Result
2:1
20/05/2023 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 41
- Referee: Trujillo Suarez D. (Esp)
Chances of winning
Deportivo Alavés
56.5% | Draw
26.9% | Málaga
16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Alavés's form might have worsened.Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Málaga's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+17.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Alavés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Málaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportivo Alavés - Málaga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.44) |
3.51 ↓
(3.6) |
5.6 ↓
(8) |
6.4%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Deportivo Alavés - Málaga?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Alavés will win (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Málaga will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 69.5% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Alavés has the most likely position - 2 (21.87%), project points - 70, currently - 67, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (67%), a chance of promoted (50%), a small chance of win league (11%).
- Málaga has the most likely position - 19 (86.79%), project points - 45, currently - 43, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- This event has quality 34, importance 56, match rating 45. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Recent matches Alavés is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Málaga is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Alavés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Alavés is a favorite.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Alavés won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.
- Including matches at home between the teams Alavés won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Alavés won against Málaga?
Deportivo Alavés has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Deportivo Alavés?
Málaga has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Alavés - Málaga were as follows:
18.12.2022
Málaga
-
Deportivo Alavés
1:0
Latest results of Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 22 |
| 2 | Las Palmas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 19 |
| 3 | Almeria | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:17 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Cadiz CF | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 19 |
| 5 | Burgos CF | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:11 | 6 | 18 |
| 6 | Gijon | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 18 |
| 7 | Ceuta | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 | Dep. La Coruna | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 19:12 | 7 | 17 |
| 9 | Valladolid | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 16 |
| 10 | Cordoba | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Leganes | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 15 |
| 12 | Andorra | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 15 |
| 13 | Malaga | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 14 |
| 14 | Huesca | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 14 |
| 15 | Eibar | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 13 |
| 16 | Albacete | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:19 | -3 | 13 |
| 17 | Castellon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 12 |
| 18 | Cultural Leonesa | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 |
| 19 | Granada CF | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 20 | Real Sociedad B | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 9 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 9 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6:18 | -12 | 6 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
