Result
0:2
19/07/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 16
- Referee: Mattsson E. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 2, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (276/350) | 88% (537/610) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (276/350) | 88% (537/610) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (30/66) | 38% (15/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (69/108) | 71% (70/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 43% (3/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | 0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Rosengren O. ⚽, Gudjohnsen D. T. (A),
- 38', Rosengren O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Gudjohnsen D. T. ↓, Ali T. ↑,
- 60', Varmanen T. ↓, Adjei R. ↑,
- 60', Djuric A. ↓, Zatterstrom N. ↑,
- 61', Busuladzic K. ↓, Berg O. ↑,
- 67', 0 - 2, Haksabanovic S. ⚽, Rosengren O. (A),
- 75', Uddenas O. ↓, Voelkerling Persson J. ↑,
- 77', Haksabanovic S. ↓, Sigurdsson A. ↑,
- 88', Bolin H. ↓, Ekong E. ↑,
- 90+5', Sejdiu P. ↓, Tamminen M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Öster 13.8% | Draw 20.9% | Malmö 65.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Öster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Öster than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Öster - Malmö Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
6.78 ↑ (5.63) |
4.52 ↑ (4.23) |
1.45 ↓ (1.56) |
6% (5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Öster - Malmö?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Malmö will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Malmö: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Malmö (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Öster won 1.
- Recent performances by Öster have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Malmö is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Öster may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Malmö is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Malmö: Botheim E.
(Broken Leg)
Christiansen A.
(Inactive)
Dahlin J.
(Knee Injury)
Holmquist S.
(Back Injury)
Lajqi G.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Öster won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Öster won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Öster won against Malmö?
Öster has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Malmö won against Öster?
Malmö has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Öster - Malmö were as follows:
29.04.2025
Malmö
-
Öster
2:0
17.02.2024
Malmö
-
Öster
2:0
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 49:17 | 32 | 66 |
| 2 | Hammarby ✔ | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 53:27 | 26 | 55 |
| 3 | GAIS | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 41:27 | 14 | 48 |
| 4 | Malmo FF | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:28 | 14 | 45 |
| 5 | AIK | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 35:29 | 6 | 44 |
| 6 | Goteborg | 27 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 36:33 | 3 | 44 |
| 7 | Djurgarden | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43:29 | 14 | 42 |
| 8 | Elfsborg | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 45:41 | 4 | 40 |
| 9 | Hacken | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 39:46 | -7 | 33 |
| 10 | Halmstad | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 22:47 | -25 | 31 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Sirius | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 44:49 | -5 | 30 |
| 13 | Norrkoping | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 38:51 | -13 | 29 |
| 14 | Oster | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 26:42 | -16 | 25 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 27:49 | -22 | 23 |
| 16 | Varnamo ✔ | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 33:55 | -22 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mjallby is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Hammarby is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
Varnamo is Relegated to Superettan