Result
1:0
11/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 39
- Referee: Galech I. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Dsports 9 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9 |
 Ecuador | DSports 9 |
 India | GXR World |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | DSports 9 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 0.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (319/382) | 72% (241/336) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 0.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (319/382) | 72% (241/336) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (32/64) | 34% (20/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (115/151) | 51% (41/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (9/40) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 24 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.14 | 1.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Galilea E. 🟥,
- 31', Cordero A. ↓, Pastor A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Gamez F. ↓, Ortuno J. ↑,
- 61', Ortuno J. 🟨,
- 63', 1 - 0, Ortuno J. ⚽, Ortuno S. (A),
- 67', Lobete J. ↓, Dioni ↑,
- 67', Murillo D. ↓, Puga C. ↑,
- 68', Merino I. ↓, Molina M. ↑,
- 71', Collado D. ↓, Parra R. ↑,
- 79', Llabres J. ↓, Chapela I. ↑,
- 79', Gassama S. ↓, Fede ↑,
- 82', Ortuno S. 🟨,
- 85', Larrubia D. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
- 88', Ortuno S. ↓, Bernal A. ↑,
- 90+7', Ortuno J. 🟥,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/58uhrcdw
Chances of winning
Eldense
47.1% | Draw
28% | Málaga
24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eldense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Málaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Eldense - Málaga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↑
(1.82) |
3.35 ↓
(3.4) |
3.8 ↓
(4.47) |
6.2%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Eldense - Málaga?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Eldense will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Málaga will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eldense: 21.5% – 71.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Eldense (votes: 3 - 60%). Málaga (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 15).
- Recent form of Eldense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Málaga's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Eldense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Eldense is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Eldense: Mendez D.
(Injury)
Pina
(Injury)
- There will not play in Málaga: Abaida H.
(Hamstring Injury)
Enriquez R.
(Knee Injury)
Lorenzo D.
(Inactive)
Ochoa A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Eldense: Masca
(Injury)
Monsalve N.
(Personal Reasons)
- There are questionable in Málaga: Medina K.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Eldense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Eldense won against Málaga?
Eldense has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Eldense?
Málaga has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Eldense - Málaga were as follows:
18.12.2024
Málaga
-
Eldense
3:0
06.12.2023
Málaga
-
Eldense
1:0
Latest results of Eldense
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 35 | 20 | 5 | 10 | 72:54 | 18 | 65 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 53:38 | 15 | 61 |
| 3 | Almeria | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 67:52 | 15 | 61 |
| 4 | Malaga | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 58:41 | 17 | 60 |
| 5 | Burgos CF | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 42:29 | 13 | 60 |
| 6 | Castellon | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 58:43 | 15 | 58 |
| 7 | Las Palmas | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 45:30 | 15 | 57 |
| 8 | Eibar | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 40:31 | 9 | 54 |
| 9 | Andorra | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 51:47 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Gijon | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 45:44 | 1 | 49 |
| 11 | Ceuta | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 42:55 | -13 | 49 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 47:52 | -5 | 48 |
| 13 | Granada CF | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 44:41 | 3 | 45 |
| 14 | Albacete | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 44:47 | -3 | 44 |
| 15 | Leganes | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 40:38 | 2 | 42 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 45:50 | -5 | 41 |
| 17 | Valladolid | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39:47 | -8 | 39 |
| 18 | Cadiz CF | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:48 | -15 | 38 |
| 19 | Zaragoza | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Huesca | 35 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 35:53 | -18 | 33 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 35 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 37:56 | -19 | 33 |
| 22 | Cultural Leonesa | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 31:56 | -25 | 32 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
