Result
1:1
11/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 19
- Referee: Perenzoni D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.94 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (468/601) | 71% (232/329) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.05 | 1.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (468/601) | 71% (232/329) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (20/80) | 39% (24/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (75/125) | 60% (55/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.09 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.68 | -0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Ceccaroni P. ⚽, Vasic A. (A),
- 37', Ranocchia F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Trimboli S. 🟨,
- 59', Ruocco F. ↓, Mensah D. ↑,
- 59', Maggioni T. ↓, Paoletti F. ↑,
- 60', Trimboli S. ↓, Zuccon F. ↑,
- 64', Vasic A. ↓, Le Douaron J. ↑,
- 70', Palumbo A. ↓, Blin A. ↑,
- 70', Ranocchia F. ↓, Gomes C. ↑,
- 70', Peda P. ↓, Bereszynski B. ↑,
- 76', Fiori A. ↓, Marras T. ↑,
- 76', Falletti C. ↓, Bragantini D. ↑,
- 78', Joronen J. 🟨,
- 82', Segre J. ↓, Giovane S. ↑,
- 83', Bani C. 🟨,
- 90+3', Castellini A. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Marras T. ⚽, Wieser D. (A),
Chances of winning
Mantova
23.9% | Draw
26.9% | Palermo
49.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Mantova - Palermo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.88 ↑
(3.53) |
3.45 ↓
(3.49) |
1.89 ↓
(2) |
7.6%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mantova - Palermo?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Palermo will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palermo: 58.6% – 97%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Palermo (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Mantova is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Palermo is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Palermo could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Mantova: Bonfanti N.
(Inactive)
Caprini M.
(Inactive)
Majer Z.
(Inactive)
Mantovani V.
(Calf Injury)
Radaelli N.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Palermo: Bereszynski B.
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Palermo?
Mantova has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Mantova?
Palermo has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mantova - Palermo were as follows:
16.02.2025
Palermo
-
Mantova
2:2
30.10.2024
Mantova
-
Palermo
0:0
Latest results of Mantova
Latest results of Palermo
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 44:19 | 25 | 47 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40:19 | 21 | 46 |
| 3 | Monza | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 34:18 | 16 | 44 |
| 4 | Palermo | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 33:14 | 19 | 41 |
| 5 | Modena | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 28:17 | 11 | 34 |
| 6 | Cesena | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 29:27 | 2 | 34 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 24:23 | 1 | 34 |
| 8 | Catanzaro | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 31:32 | -1 | 29 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 28 |
| 11 | Empoli | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 28 |
| 12 | Avellino | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 27:35 | -8 | 28 |
| 13 | Padova | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21:27 | -6 | 25 |
| 14 | Sampdoria | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 22 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 21 |
| 16 | Entella | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 19:29 | -10 | 21 |
| 17 | Spezia | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19:29 | -10 | 20 |
| 18 | Mantova | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22:36 | -14 | 20 |
| 19 | Bari | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 18:34 | -16 | 20 |
| 20 | Pescara | 22 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 27:44 | -17 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
