Result
 
                    3:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        09/05/2025 at  08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Premier League - Round 30
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
								 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Hamisi S. ⚽, 
- 39', 2 - 0, Owino V. ⚽, 
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 51', 3 - 0, Ochieng H. ⚽, 
- 53', 3 - 1, Cheruiyot D. ⚽, 
- 63', 3 - 2, Cheruiyot D. ⚽, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Nairobi City Stars 31.8%
 | Draw 31.2%
 | Mara Sugar 36.9%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Nairobi City Stars - Mara Sugar Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.86 ↑ (2.4)
 | 2.92 ↑ (2.9)
 | 2.47 ↓ (2.8)
 | 9.8% (11.9%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 14).
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nairobi City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Nairobi City Stars won against Mara Sugar?
                    
                    
                        
                            Nairobi City Stars has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Mara Sugar won against Nairobi City Stars?
                    
                    
                        
                             Mara Sugar has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Nairobi City Stars - Mara Sugar were as follows:
                                                        
                                21.09.2024 
                                Mara Sugar 
                                - 
                                Nairobi City Stars 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Nairobi City Stars                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Mara Sugar                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 | 
| 2 | Gor Mahia | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:1 | 7 | 12 | 
| 3 | Posta Rangers | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:10 | 0 | 11 | 
| 4 | Bidco United | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 | 
| 5 | Leopards | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 | 
| 6 | Tusker | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 8 | 
| 7 | Shabana | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 | 
| 8 | Mathare Utd | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 | 
| 9 | Nairobi United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 | 
| 10 | KCB | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 | 
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 | 
| 12 | Bandari | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 | 
| 13 | Sofapaka | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 | 
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 | 
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 | 
| 16 | Police FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 | 
| 17 | Muranga | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 | 
| 18 | APS Bomet | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 3 | 
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