Result
1:0
11/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 39
- Referee: Galech I. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | Dsports 9 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9 |
Ecuador | DSports 9 |
India | GXR World |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
Peru | DSports 9 |
South-america | DGO Latin America |
Spain | DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 3 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.22 | 0.42 |
Ball Possession |
---|
55% | 45% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
84% (319/382) | 72% (241/336) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 0 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.22 | 0.42 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.16 | 0.14 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
15 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 0 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
40 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
2 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
6 | 24 |
Passes |
---|
84% (319/382) | 72% (241/336) |
Long passes |
---|
50% (32/64) | 34% (20/58) |
Passes in final third |
---|
76% (115/151) | 51% (41/81) |
Crosses |
---|
23% (9/40) | 33% (4/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.92 | 0.55 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
24 | 6 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (10/15) | 67% (10/15) |
Duels won |
---|
42 | 55 |
Clearances |
---|
21 | 31 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.14 | 1.16 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.14 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Galilea E. 🟥,
- 31', Cordero A. ↓, Pastor A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Gamez F. ↓, Ortuno J. ↑,
- 61', Ortuno J. 🟨,
- 63', 1 - 0, Ortuno J. ⚽, Ortuno S. (A),
- 67', Lobete J. ↓, Dioni ↑,
- 67', Murillo D. ↓, Puga C. ↑,
- 68', Merino I. ↓, Molina M. ↑,
- 71', Collado D. ↓, Parra R. ↑,
- 79', Llabres J. ↓, Chapela I. ↑,
- 79', Gassama S. ↓, Fede ↑,
- 82', Ortuno S. 🟨,
- 85', Larrubia D. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
- 88', Ortuno S. ↓, Bernal A. ↑,
- 90+7', Ortuno J. 🟥,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/58uhrcdw
Chances of winning
Eldense 47.1% | Draw 28% | Málaga 24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eldense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Málaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Eldense - Málaga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2 ↑ (1.82) |
3.35 ↓ (3.4) |
3.8 ↓ (4.47) |
6.2% (6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Eldense - Málaga?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Eldense will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Málaga will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eldense: 21.5% – 71.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Eldense (votes: 1 - 50%). Málaga (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 15).
- Recent form of Eldense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Málaga's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Eldense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Eldense is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Eldense: Mendez D.
(Injury)
Pina
(Injury)
- There will not play in Málaga: Abaida H.
(Hamstring Injury)
Enriquez R.
(Knee Injury)
Lorenzo D.
(Inactive)
Ochoa A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Eldense: Masca
(Injury)
Monsalve N.
(Personal Reasons)
- There are questionable in Málaga: Medina K.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Eldense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Eldense won against Málaga?
Eldense has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Eldense?
Málaga has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Eldense - Málaga were as follows:
18.12.2024
Málaga
-
Eldense
3:0
06.12.2023
Málaga
-
Eldense
1:0
Latest results of Eldense
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Gijon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Cordoba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Las Palmas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Castellon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Albacete | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Eibar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Malaga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Cadiz CF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Burgos CF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Huesca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Racing Santander | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Almeria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Dep. La Coruna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Valladolid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Zaragoza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Real Sociedad B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Cultural Leonesa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Leganes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Ceuta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Granada CF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Mirandes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation