Nairobi City Stars vs Mara Sugar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Kenyan Premier League Nairobi City Stars - Mara Sugar
Result
3:2
09/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Hamisi S. ,
  • 39', 2 - 0, Owino V. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 51', 3 - 0, Ochieng H. ,
  • 53', 3 - 1, Cheruiyot D. ,
  • 63', 3 - 2, Cheruiyot D. ,

Chances of winning


Nairobi City Stars
31.8%
Draw
31.2%
Mara Sugar
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.2% 30.8% 31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 30.1% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nairobi City Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nairobi City Stars's form might have worsened.
  • Mara Sugar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nairobi City Stars than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nairobi City Stars, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mara Sugar than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mara Sugar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nairobi City Stars - Mara Sugar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.86
    (2.4)
    2.92
    (2.9)
    2.47
    (2.8)
    9.8%
    (11.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 14).
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nairobi City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nairobi City Stars - Mara Sugar were as follows:
    21.09.2024 Mara Sugar - Nairobi City Stars 1:0
    Latest results of Nairobi City Stars
    Latest results of Mara Sugar
    04.05.2025 Mara Sugar - Ulinzi Stars 1:1
    27.04.2025 Gor Mahia - Mara Sugar 4:0
    19.04.2025 Mara Sugar - Kenya CB 1:1
    06.04.2025 Mara Sugar - Tusker 1:1
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1Posta RangersNaivas FC0 : 1, 2 : 0