Result
2:1
30/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 2
- Referee: Mucera G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.94 | 0.51 |
Ball Possession |
---|
53% | 47% |
Total shots |
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15 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 5 |
Passes |
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87% (378/434) | 85% (316/372) |
Yellow Cards |
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4 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.94 | 0.51 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.82 | 0.00 |
Total shots |
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15 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 0 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
12 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
21 | 15 |
Passes |
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87% (378/434) | 85% (316/372) |
Long passes |
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56% (23/41) | 43% (13/30) |
Passes in final third |
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72% (66/92) | 73% (71/97) |
Crosses |
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27% (4/15) | 35% (6/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.35 | 0.55 |
Throw-ins |
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23 | 13 |
Fouls |
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15 | 24 |
Tackles |
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62% (8/13) | 67% (10/15) |
Duels won |
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46 | 46 |
Clearances |
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14 | 18 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.00 | 2.82 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.00 | 0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', 1 - 0, Mancuso L. (Pen),
- 44', Radaelli N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', Oliveri A. 🟨,
- 51', Mantovani V. 🟨,
- 52', Mancuso L. 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 1, Festa M. (Own goal),
- 68', Bani C. 🟨,
- 69', Galuppini F. ↓, Bragantini D. ↑,
- 69', Bonfanti N. ↓, Mensah D. ↑,
- 77', Di Nardo A. ↓, Merola D. ↑,
- 77', Pellacani F. ↓, Giannini D. ↑,
- 77', Wieser D. ↓, Majer Z. ↑,
- 84', Caprini M. ↓, Fiori A. ↑,
- 84', Mancuso L. ↓, Falletti C. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 1, Fiori A. ⚽, Falletti C. (A),
- 89', Sgarbi L. ↓, Meazzi L. ↑,
- 89', Oliveri A. ↓, Berardi L. ↑,
- 89', Olzer G. ↓, Ferraris A. ↑,
- 90+1', Corbo G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mantova 45.3% | Draw 28.4% | Pescara 26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Pescara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mantova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pescara than the current prediction. (-3%)
Mantova - Pescara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.08 ↑ (1.98) |
3.31 ↓ (3.45) |
3.57 ↓ (3.75) |
6.3% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mantova - Pescara?
Users Predictions:
Mantova will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mantova will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Mantova is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Pescara has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Mantova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Mantova has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Pescara has had a series of home games.
- Mantova will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Pescara?
Mantova has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pescara won against Mantova?
Pescara has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mantova - Pescara were as follows:
Latest results of Mantova
Latest results of Pescara
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cesena | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
2 | Sudtirol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
3 | Modena | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
4 | Frosinone | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
5 | Carrarese | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
6 | Monza | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
7 | Venezia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
8 | Palermo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
9 | Reggiana | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
10 | Empoli | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
11 | Mantova | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
12 | Entella | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
13 | Juve Stabia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
14 | Catanzaro | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
15 | Bari | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
16 | Avellino | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
17 | Padova | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
18 | Spezia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
19 | Pescara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
20 | Sampdoria | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation