance 56, match rating 45. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Recent matches Alavés is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Málaga is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Alavés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Alavés is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Alavés won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Alavés won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Alavés - Málaga were as follows:
    18.12.2022 Málaga - Deportivo Alavés 1:0
    Latest results of Deportivo Alavés
    Latest results of Málaga
    13.05.2023 Málaga - Mirandés 2:0
    07.05.2023 Ponferradina - Málaga 2:0
    01.05.2023 Málaga - Huesca 0:0
    23.04.2023 Lugo - Málaga 0:2
    16.04.2023 Málaga - Cartagena 1:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gijon00000:000
    2Cordoba00000:000
    3Las Palmas00000:000
    4Castellon00000:000
    5Albacete00000:000
    6Eibar00000:000
    7Malaga00000:000
    8Cadiz CF00000:000
    9Burgos CF00000:000
    10Huesca00000:000
    11Racing Santander00000:000
    12Almeria00000:000
    13Dep. La Coruna00000:000
    14Valladolid00000:000
    15Zaragoza00000:000
    16Real Sociedad B00000:000
    17Cultural Leonesa00000:000
    18Leganes00000:000
    19Ceuta00000:000
    20Granada CF00000:000
    21Mirandes00000:000
    22Andorra00000:000

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation