Result
3:3
26/04/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 6
- Referee: Ferreira Y. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.63 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (248/324) | 82% (322/395) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 3.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (248/324) | 82% (322/395) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (27/61) | 36% (17/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (59/87) | 74% (67/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.65 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 38% (6/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.63 | 2.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.63 | -0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Rafa Silva ⚽, Janderson (A),
- 15', 1 - 1, Lucas Lima ⚽,
- 23', Wendel Silva 🟨,
- 28', Wendel Silva ↓, Lucca ↑,
- 44', 2 - 1, Matheus Araujo ⚽, Melk (A),
- 45+3', 3 - 1, Matheus Araujo ⚽, Lucca (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Caio Marcelo ↓, Hayner ↑,
- 46', Elias ↓, Anderson Jesus ↑,
- 52', Willian Formiga 🟨,
- 57', Willian Formiga ↓, Higor ↑,
- 58', Willian Maranhao 🟨,
- 63', 3 - 2, Joao Vieira (Penalty Awarded),
- 63', Fernandinho ↓, Pedro Henrique ↑,
- 67', 3 - 3, Rafa Silva ⚽,
- 69', Lucas Lima ↓, Julio Cesar ↑,
- 69', Matheus Araujo ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
- 69', Vinicius Zanocelo ↓, Joao Gabriel ↑,
- 77', Willian Maranhao ↓, Nathan Camargo ↑,
- 83', Tiago Pagnussat 🟨,
- 84', Tiago Pagnussat ↓, Nunes S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ceará
53% | Draw
28.1% | Vila Nova
18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ceará, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Ceará - Vila Nova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.63) |
3.31 ↓
(3.49) |
4.91 ↓
(5.84) |
7.2%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ceará - Vila Nova?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - Vila Nova (5.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 3.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Ceará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ceará is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Ceará: Lucca
(Inactive)
Vinicius Zanocelo
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Vila Nova: Dellatorre
(Inactive)
Dudu
(Yellow Cards)
Emerson Urso
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Ceará: Richard
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:14. (average 2.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:3. (average 2.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Vila Nova?
Ceará has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Ceará?
Vila Nova has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceará - Vila Nova were as follows:
22.09.2024
Ceará
-
Vila Nova
4:0
10.06.2024
Vila Nova
-
Ceará
3:2
18.11.2023
Vila Nova
-
Ceará
3:1
19.07.2023
Ceará
-
Vila Nova
1:0
Latest results of Vila Nova
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fortaleza | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 2 | Sao Bernardo | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Operario-PR | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Vila Nova FC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Juventude | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Nautico | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 | Ceara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 | Botafogo SP | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 11 | Avai | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Cuiaba | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 15 | Atletico GO | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 16 | Ponte Preta | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | Goias | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Londrina | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 19 | CRB | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | America MG | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
