Result
0:1
08/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 12
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mathare United
38.3% | Draw
33.1% | Mara Sugar
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mathare United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Mara Sugar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mathare United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mara Sugar than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Mathare United - Mara Sugar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(2.11) |
2.73 ↓
(2.8) |
3.17 ↓
(3.65) |
10.5%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Mathare United - Mara Sugar?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Mathare United will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Mara Sugar will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Mara Sugar (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Mara Sugar (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Mara Sugar (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Mara Sugar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Mathare United has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Mara Sugar has had a series of home games.
- Mathare United is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mathare United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Mathare United won against Mara Sugar?
Mathare United has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mara Sugar won against Mathare United?
Mara Sugar has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mathare United - Mara Sugar were as follows:
28.03.2025
Mathare United
-
Mara Sugar
2:1
18.01.2025
Mara Sugar
-
Mathare United
3:0
22.06.2024
Mara Sugar
-
Mathare United
1:0
22.10.2023
Mathare United
-
Mara Sugar
2:0
Latest results of Mathare United
Latest results of Mara Sugar
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 45:19 | 26 | 61 |
| 2 | Leopards | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 36:22 | 14 | 55 |
| 3 | Police FC | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 26:17 | 9 | 48 |
| 4 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 47 |
| 5 | Shabana | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 47 |
| 6 | Nairobi United | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 45 |
| 7 | KCB | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 30:31 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | Tusker | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 24:27 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Mara Sugar | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 27:25 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Bandari | 29 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | Muranga | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 38 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 28:31 | -3 | 35 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 24:36 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | APS Bomet | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 29:33 | -4 | 31 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 29:34 | -5 | 31 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 19:30 | -11 | 29 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 17:34 | -17 | 23 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 17:39 | -22 | 18 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
