Mariano Navone vs Felix Aliassime-Auger – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Munich Mariano Navone - Felix Aliassime-Auger
Result
2:1
15/04/2025 at 10:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Munich, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
02
Double Faults
35
1st Serve Percentage
65%66%
1st Serve Points Won
54% (43/79)65% (45/69)
2nd Serve Points Won
62% (26/42)51% (18/35)
Break Points Saved
74% (14/19)60% (6/10)
1st Return Points Won
35% (24/69)46% (36/79)
2nd Return Points Won
49% (17/35)38% (16/42)
Break Points Converted
40% (4/10)26% (5/19)
Winners
1725
Unforced Errors
4268
Net Points Won
50% (5/10)64% (9/14)
Service Points Won
57% (69/121)61% (63/104)
Return Points Won
39% (41/104)43% (52/121)
Total Points Won
49% (110/225)51% (115/225)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
67% (10/15)73% (11/15)
Return Games Won
27% (4/15)33% (5/15)
Total Games Won
47% (14/30)53% (16/30)

Chances of winning


Mariano Navone
43.9%
Felix Aliassime-Auger
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 62.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Felix Aliassime-Auger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mariano Navone that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Felix Aliassime-Auger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mariano Navone - Felix Aliassime-Auger Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.38)

    1.69
    (1.59)
    5.4%
    (4.9%)
    What is the prediction for Mariano Navone - Felix Aliassime-Auger?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Navone: 54.1%91.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mariano Navone will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Navone is ranked ATP: 70. Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 19.
    • Recent matches Navone is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Aliassime-Auger is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Navone could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Mariano Navone
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Muller A.2 : 0
    2Tseng C. H. (Q)Altmaier D. (WC)0 : 2
    3Griekspoor T.Tien L. (Q)2 : 0
    4Hanfmann Y. (WC)Mensik J. (6)2 : 1
    5Humbert U. (4)Jarry N.2 : 1
    6Engel J. (WC)Marozsan F.0 : 2
    7Bergs Z.Bublik A. (Q)2 : 1
    8Dedura D. (LL)Shapovalov D. (RET.) (8)1 : 0
    9Cerundolo F.Struff J-L.2 : 0
    10Cobolli F.Shevchenko A. (LL)1 : 2
    11Harris B. (LL)Goffin D.1 : 2
    12Navone M.Auger-Aliassime F. (3)2 : 1
    13O'Connell C. (LL)Darderi L.0 : 2
    14Kecmanovic M.Giron M.2 : 1
    15Bautista-Agut R.Van De Zandschulp B. (LL)1 : 2
    16Gojo B. (Q)Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Altmaier D.2 : 0
    2Griekspoor T.Hanfmann Y.2 : 0
    3Humbert U. (4)Marozsan F.0 : 2
    4Bergs Z.Dedura D.2 : 0
    5Cerundolo F.Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    6Goffin D.Navone M.2 : 1
    7Darderi L.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    8Van De Zandschulp B.Shelton B. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Griekspoor T.2 : 1
    2Marozsan F.Bergs Z.2 : 0
    3Cerundolo F.Goffin D.2 : 0
    4Darderi L.Shelton B. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Marozsan F.2 : 0
    2Cerundolo F.Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Zverev A. (1)Shelton B. (2)2 : 0