Palermo vs Mantova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadio Renzo Barbera (Palermo).

Serie B - Round 28
Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Switzerland	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.18	1.02
Ball possession
54%	46%
Total shots
17	7
Shots on target
5	3
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
9	2
Passes
81% (298/368)	79% (252/319)
Yellow cards
3	4
Red cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.18	1.02
xG on target (xGOT)
1.34	0.87
Total shots
17	7
Shots on target
5	3
Shots off target
9	2
Blocked shots
3	2
Shots inside the box
11	2
Shots outside the box
6	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
9	2
Touches in opposition box
33	11
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	4
Free kicks
12	23
Passes
81% (298/368)	79% (252/319)
Long passes
56% (24/43)	27% (13/49)
Passes in final third
66% (87/131)	71% (55/77)
Crosses
34% (10/29)	8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.62	0.16
Throw ins
22	18
Fouls
23	12
Tackles
60% (9/15)	75% (9/12)
Duels won
52	49
Clearances
16	43
Interceptions
8	5
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.87	1.34
Goals prevented
-0.13	-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Ranocchia F. ⚽, Augello T. (A),
17', Zuccon F. 🟨,
19', Ranocchia F. 🟨,
32', Zuccon F. 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽, Palumbo A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bragantini D. ↓, Paoletti F. ↑,
46', Ranocchia F. ↓, Blin A. ↑,
53', Mensah D. ↓, Marras T. ↑,
53', Dembele A. ↓, Maggioni T. ↑,
67', Blin A. 🟥,
68', 2 - 1, Marras T. (Penalty Awarded),
69', Palumbo A. ↓, Gomes C. ↑,
70', Castellini A. 🟨,
71', Radaelli N. 🟨,
75', Pierozzi N. 🟨,
77', Le Douaron J. ↓, Johnsen D. ↑,
77', Castellini A. ↓, Mancuso L. ↑,
77', Caprini M. ↓, Buso N. ↑,
81', Peda P. 🟨,
84', Peda P. ↓, Magnani G. ↑,
85', Pierozzi N. ↓, Gyasi E. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Palermo
62.7%

Draw
22%

Mantova
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

22.5%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

21.4%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Palermo - Mantova Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.5)	4.26 ↑ (4.13)	6.13 ↑ (5.98)	6.6% (7.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Palermo - Mantova?

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 19 - 86.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palermo: 72.1% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Palermo (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -1.5 - Mantova (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Palermo will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Palermo (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Mantova (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
Palermo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Mantova has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Palermo is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Mantova: Bianay Balcot C. (Injury) Bonfanti N. (Inactive) Falletti C. (Inactive)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
Including home match between the teams, Palermo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Mantova?

Palermo has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Palermo?

Mantova has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Palermo - Mantova were as follows:

11.01.2026 Mantova - Palermo 1:1

16.02.2025 Palermo - Mantova 2:2

30.10.2024 Mantova - Palermo 0:0

Latest results of Palermo

01.03.2026 Pescara - Palermo 2:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Palermo - Südtirol-Alto Adige 3:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Palermo - Virtus Entella 3:0 ✺

10.02.2026 Sampdoria - Palermo 3:3 ✺

07.02.2026 Palermo - Empoli 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Mantova

01.03.2026 Mantova - Carrarese 1:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Mantova - Sampdoria 2:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Catanzaro - Mantova 2:0 ✺

10.02.2026 Reggiana - Mantova 1:0 ✺

07.02.2026 Mantova - Bari 2:1 ✺

Italian Serie B Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Venezia	33	21	8	4	67:28	39	71
2	Frosinone	33	19	11	3	64:32	32	68
3	Monza	33	19	9	5	51:27	24	66
4	Palermo	33	18	10	5	54:27	27	64
5	Catanzaro	32	14	11	7	50:39	11	53
6	Modena	32	14	8	10	43:28	15	50
7	Juve Stabia	33	10	15	8	39:41	-2	45
8	Cesena	33	12	8	13	42:48	-6	44
9	Carrarese	33	10	12	11	44:43	1	42
10	Sudtirol	33	8	15	10	35:36	-1	39
11	Avellino	33	10	9	14	37:53	-16	39
12	Mantova	33	10	7	16	37:48	-11	37
13	Sampdoria	33	9	10	14	32:43	-11	37
14	Empoli	33	8	12	13	43:48	-5	36
15	Padova	33	8	10	15	32:45	-13	34
16	Entella	33	8	10	15	31:46	-15	34
17	Bari	33	8	10	15	33:51	-18	34
18	Pescara	33	7	11	15	46:59	-13	32
19	Spezia	33	7	9	17	32:49	-17	30
20	Reggiana	33	7	9	17	31:52	-21	30

      Promotion ~ Serie A
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Serie B (Play Out: )
      Relegation