Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Europa League
Soccer UEFA Europa League Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester United
Result
1:0
21/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Europa League - Play Offs - Final
  • Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.030.76
Ball Possession
27%73%
Total shots
316
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
61% (115/187)84% (430/511)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.030.76
xG on target (xGOT)
0.990.58
Total shots
316
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
06
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
314
Shots outside the Box
02
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1139
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1022
Passes
61% (115/187)84% (430/511)
Long passes
40% (16/40)47% (23/49)
Passes in final third
40% (23/58)77% (124/162)
Crosses
23% (3/13)22% (7/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.581.04
Throw-ins
2227
Fouls
2210
Tackles
56% (9/16)60% (12/20)
Duels won
4765
Clearances
4525
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
60
xGOT faced
0.580.99
Goals prevented
0.58-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 35', Diallo A. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Johnson B. ⚽, Sarr P. M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', van de Ven M. 🟨,
  • 58', Richarlison 🟨,
  • 67', Richarlison ↓, Son Heung-Min ↑,
  • 68', Bissouma Y. 🟨,
  • 71', Hojlund R. ↓, Zirkzee J. ↑,
  • 71', Mount M. ↓, Garnacho A. ↑,
  • 78', Johnson B. ↓, Danso K. ↑,
  • 84', Zirkzee J. 🟨,
  • 85', Mazraoui N. ↓, Dalot D. ↑,
  • 88', Maguire H. 🟨,
  • 90', Udogie D. ↓, Spence D. ↑,
  • 90', Sarr P. M. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
  • 90', Dorgu P. ↓, Mainoo K. ↑,
  • 90+2', Evans J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tottenham Hotspur
28.9%		Draw
29.1%		Manchester United
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.3% 27.8% 39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2% 28.5% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tottenham Hotspur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tottenham Hotspur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-4%)
    •

    Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.33 ↑
    (2.89)    		 3.31 ↓
    (3.46)    		 2.3 ↓
    (2.47)    		 3.7%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester United?
  • Users Predictions: 88 users predict this event. Tottenham will win (votes: 19 - 21.6%). Man Utd will win (votes: 26 - 29.5%). It will Tie (votes: 43 - 48.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.5% – 59.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Tottenham (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Man Utd (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Tie (votes: 10 - 55.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
    • EH -1 - Man Utd (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • TQ, OT - Man Utd (votes: 4 - 80%).
    • O/U 0.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 11 - 100%).
    • AH +0.25 - Man Utd (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Estadio San Mamés.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tottenham won 4.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Man Utd is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Tottenham: Bergvall L. (Ankle Injury) Dragusin R. (Knee Injury) Forster F. (Inactive) Kinsky A. (Inactive) Kulusevski D. (Knee Injury) Maddison J. (Knee Injury) Reguilon S. (Inactive) Scarlett D. (Groin Injury) Werner T. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Man Utd: Martinez Li. (Knee Injury) Obi C. (Inactive) de Ligt M. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tottenham won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 34:29. (average 1.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tottenham won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester United were as follows:
    16.02.2025 Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester United 1:0
    19.12.2024 Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester United 4:3
    29.09.2024 Manchester United - Tottenham Hotspur 0:3
    14.01.2024 Manchester United - Tottenham Hotspur 2:2
    19.08.2023 Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester United 2:0
    Latest results of Tottenham Hotspur
    16.05.2025 Aston Villa - Tottenham Hotspur 2:0 ✺
    11.05.2025 Tottenham Hotspur - Crystal Palace 0:2 ✺
    08.05.2025 Bodø Glimt - Tottenham Hotspur 0:2 ✺
    04.05.2025 West Ham United - Tottenham Hotspur 1:1 ✺
    01.05.2025 Tottenham Hotspur - Bodø Glimt 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Manchester United
    16.05.2025 Chelsea - Manchester United 1:0 ✺
    11.05.2025 Manchester United - West Ham United 0:2 ✺
    08.05.2025 Manchester United - Athletic Bilbao 4:1 ✺
    04.05.2025 Brentford - Manchester United 4:3 ✺
    01.05.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Manchester United 0:3 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LuganoBye
    2PaksCFR Cluj
    3Sabah BakuCelje
    4AEK LarnacaPartizan
    5Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva
    6ByeBraga
    7OstravaBye
    8LegiaAktobe
    9AnderlechtBye
    10TrnavaHacken
    11Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina
    12ByeUtrecht
    13MidtjyllandBye
    14ByeHibernian
    15BesiktasBye
    16Shakhtar DonetskIlves

    Quarter-finals
    1LuganoTBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5Braga
    4OstravaTBD #8
    5AnderlechtTBD #10
    6TBD #11Utrecht
    7MidtjyllandHibernian
    8BesiktasTBD #16
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