Result
0:2
12/04/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 34
- Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 1.01 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (200/304) | 75% (307/412) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (200/304) | 75% (307/412) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (21/76) | 29% (16/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (44/98) | 62% (79/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (9/23) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.58 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.65 | 1.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', Romano A. 🟨,
- 26', Mensah D. ↓, Mancuso L. ↑,
- 28', Dembele A. 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 1, Bragantini D. ⚽, Maggioni T. (A),
- 45+3', Trimboli S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Mascardi D. ↓, Radunovic B. ↑,
- 46', Di Serio G. ↓, Lapadula G. ↑,
- 46', Aurelio G. ↓, Sernicola L. ↑,
- 49', Bandinelli F. 🟨,
- 56', Comotto C. ↓, Vignali L. ↑,
- 71', Bragantini D. ↓, Buso N. ↑,
- 71', Ruocco F. ↓, Marras T. ↑,
- 72', 0 - 2, Buso N. ⚽, Trimboli S. (A),
- 74', Artistico G. ↓, Vlahovic V. ↑,
- 79', Kouda R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Spezia
41.3% | Draw
29.3% | Mantova
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Spezia - Mantova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↑
(2.04) |
3.18 ↓
(3.3) |
3.19 ↓
(3.25) |
7.2%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Spezia - Mantova?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Mantova will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 13).
- Spezia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mantova is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Spezia might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Spezia: Adamo E.
(Red Card)
Bonfanti G.
(Red Card)
Cassata F.
(Muscle Injury)
Sarr M.
(Ankle Injury)
Skjellerup L.
(Inactive)
Valoti M.
(Red Card)
Zurkowski S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Mantova: Bonfanti N.
(Ankle Injury)
Meroni A.
(Inactive)
Paoletti F.
(Yellow Cards)
Radaelli N.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Mantova: Mancuso L.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Spezia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Mantova?
Spezia has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Spezia?
Mantova has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Mantova were as follows:
23.11.2025
Mantova
-
Spezia
4:1
13.04.2025
Mantova
-
Spezia
2:2
26.12.2024
Spezia
-
Mantova
1:1
Latest results of Mantova
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia ✔ | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 75:31 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 71:34 | 37 | 78 |
| 3 | Monza | 37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 59:30 | 29 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 37 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 61:31 | 30 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia ✔ | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 43:44 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:55 | -13 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 | Mantova | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 45:52 | -7 | 46 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Padova | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 45:52 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 37 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 40 |
| 16 | Entella | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Bari | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 35:58 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Pescara | 37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 50:65 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Spezia | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 42:58 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 35:56 | -21 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
