Result
2:1
30/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 2
- Referee: Mucera G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (378/434) | 85% (316/372) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.82 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (378/434) | 85% (316/372) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (23/41) | 43% (13/30) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (66/92) | 73% (71/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', 1 - 0, Mancuso L. (Pen),
- 44', Radaelli N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', Oliveri A. 🟨,
- 51', Mantovani V. 🟨,
- 52', Mancuso L. 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 1, Festa M. (Own goal),
- 68', Bani C. 🟨,
- 69', Galuppini F. ↓, Bragantini D. ↑,
- 69', Bonfanti N. ↓, Mensah D. ↑,
- 77', Di Nardo A. ↓, Merola D. ↑,
- 77', Pellacani F. ↓, Giannini D. ↑,
- 77', Wieser D. ↓, Majer Z. ↑,
- 84', Caprini M. ↓, Fiori A. ↑,
- 84', Mancuso L. ↓, Falletti C. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 1, Fiori A. ⚽, Falletti C. (A),
- 89', Sgarbi L. ↓, Meazzi L. ↑,
- 89', Oliveri A. ↓, Berardi L. ↑,
- 89', Olzer G. ↓, Ferraris A. ↑,
- 90+1', Corbo G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mantova
45.3% | Draw
28.4% | Pescara
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Pescara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mantova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pescara than the current prediction. (-3%)
Mantova - Pescara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↑
(1.98) |
3.31 ↓
(3.45) |
3.57 ↓
(3.75) |
6.3%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mantova - Pescara?
Users Predictions:
Mantova will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mantova will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Mantova is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Pescara has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Mantova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Mantova has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Pescara has had a series of home games.
- Mantova will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Pescara?
Mantova has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pescara won against Mantova?
Pescara has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mantova - Pescara were as follows:
Latest results of Mantova
Latest results of Pescara
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 11 |
| 2 | Palermo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Cesena | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Modena | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | Avellino | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Sudtirol | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Venezia | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Juve Stabia | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Monza | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Padova | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 12 | Catanzaro | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Reggiana | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Entella | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Pescara | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 | Empoli | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Mantova | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Bari | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 |
| 19 | Spezia | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
