Result
2:2
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 35
- Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.66 | 1.93 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (296/405) | 68% (258/382) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.66 | 1.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (296/405) | 68% (258/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (27/78) | 21% (14/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (72/127) | 54% (70/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 32% (7/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.21 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 2.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.87 | 0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Russell J. ⚽, Adeboyejo V. (A),
- 14', 1 - 1, Tilley J. ⚽, Browne M. (A),
- 29', 2 - 1, Russell J. ⚽, Roberts T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 54', McLaughlin S. 🟨,
- 58', Adeboyejo V. ↓, Oates R. ↑,
- 58', Roberts T. ↓, Evans W. ↑,
- 58', 2 - 2, Stevens M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 64', Russell J. ↓, Abbott G. ↑,
- 64', Hendry R. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
- 75', McLaughlin S. ↓, Hewitt E. ↑,
- 84', Hippolyte M. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
- 84', Stevens M. ↓, Bugiel O. ↑,
- 88', Bauer P. ↓, Nkeng R. ↑,
- 90', Oshilaja A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Bugiel O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mansfield Town 42.8% | Draw 29.3% | AFC Wimbledon 27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Mansfield Town - AFC Wimbledon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.19 ↑ (2.14) |
3.21 ↓ (3.29) |
3.34 ↑ (3.33) |
6.8% (7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mansfield Town - AFC Wimbledon?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mansfield: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mansfield (votes: 1 - 50%). Wimbledon (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 16 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 2.
- Mansfield is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Wimbledon's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Mansfield is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Mansfield: Bowery J.
(Inactive)
Cargill B.
(Injury)
Maris G.
(Inactive)
Sweeney R.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Wimbledon: McCoy-Splatt D.
(Inactive)
Sasu A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wimbledon: Lewis J.
(Inactive)
Stewart L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mansfield won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Mansfield Town won against AFC Wimbledon?
Mansfield Town has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Mansfield Town?
AFC Wimbledon has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mansfield Town - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
13.12.2025
AFC Wimbledon
-
Mansfield Town
0:0
27.01.2024
AFC Wimbledon
-
Mansfield Town
2:1
07.10.2023
Mansfield Town
-
AFC Wimbledon
0:0
04.03.2023
AFC Wimbledon
-
Mansfield Town
1:3
Latest results of Mansfield Town
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 68:36 | 32 | 72 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 32 | 71 |
| 3 | Bolton | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 50:34 | 16 | 61 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 47:43 | 4 | 56 |
| 6 | Wycombe | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 50:36 | 14 | 53 |
| 7 | Huddersfield | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 55:46 | 9 | 52 |
| 8 | Reading | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 50:44 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 51 |
| 10 | Luton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:41 | 2 | 47 |
| 11 | Peterborough | 35 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 50:49 | 1 | 46 |
| 12 | Plymouth | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 53:54 | -1 | 44 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | Exeter | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 17 | Burton | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 39:50 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Wigan | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 37 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | -14 | 37 |
| 21 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 36 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 35 |
| 23 | Northampton | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31:47 | -16 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26:44 | -18 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two