Manta vs Deportivo Cuenca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Jocay (Manta).

Liga Pro - Round 26
Referee: Torres Cajax A. (Ecu)
Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.82	1.68
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
18	14
Shots on target
6	4
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
5	6
Passes
80% (357/444)	75% (268/358)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82	1.68
xG on target (xGOT)
1.39	2.13
Total shots
18	14
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
7	8
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
10	9
Shots outside the Box
8	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
5	6
Touches in opposition box
28	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
5	11
Passes
80% (357/444)	75% (268/358)
Long passes
55% (30/55)	46% (33/71)
Passes in final third
68% (84/123)	66% (79/120)
Crosses
26% (7/27)	21% (5/24)
Expected assists (xA)
1.01	0.83
Throw-ins
15	32
Fouls
11	7
Tackles
76% (16/21)	56% (10/18)
Duels won
53	54
Clearances
25	33
Interceptions
14	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	6
xGOT faced
2.13	1.39
Goals prevented
1.13	1.39

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Maccari M. 🟨,
41', Morocho S. 🟨,
45+1', Torres Nazareno L. B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Morocho S. ↓, Luna Tobar C. ↑,
62', Ordonez J. ↓, Arroyo L. ↑,
62', Estupinan L. ↓, Mancinelli L. ↑,
66', Ospitaleche F. ↓, Cabezas D. ↑,
71', Gomez A. 🟨,
73', Aleman C. (Pen),
76', Rodriguez A. ↓, Leguizamon N. ↑,
76', Maccari M. ↓, Noboa D. ↑,
80', Ramirez B. ↓, Valencia M. ↑,
80', Quintero D. ↓, Chala J. ↑,
80', Torres Nazareno L. B. ↓, Acosta M. ↑,
82', 0 - 1, Gustavino L. ⚽, Luna Tobar C. (A),
86', Bartora G. ↓, Zambrano J. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Manta
33.1%

Draw
30.8%

Deportivo Cuenca
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

28.6%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

28.3%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manta's performance.

Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Cuenca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manta than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Cuenca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Manta - Deportivo Cuenca Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (3.38)	3 ↓ (3.23)	2.59 ↑ (2.09)	8.3% (8.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Manta - Deportivo Cuenca?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 7 - 100%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manta won 2.
Manta is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Deportivo Cuenca's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Manta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Manta won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Manta won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.5:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Manta won against Deportivo Cuenca?

Manta has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against Manta?

Deportivo Cuenca has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Manta - Deportivo Cuenca were as follows:

02.05.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - Manta 2:0

21.07.2024 Manta - Deportivo Cuenca 1:3

Latest results of Manta

17.08.2025 LDU Quito - Manta 1:1 ✺

13.08.2025 San Antonio - Manta 1:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Manta - Independiente del Valle 0:0 ✺

03.08.2025 Técnico Universitario - Manta 3:1 ✺

26.07.2025 Manta - Emelec 2:4 ✺

Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca

18.08.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - Vinotinto 2:0 ✺

11.08.2025 Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca 1:1 ✺

07.08.2025 Baños Ciudad de Fuego - Deportivo Cuenca 0:2 ✺

01.08.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - Deportivo Macará 1:1 ✺

27.07.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - Independiente del Valle 0:3 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	27	17	8	2	50:20	30	59
2	Barcelona SC	26	14	5	7	38:29	9	47
3	LDU Quito	27	12	9	6	42:26	16	45
4	Dep. Cuenca	26	12	6	8	31:25	6	42
5	Libertad	26	11	8	7	40:34	6	41
6	Orense	26	12	5	9	30:30	0	41
7	U. Catolica	26	10	9	7	48:33	15	39
8	Aucas	27	11	5	11	36:39	-3	38
9	Emelec	27	10	8	9	26:30	-4	38
10	EL Nacional	27	9	7	11	32:35	-3	34
11	Macara	27	7	10	10	26:28	-2	31
12	Delfin	26	6	10	10	25:40	-15	28
13	Manta	27	5	10	12	31:45	-14	25
14	Tecnico U	27	6	7	14	24:41	-17	25
15	Vinotinto	27	6	6	15	29:38	-9	24
16	Mushuc Runa ✔	27	6	5	16	30:45	-15	23

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )