Eldense vs Málaga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
11/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 39
  • Referee: Galech I. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDsports 9
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
ecuadorEcuadorDSports 9
indiaIndiaGXR World
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDSports 9
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 3

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.220.42
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
175
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
84% (319/382)72% (241/336)
Yellow Cards
20
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.220.42
xG on target (xGOT)
1.160.14
Total shots
175
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
155
Shots outside the Box
20
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
4016
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
624
Passes
84% (319/382)72% (241/336)
Long passes
50% (32/64)34% (20/58)
Passes in final third
76% (115/151)51% (41/81)
Crosses
23% (9/40)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.920.55
Throw-ins
1717
Fouls
246
Tackles
67% (10/15)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4255
Clearances
2131
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.141.16
Goals prevented
0.140.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', Galilea E. 🟥,
  • 31', Cordero A. , Pastor A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gamez F. , Ortuno J. ,
  • 61', Ortuno J. 🟨,
  • 63', 1 - 0, Ortuno J. , Ortuno S. (A),
  • 67', Lobete J. , Dioni ,
  • 67', Murillo D. , Puga C. ,
  • 68', Merino I. , Molina M. ,
  • 71', Collado D. , Parra R. ,
  • 79', Llabres J. , Chapela I. ,
  • 79', Gassama S. , Fede ,
  • 82', Ortuno S. 🟨,
  • 85', Larrubia D. , Rodriguez R. ,
  • 88', Ortuno S. , Bernal A. ,
  • 90+7', Ortuno J. 🟥,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/58uhrcdw

Chances of winning


Eldense
47.1%
Draw
28%
Málaga
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.5% 27.5% 21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7% 29.8% 19.4%

Eldense - Málaga Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2
(1.82)
3.35
(3.4)
3.8
(4.47)
6.2%
(6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Eldense - Málaga?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Eldense will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Málaga will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Eldense: 21.5%71.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Eldense (votes: 1 - 50%). Málaga (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 15).
    • Recent form of Eldense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Málaga's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Eldense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Eldense is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Eldense: Mendez D. (Injury) Pina (Injury)
    • There will not play in Málaga: Abaida H. (Hamstring Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Lorenzo D. (Inactive) Ochoa A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Eldense: Masca (Injury) Monsalve N. (Personal Reasons)
    • There are questionable in Málaga: Medina K. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Eldense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Eldense - Málaga were as follows:
    18.12.2024 Málaga - Eldense 3:0
    06.12.2023 Málaga - Eldense 1:0
    Latest results of Eldense
    04.05.2025 Almería - Eldense 5:0
    26.04.2025 Eldense - Córdoba 1:1
    19.04.2025 Ferrol - Eldense 1:0
    05.04.2025 Cartagena - Eldense 0:1
    Latest results of Málaga
    03.05.2025 Málaga - Granada 1:0
    27.04.2025 Málaga - Castellón 1:0
    21.04.2025 Eibar - Málaga 2:2
    14.04.2025 Huesca - Málaga 1:0
    06.04.2025 Málaga - Córdoba 0:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander17112440:251535
    2Dep. La Coruna1795332:171532
    3Almeria1795333:221132
    4Las Palmas1685318:10829
    5Castellon1784527:21628
    6Burgos CF1674521:15625
    7Ceuta1774618:21-325
    8Valladolid1766520:15524
    9Gijon1773721:23-224
    10Cadiz CF1766516:18-224
    11Cultural Leonesa1772820:22-223
    12Cordoba1757521:22-122
    13Granada CF1748520:22-220
    14Malaga1654720:21-119
    15Leganes1747616:18-219
    16Albacete1654722:27-519
    17Huesca1754815:23-819
    18Real Sociedad B1753923:26-318
    19Andorra1746719:26-718
    20Eibar1745818:24-617
    21Mirandes1643917:26-915
    22Zaragoza1643913:26-1315

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation