Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 35
  • Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.661.93
Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
64
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
76
Passes
73% (296/405)68% (258/382)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
2.661.93
xG on target (xGOT)
2.251.13
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
35
Blocked shots
67
Shots inside the box
1413
Shots outside the box
13
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
3225
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free kicks
1711
Passes
73% (296/405)68% (258/382)
Long passes
35% (27/78)21% (14/66)
Passes in final third
57% (72/127)54% (70/129)
Crosses
14% (3/21)32% (7/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.831.21
Throw ins
1923
Fouls
1117
Tackles
45% (5/11)85% (11/13)
Duels won
5553
Clearances
2730
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
24
xGOT faced
1.132.25
Goals prevented
-0.870.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Russell J. , Adeboyejo V. (A),
  • 14', 1 - 1, Tilley J. , Browne M. (A),
  • 29', 2 - 1, Russell J. , Roberts T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 54', McLaughlin S. 🟨,
  • 58', Adeboyejo V. , Oates R. ,
  • 58', Roberts T. , Evans W. ,
  • 58', 2 - 2, Stevens M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 64', Russell J. , Abbott G. ,
  • 64', Hendry R. , Lewis A. ,
  • 75', McLaughlin S. , Hewitt E. ,
  • 84', Hippolyte M. , Nelson Z. ,
  • 84', Stevens M. , Bugiel O. ,
  • 88', Bauer P. , Nkeng R. ,
  • 90', Oshilaja A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Bugiel O. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mansfield Town
42.8%
Draw
29.3%
AFC Wimbledon
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 28.4% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 28.4% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Mansfield Town - AFC Wimbledon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.14)
    3.21
    (3.29)
    3.34
    (3.33)
    6.8%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Mansfield Town - AFC Wimbledon?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mansfield: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mansfield (votes: 1 - 50%). Wimbledon (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 16 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 2.
    • Mansfield is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Wimbledon's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Mansfield is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Mansfield: Bowery J. (Inactive) Cargill B. (Injury) Maris G. (Inactive) Sweeney R. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Wimbledon: McCoy-Splatt D. (Inactive) Sasu A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Wimbledon: Lewis J. (Inactive) Stewart L. (Inactive)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mansfield won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mansfield Town - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
    13.12.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Mansfield Town 0:0
    27.01.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Mansfield Town 2:1
    07.10.2023 Mansfield Town - AFC Wimbledon 0:0
    04.03.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Mansfield Town 1:3
    Latest results of Mansfield Town
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff34226668:363272
    2Lincoln34218563:313271
    3Bolton351613650:341661
    4Bradford City341771043:38558
    5Stockport County341681047:43456
    6Wycombe3514111050:361453
    7Huddersfield351571355:46952
    8Reading341312950:44651
    9Stevenage331491037:35251
    10Luton341381343:41247
    11Peterborough351441750:49146
    12Plymouth341441649:50-146
    13Barnsley321281253:54-144
    14AFC Wimbledon331271441:48-743
    15Exeter341191439:40-142
    16Mansfield3310111239:37241
    17Burton3510101539:50-1140
    18Doncaster331161636:55-1939
    19Wigan339101435:46-1137
    20Blackpool341071740:54-1437
    21Leyton Orient331061744:56-1236
    22Rotherham34981733:47-1435
    23Northampton35981831:47-1635
    24Port Vale32691726:44-1827

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