Result
0:1
27/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 5
- Referee: Maqedonci G. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.67 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (412/474) | 81% (304/377) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 50 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (412/474) | 81% (304/377) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (30/44) | 40% (21/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (149/186) | 63% (45/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (9/36) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.80 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', Ayari T. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 1, Botheim E. ⚽, Haksabanovic S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Ayari T. ↓, Flataker E. ↑,
- 56', Mujanic A. 🟨,
- 65', Mujanic A. ↓, Andersson V. ↑,
- 68', Ali T. ↓, Sjostrand O. ↑,
- 74', Skogmar A. ↓, Christiansen A. ↑,
- 74', Karabelyov Y. ↓, Busuladzic K. ↑,
- 79', Ali A. ↓, Geiger Y. ↑,
- 79', Pavey C. ↓, Thychosen M. ↑,
- 82', Djuric A. 🟨,
- 85', Haksabanovic S. ↓, Busanello ↑,
- 85', Botheim E. ↓, Gudjohnsen D. T. ↑,
- 90+3', Thychosen M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AIK
43.4% | Draw
28.1% | Malmö
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AIK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Malmö might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AIK than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
AIK - Malmö Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↓
(2.46) |
3.34 ↓
(3.41) |
3.3 ↑
(2.8) |
6.3%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for AIK - Malmö?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. AIK will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Malmö will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AIK: 35% – 88%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.25 - Malmö (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Malmö (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 6)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AIK won 0.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- AIK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in AIK: Besirovic D.
(Injury)
Edh E.
(Injury)
Ellingsen M.
(Leg Injury)
Helm A.
(Inactive)
Nissen F.
(Inactive)
Redkin A.
(Knee Injury)
Thychosen M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Malmö: Christiansen A.
(Inactive)
Ekong E.
(Inactive)
Jansson P.
(Injury)
Olsen R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Malmö: Kurtulus B.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AIK won 1 match, drew 11 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:27. (average 0.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, AIK won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 0.7:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has AIK won against Malmö?
AIK has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Malmö won against AIK?
Malmö has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AIK - Malmö were as follows:
22.05.2025
Malmö
-
AIK
0:0
14.04.2025
AIK
-
Malmö
0:0
15.09.2024
AIK
-
Malmö
0:0
28.04.2024
Malmö
-
AIK
5:0
23.07.2023
AIK
-
Malmö
0:0
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sirius | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 13 |
| 2 | Elfsborg | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Malmo FF | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Hacken | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Hammarby | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 8 |
| 6 | Vasteras SK | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 | Degerfors | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Djurgarden | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | AIK | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Mjallby | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 12 | Orgryte | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:12 | -6 | 5 |
| 13 | Kalmar | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Goteborg | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | GAIS | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 2 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
