Mariano Navone vs Felix Aliassime-Auger – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
15/04/2025 at 10:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Munich, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
02
Double Faults
35
1st Serve Percentage
65%66%
1st Serve Points Won
54% (43/79)65% (45/69)
2nd Serve Points Won
62% (26/42)51% (18/35)
Break Points Saved
74% (14/19)60% (6/10)
1st Return Points Won
35% (24/69)46% (36/79)
2nd Return Points Won
49% (17/35)38% (16/42)
Break Points Converted
40% (4/10)26% (5/19)
Winners
1725
Unforced Errors
4268
Net Points Won
50% (5/10)64% (9/14)
Service Points Won
57% (69/121)61% (63/104)
Return Points Won
39% (41/104)43% (52/121)
Total Points Won
49% (110/225)51% (115/225)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
67% (10/15)73% (11/15)
Return Games Won
27% (4/15)33% (5/15)
Total Games Won
47% (14/30)53% (16/30)

Chances of winning


Mariano Navone
43.9%
Felix Aliassime-Auger
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 62.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Felix Aliassime-Auger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mariano Navone that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Felix Aliassime-Auger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mariano Navone - Felix Aliassime-Auger Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.38)

    1.69
    (1.59)
    5.4%
    (4.9%)
    What is the prediction for Mariano Navone - Felix Aliassime-Auger?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Navone: 54.1%91.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mariano Navone will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Navone is ranked ATP: 70. Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 19.
    • Recent matches Navone is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Aliassime-Auger is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Navone could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Mariano Navone
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    2Diallo G.Sachko V. (Q)2 : 0
    3Van De Zandschulp B.Huesler M. (Q)2 : 0
    4Nagal S. (LL)Cerundolo F. (5)0 : 2
    5Cobolli F. (4)Dedura D. (Q)2 : 0
    6Bergs Z.Topo M. (LL)2 : 0
    7Engel J. (WC)Kopriva V.1 : 2
    8Zhang Z. (PR)Darderi L. (6)1 : 2
    9Griekspoor T. (8)Shapovalov D.1 : 2
    10Marozsan F.Tsitsipas S.2 : 1
    11Cilic M.Altmaier D.0 : 2
    12Molcan A. (Q)Bublik A. (3)2 : 0
    13Rinderknech A. (7)Michelsen A.2 : 0
    14Tabilo A.Fonseca J.0 : 2
    15Blockx A. (WC)Hanfmann Y.2 : 0
    16Nava E. (LL)Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Diallo G.2 : 0
    2Van De Zandschulp B.Cerundolo F. (5)0 : 2
    3Cobolli F. (4)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    4Kopriva V.Darderi L. (6)2 : 1
    5Shapovalov D.Marozsan F.2 : 0
    6Altmaier D.Molcan A.0 : 2
    7Rinderknech A. (7)Fonseca J.0 : 2
    8Blockx A.Shelton B. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Cerundolo F. (5)2 : 1
    2Cobolli F. (4)Kopriva V.2 : 0
    3Shapovalov D.Molcan A.0 : 2
    4Fonseca J.Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Cobolli F. (4)0 : 2
    2Molcan A.Shelton B. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Cobolli F. (4)Shelton B. (2)0 : 2