Result
2:1
20/05/2023 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 41
- Referee: Trujillo Suarez D. (Esp)
Chances of winning
Deportivo Alavés
56.5% | Draw
26.9% | Málaga
16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Alavés's form might have worsened.Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Málaga's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+17.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Alavés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Málaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportivo Alavés - Málaga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.44) |
3.51 ↓
(3.6) |
5.6 ↓
(8) |
6.4%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Deportivo Alavés - Málaga?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Alavés will win (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Málaga will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 69.5% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Alavés has the most likely position - 2 (21.87%), project points - 70, currently - 67, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (67%), a chance of promoted (50%), a small chance of win league (11%).
- Málaga has the most likely position - 19 (86.79%), project points - 45, currently - 43, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- This event has quality 34, importance 56, match rating 45. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Recent matches Alavés is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Málaga is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Alavés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Alavés is a favorite.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Alavés won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.
- Including matches at home between the teams Alavés won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Alavés won against Málaga?
Deportivo Alavés has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Deportivo Alavés?
Málaga has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Alavés - Málaga were as follows:
18.12.2022
Málaga
-
Deportivo Alavés
1:0
Latest results of Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 53 |
| 2 | Castellon | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 46:29 | 17 | 49 |
| 3 | Almeria | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 53:40 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | Malaga | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 41:31 | 10 | 47 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 45 |
| 7 | Ceuta | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 36:39 | -3 | 44 |
| 8 | Burgos CF | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 30:26 | 4 | 43 |
| 9 | Gijon | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 42 |
| 10 | Cordoba | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Eibar | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Andorra | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:40 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | Albacete | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Cadiz CF | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Leganes | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 34 |
| 17 | Granada CF | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 32 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 19 | Huesca | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 24 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
