Result
0:1
24/04/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 30
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 88', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Tusker
38.3% | Draw
36.5% | Mara Sugar
25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tusker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Mara Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mara Sugar than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Tusker - Mara Sugar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↑
(2.28) |
2.52 ↓
(2.82) |
3.66 ↑
(3.24) |
8.7%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Tusker - Mara Sugar?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Tusker will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 11).
- Tusker has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mara Sugar has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mara Sugar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Tusker might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tusker won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Tusker won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Tusker won against Mara Sugar?
Tusker has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mara Sugar won against Tusker?
Mara Sugar has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tusker - Mara Sugar were as follows:
29.11.2025
Mara Sugar
-
Tusker
0:1
06.04.2025
Mara Sugar
-
Tusker
1:1
27.11.2024
Tusker
-
Mara Sugar
2:1
Latest results of Mara Sugar
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 46:19 | 27 | 64 |
| 2 | Leopards | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 36:22 | 14 | 55 |
| 3 | Police FC | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 26:17 | 9 | 48 |
| 4 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 43:31 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | Shabana | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 47 |
| 6 | Nairobi United | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 45 |
| 7 | KCB | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 30:31 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | Tusker | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 24:27 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Mara Sugar | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 27:25 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Bandari | 29 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | Muranga | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 38 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 28:31 | -3 | 35 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 24:36 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | APS Bomet | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 29:33 | -4 | 31 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 29:34 | -5 | 31 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 19:30 | -11 | 30 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 30 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 17:34 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 17:39 | -22 | 18 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
