Result
4:2
25/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 35
- Referee: Dionisi F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.83 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (338/395) | 86% (400/464) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.83 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.10 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (338/395) | 86% (400/464) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (25/48) | 44% (18/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (92/122) | 79% (81/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 4.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.23 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Redolfi A. ⚽, Burrai S. (A),
- 6', Redolfi A. ↓, De Maio S. ↑,
- 7', Ceccherini F. 🟨,
- 18', Ravanelli L. 🟨,
- 25', 1 - 1, Johnsen D. ⚽, Zanimacchia L. (A),
- 37', Bianchetti M. 🟨,
- 45', Barbieri T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Castagnetti M. ↓, Collocolo M. ↑,
- 46', Ceccherini F. ↓, Antov V. ↑,
- 47', 2 - 1, De Luca M. ⚽, Vandeputte J. (A),
- 53', 3 - 1, Collocolo M. ⚽, Barbieri T. (A),
- 62', Barbieri T. ↓, Azzi P. ↑,
- 65', Fiori A. ↓, Bragantini D. ↑,
- 65', Mancuso L. ↓, Aramu M. ↑,
- 65', Burrai S. ↓, Wieser D. ↑,
- 69', Vandeputte J. ↓, Valoti M. ↑,
- 70', Bani C. 🟨,
- 73', 4 - 1, De Luca M. ⚽, Johnsen D. (A),
- 77', 4 - 2, Brignani F. ⚽, Aramu M. (A),
- 78', Ravanelli L. ↓, Folino F. ↑,
- 82', Brignani F. 🟨,
- 83', Brignani F. ↓, Solini M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cremonese
61.5% | Draw
21.9% | Mantova
16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cremonese's form might have worsened.Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cremonese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Cremonese - Mantova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↑
(1.35) |
4.28 ↓
(5.1) |
5.61 ↓
(7) |
6.6%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Cremonese - Mantova?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Cremonese will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Mantova will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cremonese: 71.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cremonese will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).
- Cremonese is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Mantova is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Cremonese is a favorite.
- There will not play in Cremonese: Saro G.
(Knee Injury)
Vazquez F.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Cremonese: Ceccherini F.
(Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Cremonese to win the game is with odds 1.51.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cremonese won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.4:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cremonese won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cremonese won against Mantova?
Cremonese has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Cremonese?
Mantova has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cremonese - Mantova were as follows:
09.11.2024
Mantova
-
Cremonese
1:0
Latest results of Cremonese
Latest results of Mantova
Draw
Play OutFinal| 1 | Salernitana (16) | Sampdoria (17) | 0 : 3, 0 : 2 |
