Eldense vs Málaga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
11/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 39
  • Referee: Galech I. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDsports 9
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
ecuadorEcuadorDSports 9
indiaIndiaGXR World
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDSports 9
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 3

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.220.42
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
175
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
84% (319/382)72% (241/336)
Yellow Cards
20
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.220.42
xG on target (xGOT)
1.160.14
Total shots
175
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
155
Shots outside the Box
20
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
4016
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
624
Passes
84% (319/382)72% (241/336)
Long passes
50% (32/64)34% (20/58)
Passes in final third
76% (115/151)51% (41/81)
Crosses
23% (9/40)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.920.55
Throw-ins
1717
Fouls
246
Tackles
67% (10/15)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4255
Clearances
2131
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.141.16
Goals prevented
0.140.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', Galilea E. 🟥,
  • 31', Cordero A. , Pastor A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gamez F. , Ortuno J. ,
  • 61', Ortuno J. 🟨,
  • 63', 1 - 0, Ortuno J. , Ortuno S. (A),
  • 67', Lobete J. , Dioni ,
  • 67', Murillo D. , Puga C. ,
  • 68', Merino I. , Molina M. ,
  • 71', Collado D. , Parra R. ,
  • 79', Llabres J. , Chapela I. ,
  • 79', Gassama S. , Fede ,
  • 82', Ortuno S. 🟨,
  • 85', Larrubia D. , Rodriguez R. ,
  • 88', Ortuno S. , Bernal A. ,
  • 90+7', Ortuno J. 🟥,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/58uhrcdw

Chances of winning


Eldense
47.1%
Draw
28%
Málaga
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.5% 27.5% 21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7% 29.8% 19.4%

Eldense - Málaga Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2
(1.82)
3.35
(3.4)
3.8
(4.47)
6.2%
(6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Eldense - Málaga?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Eldense will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Málaga will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Eldense: 21.5%71.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Eldense (votes: 3 - 60%). Málaga (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 15).
    • Recent form of Eldense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Málaga's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Eldense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Eldense is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Eldense: Mendez D. (Injury) Pina (Injury)
    • There will not play in Málaga: Abaida H. (Hamstring Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Lorenzo D. (Inactive) Ochoa A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Eldense: Masca (Injury) Monsalve N. (Personal Reasons)
    • There are questionable in Málaga: Medina K. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Eldense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Eldense - Málaga were as follows:
    18.12.2024 Málaga - Eldense 3:0
    06.12.2023 Málaga - Eldense 1:0
    Latest results of Eldense
    04.05.2025 Almería - Eldense 5:0
    26.04.2025 Eldense - Córdoba 1:1
    19.04.2025 Ferrol - Eldense 1:0
    05.04.2025 Cartagena - Eldense 0:1
    Latest results of Málaga
    03.05.2025 Málaga - Granada 1:0
    27.04.2025 Málaga - Castellón 1:0
    21.04.2025 Eibar - Málaga 2:2
    14.04.2025 Huesca - Málaga 1:0
    06.04.2025 Málaga - Córdoba 0:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander25145651:331847
    2Castellon25136642:251745
    3Dep. La Coruna25127640:271343
    4Almeria25126747:361142
    5Malaga25125838:29941
    6Las Palmas251010529:20940
    7Burgos CF25116828:24439
    8Gijon251231035:33239
    9Cordoba24108632:27538
    10Ceuta24105930:34-435
    11Cadiz CF2597927:29-234
    12Albacete25961031:36-533
    13Leganes2588927:25232
    14Eibar2588926:27-132
    15Granada CF25611826:29-329
    16Andorra25781027:35-829
    17Real Sociedad B25771132:35-328
    18Valladolid25771125:31-628
    19Huesca25761223:34-1127
    20Cultural Leonesa25741426:40-1425
    21Zaragoza25581222:38-1623
    22Mirandes25551525:42-1720

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation